{"canonical_id_v02":"19ff6beb02bc","canonical_url_id":"19ff6beb02bc","identity":{"artist":"Hajime Kusajima","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/ex14/36.png","locale":"en","name":"Lairon","number":"36/100","rarity":"Uncommon","series_slug":"crystal-guardians","set_name":"Crystal Guardians","set_slug":"crystal-guardians","vintage":"mature_secondary"},"lineage":{"dex":305,"earliest":{"name":"Lairon","set_name":"Ruby and Sapphire","url_id":"920805d8e5a1","year":2003},"earliest_includes_this":false,"earliest_same_day_cards":2,"earliest_same_day_sets":1,"latest":{"name":"Lairon","set_name":"Twilight Masquerade","url_id":"e452028789fb","year":2024},"latest_includes_this":false,"latest_same_day_cards":2,"latest_same_day_sets":1,"ordinal":8,"rule":"species v3","same_set_cards":1,"species":"Lairon","species_cards":23,"species_dated":23,"species_sets":20,"species_shared_cards":0,"undated_reason":null,"url_id":"b1a45fe70ec4"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"21218715808ed0de","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-10-27T08:20:42Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.8"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-26T22:57:43.558581+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":32.74}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition; third stratum fu506 (top 8 per game, 24 decidable card rows): NM-consistent +-10% 17/24; 1 LP to the cent, 1 nearest HP at 117x, 2 at 1.7-1.8x NM, 1 NM unpriced; 35 of 64 top rows were sealed)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-26T22:57:43.558581+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":32.74,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Reverse Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[{"canonical_id_v02":"b1a45fe70ec4","market_price":1.19,"name":"Lairon","printing":"Normal","rationale":"same_card_other_printing","recent_series":[{"date":"2026-10-19","price":1.14},{"date":"2026-10-20","price":1.14},{"date":"2026-10-21","price":1.14},{"date":"2026-10-22","price":1.14},{"date":"2026-10-23","price":1.14},{"date":"2026-10-24","price":1.19},{"date":"2026-10-25","price":1.19},{"date":"2026-10-26","price":1.19}]}],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":242,"tcgcsv_forward":1742},"as_of_date":"2026-10-26","ath_date":"2026-08-12","ath_price":65,"ath_price_days":4,"ath_run_last_date":"2026-08-15","ath_run_rows":4,"ath_run_to_end":false,"ath_since_release_date":null,"ath_since_release_price":null,"ath_since_release_price_days":null,"ath_since_release_run_last_date":null,"ath_since_release_run_rows":null,"ath_since_release_run_to_end":null,"atl_date":"2024-10-24","atl_price":3.18,"atl_price_days":10,"atl_run_last_date":"2024-11-02","atl_run_rows":10,"atl_run_to_end":false,"atl_since_release_date":null,"atl_since_release_price":null,"atl_since_release_price_days":null,"atl_since_release_run_last_date":null,"atl_since_release_run_rows":null,"atl_since_release_run_to_end":null,"canonical_id_v02":"54befb317ecc","canonical_id_v03":"b1a45fe70ec4","canonical_id_v1":"5f70964a40ea","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":0,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":-32.15,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":-12.83,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":65,"DRAWDOWN":10,"HEATED":25},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-mature_secondary","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":2.4,"cohort_median_90d_pct":10.29,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-49.63,"current_price":32.74,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_first_date_series":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-10-26","history_last_date_series":"2026-10-26","history_n_distinct_closes":59,"history_n_obs":1985,"history_n_obs_series":992,"liquidity_tier":"T2","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-09-30","delta_pct":-34.7,"label":"-35% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-09-29","prev_price":48.25,"price":31.49,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-08-12","delta_pct":73.1,"label":"+73% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-08-11","prev_price":37.56,"price":65,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-07-24","delta_pct":35,"label":"+35% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-07-23","prev_price":27.82,"price":37.56,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-06-25","delta_pct":27.3,"label":"+27% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-06-24","prev_price":18.37,"price":23.39,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-04-02","delta_pct":88.6,"label":"+89% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-04-01","prev_price":9.03,"price":17.03,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-11-03","delta_pct":57.2,"label":"+57% day-over-day","prev_date":"2024-11-02","prev_price":3.18,"price":5,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-10-24","delta_pct":-58.3,"label":"-58% off peak","price":3.18,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2024-10-23","delta_pct":-38.7,"label":"-39% day-over-day","prev_date":"2024-10-22","prev_price":5.25,"price":3.22,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":93,"recent_steps":{"dates":["2026-08-12"],"dates_truncated":false,"n":1,"threshold_pct":50,"window_days":120},"record_block_scope":"per_print_page","regime_entered_date":"2026-10-24","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":77,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":23},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":66,"DRAWDOWN":4,"HEATED":30},"regime_run_length_days":2,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2024-02-21","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-04-23","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-04-27","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-04-29","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-05-06","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-07-08","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-11-13","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-01-04","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-01-09","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-02-22","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-03-25","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-03-29","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-04-29","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-06-04","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-21","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-16","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-17","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-22","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-25","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-10-24","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":0,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-34.55,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-23.12,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":-30.43,"series_printing":"Reverse Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"base_decided_by":"sticky_previous","base_series_printing":"Normal","decided_by":"per_print_page","margin":null,"n_candidates":2,"pool":null,"tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":17.6,"set_movers_share_90d":0.96,"set_n_90d":100,"set_release_date":"2006-08-01","set_slug":"crystal-guardians"},"trajectory":{"last_step":{"date":"2026-10-04","next":32.74,"prev":31.49,"prev_date":"2026-10-03"},"return_1y_base":{"date":"2025-10-26","price":6.43},"return_1y_pct":409.1757,"return_30d_pct":-32.1451,"return_7d_pct":0,"return_90d_pct":-12.8328,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-09-26","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-09-29","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":31.49},{"date":"2026-10-01","price":31.49},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":31.49},{"date":"2026-10-03","price":31.49},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-05","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-07","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-08","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-09","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-10","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-11","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-13","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-15","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-17","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-18","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-19","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-20","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-21","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-22","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-23","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-24","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-25","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-26","price":32.74}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-07-28","price":37.56},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":37.56},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":37.56},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":37.56},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":37.56},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":37.56},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":37.56},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":37.56},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":65},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":65},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-09-12","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-09-14","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-09-16","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-09-18","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-09-22","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-09-24","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":48.25},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":31.49},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":31.49},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-08","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-10","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-18","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-20","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-22","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-24","price":32.74},{"date":"2026-10-26","price":32.74}],"series_key":"86578|Reverse Holofoil","series_printing":"Reverse Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Lairon%20Crystal%20Guardians&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/lairon","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Lairon%20Crystal%20Guardians&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"19ff6beb02bc","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/19ff6beb02bc","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/21218715808ed0de/19.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"page_headline":{"price":32.74,"printing":"Reverse Holofoil","as_of":"2026-10-26","computed_by":"witness/src/render-card.ts _heroMarketPrice, _heroDisplayPrinting, heroAsOfDay: the functions the HTML page calls on this same record (build_shard below). Unrounded: the page prints whole dollars from $100."},"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field outside `_handle` is served verbatim from the build shard. Two `_handle` entries are computed: `provenance_fields` (from the record) and `page_headline` (the figure the page rendered from this build_shard heads with, by the page's own functions; a page served from the edge cache within an hour of a build change can still show the previous build)."}}