{"canonical_id_v02":"00fa7e8b3e29","identity":{"artist":"kantaro","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.scrydex.com/pokemon/me2pt5-249/small","locale":"en","name":"Larry's Staraptor","number":"249/217","rarity":"Illustration Rare","series_slug":"me-ascended-heroes","set_name":"Me Ascended Heroes","set_slug":"me-ascended-heroes","vintage":"nascent"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"39004ef3ed004fa7","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-12T10:11:01Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.1"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-12T04:39:04.531282+00:00","listed_median":4.52,"market_price":3.8}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-12T04:39:04.531282+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":4.52,"latest_market_price":3.8,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":18,"tcgcsv_forward":206},"as_of_date":"2026-09-12","ath_date":"2026-02-01","ath_price":11.37,"atl_date":"2026-09-01","atl_price":3.31,"canonical_id_v02":"f068e6f2cf3d","canonical_id_v03":"00fa7e8b3e29","canonical_id_v1":"0ff179713d91","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":-7.09,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":1.88,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":-22.61,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":33,"DRAWDOWN":20,"HEATED":47},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-nascent","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0,"cohort_median_90d_pct":3.33,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-66.58,"current_price":3.8,"history_first_date":"2026-01-31","history_last_date":"2026-09-12","history_n_distinct_closes":220,"history_n_obs":225,"history_n_obs_series":224,"liquidity_tier":"T2","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-09-05","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-09-01","delta_pct":-70.9,"label":"-71% off peak","price":3.31,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2026-08-28","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-25","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-23","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-21","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-20","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-04-01","delta_pct":39.5,"label":"+40% day-over-day","prev_price":4.83,"price":6.74,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":5,"regime_entered_date":"2026-09-05","regime_label":"DRAWDOWN","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":24,"DRAWDOWN":43,"HEATED":33},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":24,"DRAWDOWN":43,"HEATED":33},"regime_run_length_days":6,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2026-05-29","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-06-02","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-06-11","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-12","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-06-16","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-17","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-06-30","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-01","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-07-29","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-05","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-08-08","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-09","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-08-11","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-15","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-08-20","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-21","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-08-23","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-25","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-08-28","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-09-05","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":-7.09,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":1.88,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-25.93,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":-27.37,"series_printing":"Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":179,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":4.76,"set_movers_share_90d":0.9322,"set_n_90d":575,"set_slug":"me-ascended-heroes"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":null,"return_30d_pct":1.8767,"return_7d_pct":2.1505,"return_90d_pct":-22.6069,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-12","price":3.73},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":3.76},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":3.91},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":4.19},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":4.2},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":4.14},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":4.42},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":4.3},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":4.44},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":4.7},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":4.46},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":3.9},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":4.12},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":4.51},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":4.27},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":4.1},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":4.09},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":3.87},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":3.78},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":3.71},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":3.31},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":3.47},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":3.53},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":3.72},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":3.95},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":4.18},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":4.13},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":4.01},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":3.79},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":3.96},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":3.8}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-13","price":4.91},{"date":"2026-06-15","price":4.8},{"date":"2026-06-17","price":4.65},{"date":"2026-06-19","price":5.01},{"date":"2026-06-21","price":4.92},{"date":"2026-06-23","price":4.8},{"date":"2026-06-25","price":4.68},{"date":"2026-06-27","price":4.6},{"date":"2026-06-29","price":4.71},{"date":"2026-07-01","price":4.24},{"date":"2026-07-03","price":4.82},{"date":"2026-07-05","price":4.94},{"date":"2026-07-07","price":4.52},{"date":"2026-07-09","price":4.89},{"date":"2026-07-11","price":5.28},{"date":"2026-07-13","price":4.74},{"date":"2026-07-15","price":4.88},{"date":"2026-07-17","price":4.71},{"date":"2026-07-19","price":4.88},{"date":"2026-07-21","price":5.07},{"date":"2026-07-23","price":4.74},{"date":"2026-07-25","price":4.39},{"date":"2026-07-27","price":4.43},{"date":"2026-07-29","price":3.96},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":3.73},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":4.05},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":3.94},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":4.19},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":3.98},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":3.88},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":3.73},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":3.91},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":4.2},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":4.42},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":4.44},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":4.46},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":4.12},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":4.27},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":4.09},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":3.78},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":3.31},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":3.53},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":3.95},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":4.13},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":3.79},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":3.8}],"series_key":"676061|Holofoil","series_printing":"Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Larry%27s%20Staraptor%20Me%20Ascended%20Heroes&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/larry's-staraptor","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Larry%27s%20Staraptor%20Me%20Ascended%20Heroes&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"00fa7e8b3e29","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/00fa7e8b3e29","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/39004ef3ed004fa7/00.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}