{"canonical_id_v02":"3286299d8712","identity":{"artist":null,"game":"onepiece","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://optcgapi.com/media/static/Card_Images/ST01-012_p2.jpg","locale":"en","name":"Monkey.D.Luffy (012) (Alternate Art)","number":"ST01-012","rarity":"SR","series_slug":"awakening-of-the-new-era","set_name":"Awakening of the New Era","set_slug":"awakening-of-the-new-era","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"6424d2f247c1776b","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-11T13:24:13Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.1"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-10T23:06:47.940257+00:00","listed_median":70,"market_price":57.59},"Normal":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-10T23:06:47.940257+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":null}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-10T23:06:47.940257+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":70,"latest_market_price":57.59,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Foil","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"tcgcsv_archive":121,"tcgcsv_forward":825},"as_of_date":"2026-09-10","ath_date":"2026-06-21","ath_price":112.94,"atl_date":"2024-10-23","atl_price":4.99,"canonical_id_v02":"3286299d8712","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":null,"card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":-5.08,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":-26.03,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":-44.25,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":14,"DRAWDOWN":27,"HEATED":59},"cohort_label":"onepiece-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0,"cohort_median_90d_pct":4.51,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-49.01,"current_price":57.59,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-09-10","history_n_distinct_closes":864,"history_n_obs":946,"history_n_obs_series":946,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-08-15","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-08","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-22","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-06-11","delta_pct":28,"label":"+28% day-over-day","prev_price":72.14,"price":92.32,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-01-03","delta_pct":29.6,"label":"+30% day-over-day","prev_price":50.65,"price":65.66,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-01-02","delta_pct":35.3,"label":"+35% day-over-day","prev_price":37.44,"price":50.65,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-12-09","delta_pct":35.6,"label":"+36% day-over-day","prev_price":33.15,"price":44.95,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-10-23","delta_pct":-78.6,"label":"-79% off peak","price":4.99,"type":"drawdown_low"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":86,"regime_entered_date":"2026-08-15","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":4,"DRAWDOWN":18,"HEATED":78},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":10,"DRAWDOWN":23,"HEATED":67},"regime_run_length_days":26,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2025-08-05","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-08-13","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-08-18","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-08-21","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-08-29","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-09-23","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-11-12","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-11-27","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-11-29","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-02-09","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-02-10","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-02-11","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-03-20","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-03-29","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-04-08","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-05-11","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-20","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-07-22","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-08","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-08-15","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":-5.08,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-26.03,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-48.76,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":-54.25,"series_printing":"Foil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":181,"n_candidates":1,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":10,"set_movers_share_90d":0.9404,"set_n_90d":151,"set_slug":"awakening-of-the-new-era"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":708.8483,"return_30d_pct":-26.0339,"return_7d_pct":-1.133,"return_90d_pct":-44.2498,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-11","price":77.86},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":77.38},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":77.38},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":74.45},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":73.07},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":69.48},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":69.48},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":68.44},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":63.49},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":63.12},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":61.88},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":61.88},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":61.2},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":60.89},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":60.89},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":60.89},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":60.67},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":60.67},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":60.2},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":59.63},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":58.42},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":58.39},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":58.34},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":58.25},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":58.25},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":58.17},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":57.67},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":57.67},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":57.59},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":57.59},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":57.59}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-12","price":103.3},{"date":"2026-06-14","price":105.25},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":111.5},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":111.3},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":112.54},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":112.14},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":111.38},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":102.51},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":96.99},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":92.37},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":90.81},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":90.06},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":86.94},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":84.6},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":79.11},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":79.11},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":79.23},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":78.99},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":79.33},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":79.33},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":78.66},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":79.2},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":81.02},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":81.22},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":80.79},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":80.57},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":81.12},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":80.96},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":80.84},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":78.76},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":77.86},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":77.38},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":73.07},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":69.48},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":63.49},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":61.88},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":61.2},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":60.89},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":60.67},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":60.2},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":58.42},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":58.34},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":58.25},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":57.67},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":57.59},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":57.59}],"series_key":"527027|Foil","series_printing":"Foil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Monkey.D.Luffy%20%28012%29%20%28Alternate%20Art%29%20Awakening%20of%20the%20New%20Era&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Monkey.D.Luffy%20%28012%29%20%28Alternate%20Art%29%20Awakening%20of%20the%20New%20Era&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"3286299d8712","game":"onepiece","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/3286299d8712","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/onepiece/builds/6424d2f247c1776b/32.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}