{"canonical_id_v02":"1a14ace80d4c","identity":{"artist":"Dani Pendergast","game":"mtg","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://cards.scryfall.io/normal/front/c/f/cf977357-e13d-4c67-ae53-397adf55131e.jpg?1783913402","locale":"en","name":"Arcane Signet","number":"1492","rarity":"rare","series_slug":"secret-lair-drop-series","set_name":"Secret Lair Drop","set_slug":"secret-lair-drop","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"00f025b89d744f40","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-06T18:07:23Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.1"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-06T01:35:17.762401+00:00","listed_median":111.49,"market_price":100.8},"Normal":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-06T01:35:17.762401+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":null}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397 probes: 8 games, 43 rows, nearest condition NM 42/43 — Wilson 95% 88-100% — cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2% by bucket timing; a sample, not a definition)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-06T01:35:17.762401+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":111.49,"latest_market_price":100.8,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Foil","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":61,"tcgcsv_forward":880},"as_of_date":"2026-09-06","ath_date":"2026-08-25","ath_price":102.04,"atl_date":"2024-02-08","atl_price":25.1,"canonical_id_v02":"1a14ace80d4c","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":null,"card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":-1.21,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":1.96,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":6.9,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":34,"DRAWDOWN":27,"HEATED":39},"cohort_label":"mtg-en-raw-nascent","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0,"cohort_median_90d_pct":4.05,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-1.22,"current_price":100.8,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-09-06","history_n_distinct_closes":552,"history_n_obs":942,"history_n_obs_series":942,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2025-02-23","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-01-01","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2024-11-12","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2024-10-10","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2024-10-07","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2024-10-05","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2024-09-21","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2024-09-20","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":98,"regime_entered_date":"2025-02-23","regime_label":"CALM","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":100,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":0},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":83,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":17},"regime_run_length_days":560,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2024-03-04","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-03-28","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-05-13","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-06-21","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-09-08","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-09-09","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-09-11","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-09-19","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-09-20","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-09-21","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-10-05","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-10-07","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-10-10","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-11-12","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-01-01","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-02-23","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":-1.21,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":1.96,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":2.85,"series_printing":"Foil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":181,"n_candidates":1,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":25.44,"return_30d_pct":1.96,"return_7d_pct":-0.94,"return_90d_pct":6.9,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-07","price":98.86},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":98.86},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":99.31},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":99.31},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":99.31},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":99.31},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":99.31},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":99.31},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":100.68},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":101.55},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":101.55},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":101.55},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":101.55},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":102.03},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":102.03},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":102.03},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":102.03},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":102.03},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":102.04},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":102.04},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":102.04},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":102.04},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":101.76},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":101.76},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":101.76},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":101.24},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":101.44},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":101.44},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":100.8},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":100.8},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":100.8}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-08","price":94.29},{"date":"2026-06-10","price":94.71},{"date":"2026-06-12","price":94.71},{"date":"2026-06-14","price":94.71},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":95.65},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":94.73},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":94.75},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":95.58},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":95.3},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":95.38},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":95.63},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":95.37},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":92.77},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":92.02},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":91.29},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":91.29},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":90.98},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":91.88},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":91.88},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":91.79},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":91.79},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":91.99},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":91.95},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":96.26},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":97.84},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":97.84},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":98.86},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":98.86},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":98.86},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":98.86},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":98.86},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":99.31},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":99.31},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":99.31},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":100.68},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":101.55},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":101.55},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":102.03},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":102.03},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":102.04},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":102.04},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":101.76},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":101.76},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":101.44},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":100.8},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":100.8}],"series_key":"528291|Foil","series_printing":"Foil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Arcane%20Signet%20Secret%20Lair%20Drop&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":"https://scryfall.com/search?q=Arcane%20Signet","tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Arcane%20Signet%20Secret%20Lair%20Drop&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"1a14ace80d4c","game":"mtg","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/1a14ace80d4c","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/mtg/builds/00f025b89d744f40/1a.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}