{"canonical_id_v02":"3dd45c5fbf43","canonical_url_id":"3dd45c5fbf43","identity":{"artist":null,"game":"swu","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/697873_200w.jpg","locale":"en","name":"Neel - The Cutest Boy","number":"248/264","rarity":"Rare","series_slug":"ashes-of-the-empire","set_name":"Ashes of the Empire","set_slug":"ashes-of-the-empire","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"8493cf614fa1e93f","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-21T14:17:33Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.2"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Normal":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-20T00:00:00Z","listed_median":null,"market_price":4.6}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-20T00:00:00Z","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":4.6,"primary_printing":"Normal","primary_printing_in_record":"Normal","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"tcgcsv_forward":73},"as_of_date":"2026-09-20","ath_date":"2026-09-11","ath_price":5.89,"atl_date":"2026-07-18","atl_price":0.87,"canonical_id_v02":"3dd45c5fbf43","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":"3dd45c5fbf43","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":-3.97,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":61.97,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":null,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":16,"DRAWDOWN":48,"HEATED":36},"cohort_label":"swu-en-raw-nascent","cohort_median_14d_pct":-2.29,"cohort_median_30d_pct":-4.55,"cohort_median_90d_pct":-7.81,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-21.9,"current_price":4.6,"history_first_date":"2026-07-10","history_last_date":"2026-09-20","history_n_distinct_closes":68,"history_n_obs":73,"history_n_obs_series":73,"liquidity_tier":"T2","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-07-18","delta_pct":-58,"label":"-58% day-over-day","prev_price":2.07,"price":0.87,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-07-18","delta_pct":-85.2,"label":"-85% off peak","price":0.87,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2026-07-17","delta_pct":-51.7,"label":"-52% day-over-day","prev_price":4.29,"price":2.07,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-07-14","delta_pct":-25.1,"label":"-25% day-over-day","prev_price":5.66,"price":4.24,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":74,"recent_steps":{"dates":["2026-07-17","2026-07-18"],"dates_truncated":false,"n":2,"threshold_pct":50,"window_days":120},"regime_entered_date":"2026-07-15","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":0,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":100},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":0,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":100},"regime_run_length_days":67,"regime_transitions":[],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":-1.68,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":66.52,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":null,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":null,"series_printing":"Normal","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":73,"n_candidates":1,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":-72,"set_movers_share_90d":1,"set_n_90d":25,"set_slug":"ashes-of-the-empire"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":null,"return_30d_pct":61.9718,"return_7d_pct":-13.371,"return_90d_pct":null,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-21","price":2.84},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":2.75},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":2.67},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":2.52},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":2.47},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":2.34},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":2.32},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":2.22},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":2.24},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":2.38},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":2.95},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":2.96},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":3.51},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":3.85},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":3.85},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":4.72},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":4.79},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":5.27},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":5.5},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":5.52},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":5.81},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":5.89},{"date":"2026-09-12","price":5.62},{"date":"2026-09-13","price":5.31},{"date":"2026-09-14","price":5.35},{"date":"2026-09-15","price":5.23},{"date":"2026-09-16","price":5.13},{"date":"2026-09-17","price":4.96},{"date":"2026-09-18","price":4.82},{"date":"2026-09-19","price":4.64},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":4.6}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-07-10","price":5.87},{"date":"2026-07-11","price":5.87},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":5.87},{"date":"2026-07-13","price":5.66},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":4.24},{"date":"2026-07-15","price":4.29},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":4.29},{"date":"2026-07-17","price":2.07},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":0.87},{"date":"2026-07-19","price":0.93},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":0.9},{"date":"2026-07-21","price":0.89},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":0.93},{"date":"2026-07-23","price":0.92},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":0.94},{"date":"2026-07-25","price":1.02},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":1.12},{"date":"2026-07-27","price":1.16},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":1.35},{"date":"2026-07-29","price":1.4},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":1.38},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":1.41},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":1.47},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":1.54},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":1.63},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":1.88},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":2.08},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":2.57},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":2.58},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":2.54},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":2.65},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":2.65},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":2.68},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":2.7},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":2.83},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":2.8},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":2.81},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":2.83},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":2.85},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":2.94},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":2.85},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":2.86},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":2.84},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":2.75},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":2.67},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":2.52},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":2.47},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":2.34},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":2.32},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":2.22},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":2.24},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":2.38},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":2.95},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":2.96},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":3.51},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":3.85},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":3.85},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":4.72},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":4.79},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":5.27},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":5.5},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":5.52},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":5.81},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":5.89},{"date":"2026-09-12","price":5.62},{"date":"2026-09-13","price":5.31},{"date":"2026-09-14","price":5.35},{"date":"2026-09-15","price":5.23},{"date":"2026-09-16","price":5.13},{"date":"2026-09-17","price":4.96},{"date":"2026-09-18","price":4.82},{"date":"2026-09-19","price":4.64},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":4.6}],"series_key":"697873|Normal","series_printing":"Normal"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Neel%20-%20The%20Cutest%20Boy%20Ashes%20of%20the%20Empire&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Neel%20-%20The%20Cutest%20Boy%20Ashes%20of%20the%20Empire&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"3dd45c5fbf43","game":"swu","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/3dd45c5fbf43","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/swu/builds/8493cf614fa1e93f/3d.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}