{"canonical_id_v02":"036d5d6e6d87","identity":{"artist":"5ban Graphics","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/xy11/109.png","locale":"en","name":"M Steelix-EX","number":"109/114","rarity":"Rare Ultra","series_slug":"xy-steam-siege","set_name":"Xy Steam Siege","set_slug":"xy-steam-siege","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"065295aaf7a72ee2","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-05T10:16:27Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.0"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Holofoil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-04T00:00:00Z","listed_median":null,"market_price":29.7}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-04T00:00:00Z","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":29.7,"primary_printing":"Holofoil","primary_printing_in_record":"Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"tcgcsv_archive":121,"tcgcsv_forward":819},"as_of_date":"2026-09-04","ath_date":"2026-07-22","ath_price":36.62,"atl_date":"2024-05-08","atl_price":7.2,"canonical_id_v02":"3b9ee643818f","canonical_id_v03":"036d5d6e6d87","canonical_id_v1":"4279a884d6cc","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":-2.75,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":-0.27,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":11.36,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":44,"DRAWDOWN":12,"HEATED":44},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":1.33,"cohort_median_90d_pct":6.25,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-18.9,"current_price":29.7,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-09-04","history_n_distinct_closes":417,"history_n_obs":940,"history_n_obs_series":940,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-09-02","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-24","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-18","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-06-08","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-06-08","delta_pct":30.6,"label":"+31% day-over-day","price":35.04,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-02-26","delta_pct":-34.7,"label":"-35% off peak","price":22.25,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2026-02-01","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-01-20","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":82,"regime_entered_date":"2026-09-02","regime_label":"CALM","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":32,"DRAWDOWN":43,"HEATED":25},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":52,"DRAWDOWN":22,"HEATED":26},"regime_run_length_days":2,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2024-12-19","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-12-22","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-12-27","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-01-03","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-01-25","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-04-30","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-05-02","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-05-06","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-06-12","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-07-09","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-07-17","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-07-18","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-07-23","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-12-20","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-01-20","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-02-01","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-06-08","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-18","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-24","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-09-02","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":-2.75,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-1.6,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":5.11,"series_printing":"Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":181,"n_candidates":1,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":2.45,"return_30d_pct":-0.27,"return_7d_pct":0.27,"return_90d_pct":11.36,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-05","price":29.78},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":29.58},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":29.62},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":29.5},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":30.29},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":30.29},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":30.29},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":30.29},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":30.33},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":30.33},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":30.33},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":30.33},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":30.54},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":30.54},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":30.54},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":30.54},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":30.54},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":30.54},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":29.63},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":30.31},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":30.31},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":29.86},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":29.94},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":29.62},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":29.7},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":29.7},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":29.7},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":29.7},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":29.7},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":29.7},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":29.7}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-06","price":26.67},{"date":"2026-06-08","price":35.04},{"date":"2026-06-10","price":35.27},{"date":"2026-06-12","price":35.19},{"date":"2026-06-14","price":35.39},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":34.69},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":34.88},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":34.88},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":34.83},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":35.53},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":35.48},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":35.44},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":34.5},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":35.31},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":35.88},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":36.27},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":36.27},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":36.27},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":36.27},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":36.27},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":36.27},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":36.27},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":36.52},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":36.62},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":29.29},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":29.73},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":29.73},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":29.73},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":29.7},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":29.74},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":29.78},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":29.62},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":30.29},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":30.29},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":30.33},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":30.33},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":30.54},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":30.54},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":30.54},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":29.63},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":30.31},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":29.94},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":29.7},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":29.7},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":29.7},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":29.7}],"series_key":"121233|Holofoil","series_printing":"Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=M%20Steelix-EX%20Xy%20Steam%20Siege&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/m-steelix-ex","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=M%20Steelix-EX%20Xy%20Steam%20Siege&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"036d5d6e6d87","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/036d5d6e6d87","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/065295aaf7a72ee2/03.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}