{"canonical_id_v02":"319bb9ff3676","identity":{"artist":"Kouki Saitou","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/tk2b/3.png","locale":"en","name":"Charmeleon","number":"3/12","rarity":"Uncommon","series_slug":"ex-trainer-kit-2-plusle-minun","set_name":"Ex Trainer Kit 2 Plusle And Minun","set_slug":"ex-trainer-kit-2-plusle-and-minun","vintage":"mature_secondary"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"92d94e75ddde945c","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-04T10:19:13Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.0"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Normal":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-03T00:00:00Z","listed_median":null,"market_price":1.83}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-03T00:00:00Z","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":1.83,"primary_printing":"Normal","primary_printing_in_record":"Normal","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"tcgcsv_archive":121,"tcgcsv_forward":818},"as_of_date":"2026-09-03","ath_date":"2026-09-03","ath_price":1.83,"atl_date":"2024-02-08","atl_price":0.67,"canonical_id_v02":"b487b5bf2e75","canonical_id_v03":"319bb9ff3676","canonical_id_v1":"7176a2727a70","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":12.96,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":16.56,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":26.21,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":65,"DRAWDOWN":10,"HEATED":25},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-mature_secondary","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":2.5,"cohort_median_90d_pct":12.12,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":0,"current_price":1.83,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-09-03","history_n_distinct_closes":87,"history_n_obs":939,"history_n_obs_series":939,"liquidity_tier":"T2","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-09-03","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-03-09","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-03-04","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-02-01","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-01-05","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-08-04","delta_pct":52.1,"label":"+52% day-over-day","price":1.11,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-05-29","delta_pct":-38.1,"label":"-38% off peak","price":0.7,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2024-04-27","delta_pct":27.3,"label":"+27% day-over-day","price":0.98,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":100,"regime_entered_date":"2026-09-03","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":62,"DRAWDOWN":1,"HEATED":37},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":48,"DRAWDOWN":22,"HEATED":30},"regime_run_length_days":0,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2024-03-14","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-04-14","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-04-27","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-06-06","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-10-25","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-12-04","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-12-17","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-05-29","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-06-29","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-08-04","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-11-23","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-12-11","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-12-24","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-12-25","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-01-05","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-02-01","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-03-04","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-03-09","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-09-03","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":12.96,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":14.06,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":14.09,"series_printing":"Normal","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":181,"n_candidates":1,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":42.97,"return_30d_pct":16.56,"return_7d_pct":3.98,"return_90d_pct":26.21,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-04","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":1.6},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":1.6},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":1.59},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":1.59},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":1.62},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":1.62},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":1.62},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":1.62},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":1.62},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":1.62},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":1.62},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":1.62},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":1.62},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":1.69},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":1.69},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":1.71},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":1.71},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":1.71},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":1.76},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":1.76},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":1.76},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":1.76},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":1.76},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":1.76},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":1.76},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":1.76},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":1.83}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-05","price":1.45},{"date":"2026-06-07","price":1.45},{"date":"2026-06-09","price":1.47},{"date":"2026-06-11","price":1.47},{"date":"2026-06-13","price":1.53},{"date":"2026-06-15","price":1.53},{"date":"2026-06-17","price":1.56},{"date":"2026-06-19","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-06-21","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-06-23","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-06-25","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-06-27","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-06-29","price":1.58},{"date":"2026-07-01","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-07-03","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-07-05","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-07-07","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-07-09","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-07-11","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-07-13","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-07-15","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-07-17","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-07-19","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-07-21","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-07-23","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-07-25","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-07-27","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-07-29","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":1.57},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":1.6},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":1.59},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":1.62},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":1.62},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":1.62},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":1.62},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":1.62},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":1.69},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":1.71},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":1.76},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":1.76},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":1.76},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":1.76},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":1.83}],"series_key":"84228|Normal","series_printing":"Normal"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Charmeleon%20Ex%20Trainer%20Kit%202%20Plusle%20And%20Minun&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/charmeleon","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Charmeleon%20Ex%20Trainer%20Kit%202%20Plusle%20And%20Minun&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"319bb9ff3676","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/319bb9ff3676","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/92d94e75ddde945c/31.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}