{"canonical_id_v02":"45715c174582","canonical_url_id":"45715c174582","identity":{"artist":"Yusuke Ohmura","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/dp2/89.png","locale":"en","name":"Magikarp","number":"89/123","rarity":"Common","series_slug":"mysterious-treasures","set_name":"Mysterious Treasures","set_slug":"mysterious-treasures","vintage":"mature_secondary"},"lineage":{"dex":129,"earliest":{"name":"Magikarp","set_name":"Base Set","url_id":"341f43083f30","year":1999},"earliest_includes_this":false,"earliest_same_day_cards":1,"earliest_same_day_sets":1,"latest":{"name":"Magikarp","set_name":"ME: 30th Celebration Classic Collection","url_id":"d50d940c416f","year":2026},"latest_includes_this":false,"latest_same_day_cards":1,"latest_same_day_sets":1,"ordinal":15,"rule":"species v3","same_set_cards":1,"species":"Magikarp","species_cards":47,"species_dated":44,"species_sets":43,"species_shared_cards":4,"undated_reason":null,"url_id":"45b60852616b"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"21218715808ed0de","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-10-27T08:20:42Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.8"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-26T20:43:56.351337+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":33.74}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition; third stratum fu506 (top 8 per game, 24 decidable card rows): NM-consistent +-10% 17/24; 1 LP to the cent, 1 nearest HP at 117x, 2 at 1.7-1.8x NM, 1 NM unpriced; 35 of 64 top rows were sealed)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-26T20:43:56.351337+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":33.74,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Reverse Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[{"canonical_id_v02":"45b60852616b","market_price":1.62,"name":"Magikarp","printing":"Normal","rationale":"same_card_other_printing","recent_series":[{"date":"2026-10-19","price":1.61},{"date":"2026-10-20","price":1.61},{"date":"2026-10-21","price":1.61},{"date":"2026-10-22","price":1.61},{"date":"2026-10-23","price":1.61},{"date":"2026-10-24","price":1.63},{"date":"2026-10-25","price":1.62},{"date":"2026-10-26","price":1.62}]}],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":241,"tcgcsv_forward":1738},"as_of_date":"2026-10-26","ath_date":"2026-10-01","ath_price":33.74,"ath_price_days":26,"ath_run_last_date":"2026-10-26","ath_run_rows":26,"ath_run_to_end":true,"ath_since_release_date":null,"ath_since_release_price":null,"ath_since_release_price_days":null,"ath_since_release_run_last_date":null,"ath_since_release_run_rows":null,"ath_since_release_run_to_end":null,"atl_date":"2025-01-11","atl_price":0.97,"atl_price_days":13,"atl_run_last_date":"2025-01-23","atl_run_rows":13,"atl_run_to_end":false,"atl_since_release_date":null,"atl_since_release_price":null,"atl_since_release_price_days":null,"atl_since_release_run_last_date":null,"atl_since_release_run_rows":null,"atl_since_release_run_to_end":null,"canonical_id_v02":"9045a9b44e19","canonical_id_v03":"45b60852616b","canonical_id_v1":"d0214bf4fef0","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":0,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":30.67,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":35.01,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":65,"DRAWDOWN":10,"HEATED":25},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-mature_secondary","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":2.4,"cohort_median_90d_pct":10.29,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":0,"current_price":33.74,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_first_date_series":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-10-26","history_last_date_series":"2026-10-26","history_n_distinct_closes":28,"history_n_obs":1980,"history_n_obs_series":987,"liquidity_tier":"T2","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-07-05","delta_pct":150.2,"label":"+150% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-07-04","prev_price":9.99,"price":24.99,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-06-15","delta_pct":33.4,"label":"+33% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-06-14","prev_price":7.49,"price":9.99,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-10-05","delta_pct":129.1,"label":"+129% day-over-day","prev_date":"2025-10-04","prev_price":1.65,"price":3.78,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-01-24","delta_pct":53.6,"label":"+54% day-over-day","prev_date":"2025-01-23","prev_price":0.97,"price":1.49,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-01-11","delta_pct":-41.2,"label":"-41% day-over-day","prev_date":"2025-01-10","prev_price":1.65,"price":0.97,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-01-11","delta_pct":-84.4,"label":"-84% off peak","price":0.97,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2024-12-18","delta_pct":-31,"label":"-31% day-over-day","prev_date":"2024-12-17","prev_price":2.39,"price":1.65,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-11-20","delta_pct":-43,"label":"-43% day-over-day","prev_date":"2024-11-19","prev_price":4.19,"price":2.39,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":100,"recent_steps":{"dates":["2026-07-05"],"dates_truncated":false,"n":1,"threshold_pct":50,"window_days":120},"record_block_scope":"per_print_page","regime_entered_date":"2026-07-09","regime_label":"CALM","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":81,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":19},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":47,"DRAWDOWN":10,"HEATED":43},"regime_run_length_days":109,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2024-04-13","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-05-16","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2024-06-10","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-06-13","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2024-07-03","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-07-05","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2024-08-24","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-10-27","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-11-10","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-03-21","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-04-14","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-04-16","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-04-20","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-08-08","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-10-15","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-11-06","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-04-30","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-05-02","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-05-13","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-09","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":0,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":28.27,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":24.72,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":22.39,"series_printing":"Reverse Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"base_decided_by":"count","base_series_printing":"Normal","decided_by":"per_print_page","margin":null,"n_candidates":2,"pool":null,"tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":12.62,"set_member_unit":"cards","set_movers_share_90d":0.9593,"set_n_90d":123,"set_release_date":"2007-08-01","set_slug":"mysterious-treasures"},"trajectory":{"last_step":{"date":"2026-10-01","next":33.74,"prev":25.82,"prev_date":"2026-09-30"},"return_1y_base":{"date":"2025-10-26","price":3.97},"return_1y_pct":749.8741,"return_30d_pct":30.6739,"return_7d_pct":0,"return_90d_pct":35.014,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-09-26","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-09-29","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-10-01","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-03","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-05","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-07","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-08","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-09","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-10","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-11","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-13","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-15","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-17","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-18","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-19","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-20","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-21","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-22","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-23","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-24","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-25","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-26","price":33.74}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-07-28","price":24.99},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":24.99},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":24.99},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":24.99},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":24.99},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-09-12","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-09-14","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-09-16","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-09-18","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-09-22","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-09-24","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":25.82},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-08","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-10","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-18","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-20","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-22","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-24","price":33.74},{"date":"2026-10-26","price":33.74}],"series_key":"87029|Reverse Holofoil","series_printing":"Reverse Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Magikarp%20Mysterious%20Treasures&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/magikarp","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Magikarp%20Mysterious%20Treasures&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"45715c174582","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/45715c174582","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/21218715808ed0de/45.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"page_headline":{"price":33.74,"printing":"Reverse Holofoil","as_of":"2026-10-26","computed_by":"witness/src/render-card.ts _heroMarketPrice, _heroDisplayPrinting, heroAsOfDay: the functions the HTML page calls on this same record (build_shard below). Unrounded: the page prints whole dollars from $100."},"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field outside `_handle` is served verbatim from the build shard. Two `_handle` entries are computed: `provenance_fields` (from the record) and `page_headline` (the figure the page rendered from this build_shard heads with, by the page's own functions; a page served from the edge cache within an hour of a build change can still show the previous build)."}}