{"canonical_id_v02":"0f95541191ad","identity":{"artist":"Brian Valeza","game":"mtg","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://cards.scryfall.io/normal/front/9/a/9a1c2cdd-353c-4747-bf0e-b995dd37ffca.jpg?1783926473","locale":"en","name":"Orb of Dragonkind","number":"157","rarity":"rare","series_slug":"adventures-in-the-forgotten-realms","set_name":"Adventures in the Forgotten Realms","set_slug":"adventures-in-the-forgotten-realms","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"dd33b3c6ef9b37c9","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-08-30T16:37:28Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.0"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-08-29T00:00:00Z","listed_median":null,"market_price":1.92},"Normal":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-08-29T00:00:00Z","listed_median":null,"market_price":1.7}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-08-29T00:00:00Z","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":1.92,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Foil","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"tcgcsv_archive":122,"tcgcsv_forward":1746},"as_of_date":"2026-08-29","ath_date":"2025-06-07","ath_price":4.21,"atl_date":"2024-12-15","atl_price":1.27,"canonical_id_v02":"0f95541191ad","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":null,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":38,"DRAWDOWN":23,"HEATED":39},"cohort_label":"mtg-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-54.39,"current_price":1.92,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-08-29","history_n_obs":1868,"history_n_obs_series":934,"liquidity_tier":"T2","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-07-17","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-14","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-12","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-05-26","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-04-28","delta_pct":-69.6,"label":"-70% off peak","price":1.28,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2026-04-19","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-03-10","delta_pct":-39.3,"label":"-39% day-over-day","price":1.47,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-01-02","delta_pct":46.2,"label":"+46% day-over-day","price":2.85,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":35,"regime_entered_date":"2026-07-17","regime_label":"DRAWDOWN","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":0,"DRAWDOWN":50,"HEATED":50},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":15,"DRAWDOWN":36,"HEATED":49},"regime_run_length_days":43,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2024-05-16","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-08-31","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-01-10","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-01-11","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-03-01","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-03-22","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-04-11","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-06-11","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-08-13","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-09-22","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-12-01","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-12-29","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-01-02","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-02-11","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-03-10","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-04-19","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-05-26","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-12","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-07-14","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-17","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":4.35,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":4.92,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-4.82,"series_printing":"Foil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"sticky_previous","margin":0,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"recent","tie_members":["Foil","Normal"]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":-29.93,"return_30d_pct":-1.54,"return_7d_pct":1.05,"return_90d_pct":13.61,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-07-30","price":1.95},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":1.9},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":1.86},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":1.81},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":1.83},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":1.79},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":1.77},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":1.82},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":1.82},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":1.82},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":1.78},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":1.78},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":1.78},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":1.82},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":1.82},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":1.82},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":1.82},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":1.84},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":1.84},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":1.89},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":1.89},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":1.89},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":1.89},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":1.9},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":1.9},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":1.9},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":1.9},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":1.9},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":1.9},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":1.97},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":1.92}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-05-31","price":1.69},{"date":"2026-06-02","price":1.76},{"date":"2026-06-04","price":1.81},{"date":"2026-06-06","price":1.81},{"date":"2026-06-08","price":1.97},{"date":"2026-06-10","price":1.97},{"date":"2026-06-12","price":1.93},{"date":"2026-06-14","price":1.93},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":1.93},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":1.93},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":1.93},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":1.98},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":2},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":1.96},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":2.02},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":2.02},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":2.02},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":2.05},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":2.05},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":2.02},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":2.02},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":2.02},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":2.14},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":2.13},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":2.15},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":2.13},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":2.07},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":2.12},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":2.08},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":2.08},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":1.95},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":1.86},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":1.83},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":1.77},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":1.82},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":1.78},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":1.78},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":1.82},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":1.82},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":1.84},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":1.89},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":1.89},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":1.9},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":1.9},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":1.9},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":1.92}],"series_key":"243056|Foil","series_printing":"Foil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Orb%20of%20Dragonkind%20Adventures%20in%20the%20Forgotten%20Realms&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":"https://scryfall.com/search?q=Orb%20of%20Dragonkind","tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Orb%20of%20Dragonkind%20Adventures%20in%20the%20Forgotten%20Realms&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"0f95541191ad","game":"mtg","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/0f95541191ad","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/mtg/builds/dd33b3c6ef9b37c9/0f.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}