{"canonical_id_v02":"3e965929a972","identity":{"artist":"Kagemaru Himeno","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/base6/106.png","locale":"en","name":"Challenge!","number":"106/110","rarity":"Uncommon","series_slug":"legendary-collection","set_name":"Legendary Collection","set_slug":"legendary-collection","vintage":"mature_secondary"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"065295aaf7a72ee2","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-05T10:16:27Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.0"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-04T20:32:36.665993+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":86.42}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-04T20:32:36.665993+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":86.42,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Reverse Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":242,"tcgcsv_forward":1638},"as_of_date":"2026-09-04","ath_date":"2025-12-06","ath_price":107.49,"atl_date":"2024-09-05","atl_price":22.37,"canonical_id_v02":"0ce79bc8c28a","canonical_id_v03":"3e965929a972","canonical_id_v1":"3b81f056bb39","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":-3.04,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":1.52,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":14.72,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":65,"DRAWDOWN":10,"HEATED":25},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-mature_secondary","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":2.5,"cohort_median_90d_pct":12.17,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-19.6,"current_price":86.42,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-09-04","history_n_distinct_closes":33,"history_n_obs":1881,"history_n_obs_series":940,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-08-30","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-07","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-01-01","delta_pct":-39.5,"label":"-40% day-over-day","price":65,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-06-09","delta_pct":85.1,"label":"+85% day-over-day","price":89,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-05-13","delta_pct":-35.9,"label":"-36% day-over-day","price":48.07,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-05-13","delta_pct":-45.1,"label":"-45% off peak","price":48.07,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2024-11-14","delta_pct":224.8,"label":"+225% day-over-day","price":74.99,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-09-05","delta_pct":-42.6,"label":"-43% day-over-day","price":22.37,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":73,"regime_entered_date":"2026-08-30","regime_label":"CALM","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":45,"DRAWDOWN":37,"HEATED":18},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":52,"DRAWDOWN":18,"HEATED":30},"regime_run_length_days":5,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2024-09-05","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-10-15","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2024-11-14","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-12-24","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-03-25","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-08-04","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-01-01","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-02-10","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-02-15","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-02-21","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-03-03","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-03-06","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-04-03","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-08-03","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-08-07","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-30","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":-3.04,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-0.98,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":2.55,"series_printing":"Reverse Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"sticky_previous","margin":0,"n_candidates":3,"pool":"recent","tie_members":["Normal","Reverse Holofoil"]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":-14.71,"return_30d_pct":1.52,"return_7d_pct":-3.04,"return_90d_pct":14.72,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-05","price":85.13},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":85.13},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":87.61},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":86.42},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":86.42},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":86.42},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":86.42},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":86.42},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":86.42}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-06","price":75.33},{"date":"2026-06-08","price":75.33},{"date":"2026-06-10","price":75.33},{"date":"2026-06-12","price":75.33},{"date":"2026-06-14","price":75.33},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":75.33},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":75.33},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":75.33},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":75.33},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":75.33},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":75.33},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":75.33},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":75.33},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":75.33},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":75.33},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":75.33},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":75.33},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":75.33},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":75.33},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":75.33},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":75.33},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":75.33},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":75.33},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":75.33},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":77.52},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":77.52},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":77.52},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":77.52},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":77.52},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":85.13},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":85.13},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":87.61},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":89.13},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":86.42},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":86.42},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":86.42}],"series_key":"84160|Reverse Holofoil","series_printing":"Reverse Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Challenge%21%20Legendary%20Collection&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/challenge!","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Challenge%21%20Legendary%20Collection&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"3e965929a972","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/3e965929a972","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/065295aaf7a72ee2/3e.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}