{"canonical_id_v02":"3efd167d7695","canonical_url_id":"3efd167d7695","identity":{"artist":"Pavel Chuvin","game":"fab","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://legendstory-production-s3-public.s3.amazonaws.com/media/cards/large/U-ARC178-RF.webp","locale":"en","name":"Back Alley Breakline","number":"ARC178","rarity":"C","series_slug":"arcane-rising","set_name":"Arcane Rising","set_slug":"arcane-rising","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"62e6902c4d7d07c7","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-28T11:11:50Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.2"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Unlimited Edition Rainbow Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-27T00:00:00Z","listed_median":null,"market_price":1.62}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition; third stratum fu506 (top 8 per game, 24 decidable card rows): NM-consistent +-10% 17/24; 1 LP to the cent, 1 nearest HP at 117x, 2 at 1.7-1.8x NM, 1 NM unpriced; 35 of 64 top rows were sealed)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-27T00:00:00Z","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":1.62,"primary_printing":"Unlimited Edition Rainbow Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Unlimited Edition Rainbow Foil","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[{"canonical_id_v02":"03fbc2502119","market_price":0.34,"name":"Back Alley Breakline","printing":"1st Edition Normal","rationale":"same_card_other_printing","recent_series":[{"date":"2026-09-20","price":0.34},{"date":"2026-09-21","price":0.34},{"date":"2026-09-22","price":0.34},{"date":"2026-09-23","price":0.34},{"date":"2026-09-24","price":0.34},{"date":"2026-09-25","price":0.34},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":0.34},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":0.34}]},{"canonical_id_v02":"fb5e2dbd8c56","market_price":15,"name":"Back Alley Breakline","printing":"1st Edition Rainbow Foil","rationale":"same_card_other_printing","recent_series":[{"date":"2026-09-20","price":15},{"date":"2026-09-21","price":15},{"date":"2026-09-22","price":15},{"date":"2026-09-23","price":15},{"date":"2026-09-24","price":15},{"date":"2026-09-25","price":15},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":15},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":15}]},{"canonical_id_v02":"505c7d5f600b","market_price":0.26,"name":"Back Alley Breakline","printing":"Unlimited Edition Normal","rationale":"same_card_other_printing","recent_series":[{"date":"2026-09-20","price":0.24},{"date":"2026-09-21","price":0.24},{"date":"2026-09-22","price":0.23},{"date":"2026-09-23","price":0.23},{"date":"2026-09-24","price":0.26},{"date":"2026-09-25","price":0.26},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":0.26},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":0.26}]}],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"tcgcsv_archive":117,"tcgcsv_forward":812},"as_of_date":"2026-09-27","ath_date":"2025-09-18","ath_price":4.81,"atl_date":"2024-02-19","atl_price":0.2,"canonical_id_v02":"3efd167d7695","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":null,"card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":-1.22,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":-2.41,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":-2.41,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":34,"DRAWDOWN":32,"HEATED":34},"cohort_label":"fab-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0,"cohort_median_90d_pct":0,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-66.32,"current_price":1.62,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-09-27","history_n_distinct_closes":114,"history_n_obs":929,"history_n_obs_series":929,"liquidity_tier":"T2","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-09-22","delta_pct":-66.3,"label":"-66% off peak","price":1.62,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2026-02-28","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-11-23","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-11-21","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-11-02","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-06-18","delta_pct":32.1,"label":"+32% day-over-day","prev_date":"2025-06-17","prev_price":1.96,"price":2.59,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-06-14","delta_pct":71,"label":"+71% day-over-day","prev_date":"2025-06-13","prev_price":0.93,"price":1.59,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-06-08","delta_pct":42.9,"label":"+43% day-over-day","prev_date":"2025-06-07","prev_price":0.49,"price":0.7,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":50,"recent_steps":{"dates":[],"dates_truncated":false,"n":0,"threshold_pct":50,"window_days":120},"regime_entered_date":"2026-02-28","regime_label":"DRAWDOWN","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":10,"DRAWDOWN":58,"HEATED":32},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":42,"DRAWDOWN":23,"HEATED":35},"regime_run_length_days":211,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2024-02-19","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-03-23","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-09-11","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-10-12","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-03-18","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-05-17","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-06-07","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-08-29","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-11-02","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-11-21","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-11-23","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-02-28","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":-1.22,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-2.41,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-2.41,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":-2.41,"series_printing":"Unlimited Edition Rainbow Foil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":181,"n_candidates":1,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":0,"set_movers_share_90d":0.6401,"set_n_90d":789,"set_slug":"arcane-rising"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":-66.3202,"return_30d_pct":-2.4096,"return_7d_pct":-1.2195,"return_90d_pct":-2.4096,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-28","price":1.66},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":1.66},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":1.66},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":1.66},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":1.66},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":1.65},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":1.66},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":1.66},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":1.66},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":1.66},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":1.66},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":1.66},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":1.66},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":1.64},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":1.64},{"date":"2026-09-12","price":1.64},{"date":"2026-09-13","price":1.64},{"date":"2026-09-14","price":1.64},{"date":"2026-09-15","price":1.64},{"date":"2026-09-16","price":1.64},{"date":"2026-09-17","price":1.64},{"date":"2026-09-18","price":1.64},{"date":"2026-09-19","price":1.64},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":1.64},{"date":"2026-09-21","price":1.64},{"date":"2026-09-22","price":1.62},{"date":"2026-09-23","price":1.62},{"date":"2026-09-24","price":1.62},{"date":"2026-09-25","price":1.62},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":1.62},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":1.62}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-29","price":1.66},{"date":"2026-07-01","price":1.66},{"date":"2026-07-03","price":1.65},{"date":"2026-07-05","price":1.65},{"date":"2026-07-07","price":1.65},{"date":"2026-07-09","price":1.65},{"date":"2026-07-11","price":1.65},{"date":"2026-07-13","price":1.65},{"date":"2026-07-15","price":1.65},{"date":"2026-07-17","price":1.63},{"date":"2026-07-19","price":1.65},{"date":"2026-07-21","price":1.65},{"date":"2026-07-23","price":1.68},{"date":"2026-07-25","price":1.68},{"date":"2026-07-27","price":1.68},{"date":"2026-07-29","price":1.68},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":1.68},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":1.68},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":1.68},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":1.68},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":1.68},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":1.68},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":1.68},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":1.68},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":1.68},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":1.68},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":1.68},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":1.67},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":1.67},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":1.67},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":1.66},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":1.66},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":1.66},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":1.66},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":1.66},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":1.66},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":1.66},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":1.64},{"date":"2026-09-13","price":1.64},{"date":"2026-09-15","price":1.64},{"date":"2026-09-17","price":1.64},{"date":"2026-09-19","price":1.64},{"date":"2026-09-21","price":1.64},{"date":"2026-09-23","price":1.62},{"date":"2026-09-25","price":1.62},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":1.62}],"series_key":"225798|Unlimited Edition Rainbow Foil","series_printing":"Unlimited Edition Rainbow Foil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Back%20Alley%20Breakline%20Arcane%20Rising&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Back%20Alley%20Breakline%20Arcane%20Rising&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"3efd167d7695","game":"fab","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/3efd167d7695","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/fab/builds/62e6902c4d7d07c7/3e.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}