{"canonical_id_v02":"464c7bf9a5ff","identity":{"artist":"Jason Rainville","game":"mtg","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://cards.scryfall.io/normal/front/b/b/bbac6d75-59ab-4d7d-87ae-46875abf8cc7.jpg?1783938583","locale":"en","name":"Zurgo Bellstriker","number":"169","rarity":"rare","series_slug":"dragons-of-tarkir","set_name":"Dragons of Tarkir","set_slug":"dragons-of-tarkir","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"dd33b3c6ef9b37c9","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-08-30T16:37:28Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.0"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-08-29T00:00:00Z","listed_median":null,"market_price":0.88},"Normal":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-08-29T00:00:00Z","listed_median":null,"market_price":0.26}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-08-29T00:00:00Z","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":0.88,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Foil","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"tcgcsv_archive":122,"tcgcsv_forward":1746},"as_of_date":"2026-08-29","ath_date":"2024-02-08","ath_price":2.48,"atl_date":"2024-12-06","atl_price":0.5,"canonical_id_v02":"464c7bf9a5ff","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":null,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":45,"DRAWDOWN":26,"HEATED":29},"cohort_label":"mtg-en-raw-mature_secondary","cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-64.52,"current_price":0.88,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-08-29","history_n_obs":1868,"history_n_obs_series":934,"liquidity_tier":"T2","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-07-23","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-06-29","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-05-14","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-04-16","delta_pct":54.7,"label":"+55% day-over-day","price":1.16,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-01-26","delta_pct":50,"label":"+50% day-over-day","price":0.75,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-12-06","delta_pct":-56.9,"label":"-57% day-over-day","price":0.5,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-12-06","delta_pct":-79.8,"label":"-80% off peak","price":0.5,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2024-11-17","delta_pct":-35.9,"label":"-36% day-over-day","price":1.16,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":40,"regime_entered_date":"2026-07-23","regime_label":"DRAWDOWN","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":13,"DRAWDOWN":50,"HEATED":37},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":23,"DRAWDOWN":42,"HEATED":35},"regime_run_length_days":37,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2024-07-18","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2024-10-07","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-10-14","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-11-07","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-11-14","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2024-11-17","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-01-15","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-01-26","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-03-07","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-04-16","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-06-17","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-09-15","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-11-19","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-11-22","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-12-23","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-03-15","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-04-24","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-05-14","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-06-29","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-23","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":0,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":0,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":2.61,"series_printing":"Foil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"sticky_previous","margin":0,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"recent","tie_members":["Foil","Normal"]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":2.33,"return_30d_pct":0,"return_7d_pct":0,"return_90d_pct":3.53,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-07-30","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":0.88}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-05-31","price":0.85},{"date":"2026-06-02","price":0.85},{"date":"2026-06-04","price":0.85},{"date":"2026-06-06","price":0.85},{"date":"2026-06-08","price":0.85},{"date":"2026-06-10","price":0.85},{"date":"2026-06-12","price":0.85},{"date":"2026-06-14","price":0.85},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":0.85},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":0.85},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":0.85},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":0.8},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":0.8},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":0.8},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":0.8},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":0.87},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":0.87},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":0.87},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":0.87},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":0.87},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":0.87},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":0.87},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":0.89},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":0.88},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":0.88}],"series_key":"96469|Foil","series_printing":"Foil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Zurgo%20Bellstriker%20Dragons%20of%20Tarkir&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":"https://scryfall.com/search?q=Zurgo%20Bellstriker","tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Zurgo%20Bellstriker%20Dragons%20of%20Tarkir&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"464c7bf9a5ff","game":"mtg","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/464c7bf9a5ff","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/mtg/builds/dd33b3c6ef9b37c9/46.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}