{"canonical_id_v02":"2ce1f908c42e","identity":{"artist":null,"game":"onepiece","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/649688_200w.jpg","locale":"en","name":"Gum-Gum Lightning (Premium Card Collection -Best Selection Vol. 4-)","number":"OP09-077","rarity":"UC","series_slug":"one-piece-promotion-cards","set_name":"One Piece Promotion Cards","set_slug":"one-piece-promotion-cards","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"a4bc1bbdc8d413b2","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-05T13:32:15Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.0"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-04T00:00:00Z","listed_median":null,"market_price":23.25}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-04T00:00:00Z","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":23.25,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Foil","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"tcgcsv_archive":37,"tcgcsv_forward":312},"as_of_date":"2026-09-04","ath_date":"2026-07-29","ath_price":43.37,"atl_date":"2025-11-29","atl_price":5.14,"canonical_id_v02":"2ce1f908c42e","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":null,"card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":-4.12,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":-42.73,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":49.13,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":14,"DRAWDOWN":27,"HEATED":59},"cohort_label":"onepiece-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0,"cohort_median_90d_pct":7.11,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-46.39,"current_price":23.25,"history_first_date":"2025-09-21","history_last_date":"2026-09-04","history_n_distinct_closes":307,"history_n_obs":349,"history_n_obs_series":349,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-08-21","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-15","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-06-06","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-06-05","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-06-03","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-05-29","delta_pct":-47,"label":"-47% off peak","price":10.92,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2026-05-15","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-04-05","delta_pct":31,"label":"+31% day-over-day","price":17.98,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":76,"regime_entered_date":"2026-08-21","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":26,"DRAWDOWN":1,"HEATED":73},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":26,"DRAWDOWN":1,"HEATED":73},"regime_run_length_days":14,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2025-10-23","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-11-04","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-11-11","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-11-23","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-12-09","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-12-17","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-01-20","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-03-11","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-04-01","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-04-03","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-05-13","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-05-15","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-03","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-06-05","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-06-06","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-15","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-08-21","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":-4.12,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-42.73,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":42.02,"series_printing":"Foil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":181,"n_candidates":1,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":null,"return_30d_pct":-42.73,"return_7d_pct":-0.21,"return_90d_pct":49.13,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-05","price":40.6},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":39.92},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":39.33},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":38.93},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":38.65},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":38.65},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":37.81},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":35.32},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":32.23},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":30.44},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":29.32},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":27.07},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":25.83},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":25.25},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":24.34},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":24.29},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":24.25},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":24.25},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":24.06},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":23.6},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":23.45},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":23.32},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":23.32},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":23.3},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":23.26},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":23.18},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":23.43},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":23.3},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":23.24},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":23.16},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":23.25}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-06","price":15.59},{"date":"2026-06-08","price":21.37},{"date":"2026-06-10","price":23.46},{"date":"2026-06-12","price":24.65},{"date":"2026-06-14","price":26.52},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":27.35},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":27.56},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":27.04},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":26.41},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":25.74},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":25.52},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":25.66},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":25.36},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":25.41},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":25.65},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":26.7},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":26.95},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":27.38},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":30.37},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":30.32},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":32.73},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":35.15},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":36.01},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":38.85},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":41.41},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":41.85},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":42.53},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":42.93},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":42.62},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":40.32},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":40.6},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":39.33},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":38.65},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":37.81},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":32.23},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":29.32},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":25.83},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":24.34},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":24.25},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":24.06},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":23.45},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":23.32},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":23.26},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":23.43},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":23.24},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":23.25}],"series_key":"649688|Foil","series_printing":"Foil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Gum-Gum%20Lightning%20%28Premium%20Card%20Collection%20-Best%20Selection%20Vol.%204-%29%20One%20Piece%20Promotion%20Cards&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Gum-Gum%20Lightning%20%28Premium%20Card%20Collection%20-Best%20Selection%20Vol.%204-%29%20One%20Piece%20Promotion%20Cards&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"2ce1f908c42e","game":"onepiece","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/2ce1f908c42e","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/onepiece/builds/a4bc1bbdc8d413b2/2c.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}