{"canonical_id_v02":"22a44ab38580","canonical_url_id":"22a44ab38580","identity":{"artist":"Yuka Morii","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/sm9/81.png","locale":"en","name":"Pancham","number":"81/181","rarity":"Common","series_slug":"sm-team-up","set_name":"Sm Team Up","set_slug":"sm-team-up","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"62ede9f50a973368","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-18T10:13:44Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.2"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-17T20:45:28.496540+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":6.44}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-17T20:45:28.496540+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":6.44,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Reverse Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[{"canonical_id_v02":"dc6e07adff0f","market_price":0.68,"name":"Pancham","printing":"Normal","rationale":"same_card_other_printing"}],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":1572,"tcgcsv_forward":334},"as_of_date":"2026-09-17","ath_date":"2026-09-16","ath_price":6.44,"atl_date":"2024-02-08","atl_price":0.26,"canonical_id_v02":"8b2d8a344994","canonical_id_v03":"22a44ab38580","canonical_id_v1":"2fa61300234d","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":11.03,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":11.61,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":114.67,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":44,"DRAWDOWN":12,"HEATED":44},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0.7,"cohort_median_90d_pct":5.34,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":0,"current_price":6.44,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-09-17","history_n_distinct_closes":153,"history_n_obs":1907,"history_n_obs_series":953,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-05-17","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-05-12","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-04-07","delta_pct":-40.3,"label":"-40% day-over-day","prev_price":2.26,"price":1.35,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-04-07","delta_pct":-40.3,"label":"-40% off peak","price":1.35,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2026-03-17","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-03-05","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-03-01","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-01-09","delta_pct":175,"label":"+175% day-over-day","prev_price":0.56,"price":1.54,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":100,"regime_entered_date":"2026-05-17","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":39,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":61},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":70,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":30},"regime_run_length_days":123,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2024-08-16","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-08-25","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-04-19","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-05-09","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-05-13","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-05-21","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-05-23","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-05-29","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-08-14","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-08-28","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-01-09","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-02-18","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-03-01","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-03-05","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-03-17","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-05-12","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-05-17","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":11.03,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":10.91,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":109.33,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":103.64,"series_printing":"Reverse Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"sticky_previous","margin":0,"n_candidates":3,"pool":"recent","tie_members":["Normal","Reverse Holofoil"]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":11.02,"set_movers_share_90d":0.9461,"set_n_90d":204,"set_slug":"sm-team-up"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":1029.8246,"return_30d_pct":11.6118,"return_7d_pct":1.7378,"return_90d_pct":114.6667,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-18","price":5.77},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":5.77},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":5.77},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":5.77},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":5.77},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":5.91},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":5.91},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":5.91},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":5.84},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":5.84},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":5.84},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":5.84},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":5.84},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":5.84},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":5.84},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":5.8},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":5.8},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":5.85},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":5.98},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":6.4},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":6.33},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":6.33},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":6.33},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":6.33},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":6.33},{"date":"2026-09-12","price":6.33},{"date":"2026-09-13","price":6.41},{"date":"2026-09-14","price":6.41},{"date":"2026-09-15","price":6.41},{"date":"2026-09-16","price":6.44},{"date":"2026-09-17","price":6.44}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-19","price":3},{"date":"2026-06-21","price":3},{"date":"2026-06-23","price":3},{"date":"2026-06-25","price":3.02},{"date":"2026-06-27","price":3.02},{"date":"2026-06-29","price":3.75},{"date":"2026-07-01","price":3.75},{"date":"2026-07-03","price":3.75},{"date":"2026-07-05","price":3.85},{"date":"2026-07-07","price":3.85},{"date":"2026-07-09","price":3.97},{"date":"2026-07-11","price":3.97},{"date":"2026-07-13","price":4.19},{"date":"2026-07-15","price":4.63},{"date":"2026-07-17","price":4.77},{"date":"2026-07-19","price":4.93},{"date":"2026-07-21","price":4.93},{"date":"2026-07-23","price":4.93},{"date":"2026-07-25","price":4.93},{"date":"2026-07-27","price":4.93},{"date":"2026-07-29","price":4.93},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":4.93},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":4.93},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":4.93},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":4.93},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":5.23},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":5.26},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":5.26},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":5.26},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":5.55},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":5.77},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":5.77},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":5.77},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":5.91},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":5.84},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":5.84},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":5.84},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":5.84},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":5.8},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":5.98},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":6.33},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":6.33},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":6.33},{"date":"2026-09-13","price":6.41},{"date":"2026-09-15","price":6.41},{"date":"2026-09-17","price":6.44}],"series_key":"183859|Reverse Holofoil","series_printing":"Reverse Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Pancham%20Sm%20Team%20Up&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/pancham","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Pancham%20Sm%20Team%20Up&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"22a44ab38580","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/22a44ab38580","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/62ede9f50a973368/22.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}