{"canonical_id_v02":"2dbea7ae993d","identity":{"artist":"Naoyo Kimura","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/ecard2/40.png","locale":"en","name":"Tyranitar","number":"040/147","rarity":"Rare","series_slug":"aquapolis","set_name":"Aquapolis","set_slug":"aquapolis","vintage":"mature_secondary"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"92d94e75ddde945c","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-04T10:19:13Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.0"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-03T20:39:54.146283+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":135}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-03T20:39:54.146283+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":135,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Reverse Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":240,"tcgcsv_forward":1629},"as_of_date":"2026-09-03","ath_date":"2025-10-14","ath_price":551.98,"atl_date":"2026-08-31","atl_price":0.32,"canonical_id_v02":"fa7c78a7cc2f","canonical_id_v03":"2dbea7ae993d","canonical_id_v1":"032ca1507af4","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":1.56,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":1.56,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":-36.72,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":65,"DRAWDOWN":10,"HEATED":25},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-mature_secondary","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":2.5,"cohort_median_90d_pct":12.12,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-79.78,"current_price":111.63,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-09-03","history_n_distinct_closes":56,"history_n_obs":1870,"history_n_obs_series":939,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-09-02","delta_pct":34493.8,"label":"+34494% day-over-day","price":110.7,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-08-31","delta_pct":-99.7,"label":"-100% day-over-day","price":0.32,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-08-31","delta_pct":-99.9,"label":"-100% off peak","price":0.32,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2025-11-07","delta_pct":290.7,"label":"+291% day-over-day","price":285.99,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-11-04","delta_pct":-72.3,"label":"-72% day-over-day","price":153,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-10-29","delta_pct":289.4,"label":"+289% day-over-day","price":551.98,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-10-20","delta_pct":-74.3,"label":"-74% day-over-day","price":141.75,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-09-22","delta_pct":226,"label":"+226% day-over-day","price":325.99,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":67,"regime_entered_date":"2026-05-04","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":0,"DRAWDOWN":15,"HEATED":85},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":53,"DRAWDOWN":6,"HEATED":41},"regime_run_length_days":122,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2025-01-22","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-02-22","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-04-16","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-05-17","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-08-27","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-12-17","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-12-23","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-02-01","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-02-02","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-02-06","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-03-21","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-04-30","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-05-04","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":1.56,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-0.94,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-48.84,"series_printing":"Normal","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":1,"n_candidates":3,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":-9.98,"return_30d_pct":0.01,"return_7d_pct":0,"return_90d_pct":-2.96,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-04","price":134.99},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":134.99},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":134.99},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":134.99},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":134.99},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":134.99},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":130},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":130},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":130},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":130},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":135},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":135},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":135},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":135},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":135},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":135},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":135},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":135},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":135},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":135},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":135},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":135},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":135},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":135},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":135},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":135},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":135},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":135},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":135},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":135},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":135}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-05","price":139.12},{"date":"2026-06-07","price":139.12},{"date":"2026-06-09","price":139.12},{"date":"2026-06-11","price":139.16},{"date":"2026-06-13","price":139.16},{"date":"2026-06-15","price":138.75},{"date":"2026-06-17","price":138.75},{"date":"2026-06-19","price":138.75},{"date":"2026-06-21","price":138.75},{"date":"2026-06-23","price":138.75},{"date":"2026-06-25","price":138.75},{"date":"2026-06-27","price":138.75},{"date":"2026-06-29","price":138.75},{"date":"2026-07-01","price":138.75},{"date":"2026-07-03","price":138.75},{"date":"2026-07-05","price":138.75},{"date":"2026-07-07","price":138.75},{"date":"2026-07-09","price":134.99},{"date":"2026-07-11","price":134.99},{"date":"2026-07-13","price":134.99},{"date":"2026-07-15","price":134.99},{"date":"2026-07-17","price":134.99},{"date":"2026-07-19","price":134.99},{"date":"2026-07-21","price":134.99},{"date":"2026-07-23","price":134.99},{"date":"2026-07-25","price":134.99},{"date":"2026-07-27","price":134.99},{"date":"2026-07-29","price":134.99},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":134.99},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":134.99},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":134.99},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":134.99},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":134.99},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":130},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":130},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":135},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":135},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":135},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":135},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":135},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":135},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":135},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":135},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":135},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":135},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":135}],"series_key":"90117|Reverse Holofoil","series_printing":"Reverse Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Tyranitar%20Aquapolis&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/tyranitar","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Tyranitar%20Aquapolis&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"2dbea7ae993d","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/2dbea7ae993d","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/92d94e75ddde945c/2d.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}