{"canonical_id_v02":"14eac665f608","canonical_url_id":"14eac665f608","identity":{"artist":"Malia Ewart","game":"lorcana","grade":"raw","image_url":null,"locale":"en","name":"Luisa Madrigal - Confident Climber","number":"60/204","rarity":"Legendary","series_slug":"wilds-unknown","set_name":"Wilds Unknown","set_slug":"wilds-unknown","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"lineage":null,"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"80ceb27c94eb277f","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-10-19T09:52:37Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.5"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-18T23:38:09.316890+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":6.21},"Normal":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-18T23:38:09.316890+00:00","listed_median":2.4,"market_price":1.44}},"by_printing_in_record":{"Foil":"Cold Foil"},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition; third stratum fu506 (top 8 per game, 24 decidable card rows): NM-consistent +-10% 17/24; 1 LP to the cent, 1 nearest HP at 117x, 2 at 1.7-1.8x NM, 1 NM unpriced; 35 of 64 top rows were sealed)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-18T23:38:09.316890+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":2.4,"latest_market_price":1.44,"primary_printing":"Normal","primary_printing_in_record":"Normal","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":8,"tcgcsv_forward":319},"as_of_date":"2026-10-18","ath_date":"2026-05-08","ath_price":9.2,"ath_since_release_date":null,"ath_since_release_price":null,"atl_date":"2026-06-26","atl_price":0.68,"canonical_id_v02":"14eac665f608","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":"14eac665f608","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":-40.16,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":-48.41,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":19.67,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":9,"DRAWDOWN":28,"HEATED":63},"cohort_label":"lorcana-en-raw-nascent","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":-1.89,"cohort_median_90d_pct":0,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-84.13,"current_price":1.46,"history_first_date":"2026-05-08","history_first_date_series":"2026-05-08","history_last_date":"2026-10-18","history_last_date_series":"2026-10-18","history_n_distinct_closes":158,"history_n_obs":328,"history_n_obs_series":164,"liquidity_tier":"T2","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-10-10","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-09-26","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-09-25","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-21","delta_pct":25.4,"label":"+25% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-07-20","prev_price":1.22,"price":1.53,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-06-26","delta_pct":-92.6,"label":"-93% off peak","price":0.68,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2026-06-05","delta_pct":-34.9,"label":"-35% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-06-04","prev_price":1.29,"price":0.84,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-05-23","delta_pct":32.3,"label":"+32% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-05-22","prev_price":1.33,"price":1.76,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-05-09","delta_pct":-62.4,"label":"-62% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-05-08","prev_price":9.2,"price":3.46,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":37,"recent_steps":{"dates":[],"dates_truncated":false,"n":0,"threshold_pct":50,"window_days":120},"regime_entered_date":"2026-10-10","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":3,"DRAWDOWN":9,"HEATED":88},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":3,"DRAWDOWN":9,"HEATED":88},"regime_run_length_days":8,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2026-07-06","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-09","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-13","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-14","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-09-24","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-09-25","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-09-26","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-10-10","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":-40.16,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-46.52,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":19.67,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":33.96,"series_printing":"Normal","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":1,"n_candidates":3,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":-14.29,"set_member_unit":"cards","set_movers_share_90d":0.8838,"set_n_90d":241,"set_release_date":"2026-05-08","set_slug":"wilds-unknown"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_base":null,"return_1y_pct":null,"return_30d_pct":-48.4099,"return_7d_pct":-29.4686,"return_90d_pct":19.6721,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-09-18","price":2.83},{"date":"2026-09-19","price":2.77},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":2.86},{"date":"2026-09-21","price":2.84},{"date":"2026-09-22","price":2.7},{"date":"2026-09-23","price":2.69},{"date":"2026-09-24","price":2.6},{"date":"2026-09-25","price":2.67},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":2.63},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":2.54},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":2.49},{"date":"2026-09-29","price":2.39},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":2.21},{"date":"2026-10-01","price":2.27},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":2.26},{"date":"2026-10-03","price":2.42},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":2.44},{"date":"2026-10-05","price":2.27},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":2.28},{"date":"2026-10-07","price":2.27},{"date":"2026-10-08","price":2.2},{"date":"2026-10-09","price":2.16},{"date":"2026-10-10","price":2.08},{"date":"2026-10-11","price":2.07},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":2.09},{"date":"2026-10-13","price":2},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":1.92},{"date":"2026-10-15","price":1.85},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":1.85},{"date":"2026-10-17","price":1.76},{"date":"2026-10-18","price":1.46}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-07-20","price":1.22},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":1.47},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":1.78},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":1.82},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":1.81},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":1.59},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":1.71},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":1.72},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":1.85},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":1.85},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":2.11},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":1.96},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":1.74},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":2.32},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":2.37},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":2.57},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":2.4},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":2.52},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":2.55},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":2.35},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":2.32},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":2.58},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":2.69},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":3.02},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":3.2},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":3.18},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":2.81},{"date":"2026-09-12","price":2.76},{"date":"2026-09-14","price":2.65},{"date":"2026-09-16","price":2.68},{"date":"2026-09-18","price":2.83},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":2.86},{"date":"2026-09-22","price":2.7},{"date":"2026-09-24","price":2.6},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":2.63},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":2.49},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":2.21},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":2.26},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":2.44},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":2.28},{"date":"2026-10-08","price":2.2},{"date":"2026-10-10","price":2.08},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":2.09},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":1.92},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":1.85},{"date":"2026-10-18","price":1.46}],"series_key":"690206|Normal","series_printing":"Normal"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Luisa%20Madrigal%20-%20Confident%20Climber%20Wilds%20Unknown&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Luisa%20Madrigal%20-%20Confident%20Climber%20Wilds%20Unknown&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"14eac665f608","game":"lorcana","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/14eac665f608","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/lorcana/builds/80ceb27c94eb277f/14.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"page_headline":{"price":1.46,"printing":"Normal","as_of":"2026-10-18","computed_by":"witness/src/render-card.ts _heroMarketPrice, _heroDisplayPrinting, heroAsOfDay: the functions the HTML page calls on this same record (build_shard below). Unrounded: the page prints whole dollars from $100."},"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field outside `_handle` is served verbatim from the build shard. Two `_handle` entries are computed: `provenance_fields` (from the record) and `page_headline` (the figure the page rendered from this build_shard heads with, by the page's own functions; a page served from the edge cache within an hour of a build change can still show the previous build)."}}