{"canonical_id_v02":"4c6a31ab907f","identity":{"artist":null,"game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.scrydex.com/pokemon/me3-106/small","locale":"en","name":"Mega Skarmory ex","number":"106/088","rarity":"Ultra Rare","series_slug":"me03-perfect-order","set_name":"Me03 Perfect Order","set_slug":"me03-perfect-order","vintage":"nascent"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"065295aaf7a72ee2","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-05T10:16:27Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.0"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Holofoil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-04T00:00:00Z","listed_median":null,"market_price":4.18}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-04T00:00:00Z","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":4.18,"primary_printing":"Holofoil","primary_printing_in_record":"Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"tcgcsv_archive":10,"tcgcsv_forward":153},"as_of_date":"2026-09-04","ath_date":"2026-03-26","ath_price":10,"atl_date":"2026-07-19","atl_price":3.87,"canonical_id_v02":"4f55021616a5","canonical_id_v03":"4c6a31ab907f","canonical_id_v1":"f6f861fbcff6","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":-5,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":-14.52,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":-29.51,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":33,"DRAWDOWN":20,"HEATED":47},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-nascent","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0,"cohort_median_90d_pct":1.72,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-58.2,"current_price":4.18,"history_first_date":"2026-03-26","history_last_date":"2026-09-04","history_n_distinct_closes":162,"history_n_obs":163,"history_n_obs_series":163,"liquidity_tier":"T2","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-08-31","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-28","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-19","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-18","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-13","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-12","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-19","delta_pct":-61.3,"label":"-61% off peak","price":3.87,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2026-03-28","delta_pct":-36,"label":"-36% day-over-day","price":5.82,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":10,"regime_entered_date":"2026-08-31","regime_label":"CALM","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":6,"DRAWDOWN":35,"HEATED":59},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":6,"DRAWDOWN":35,"HEATED":59},"regime_run_length_days":4,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2026-05-07","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-05-16","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-05-17","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-06-03","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-06","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-06-10","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-16","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-06-19","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-23","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-26","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-01","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-08-02","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-03","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-08-04","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-08-12","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-13","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-08-18","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-19","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-08-28","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-31","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":-5,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-14.52,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-31.24,"series_printing":"Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":163,"n_candidates":1,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":null,"return_30d_pct":-14.52,"return_7d_pct":-16.4,"return_90d_pct":-29.51,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-05","price":4.89},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":4.81},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":4.89},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":4.98},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":4.75},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":4.46},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":4.24},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":3.91},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":4.09},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":3.92},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":4.16},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":4.1},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":4.32},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":4.7},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":4.55},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":4.43},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":4.4},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":4.36},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":4.13},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":4.22},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":4.37},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":4.67},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":4.49},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":5},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":5.32},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":5.55},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":4.68},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":4.35},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":4.6},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":4.34},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":4.18}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-06","price":5.93},{"date":"2026-06-08","price":5.56},{"date":"2026-06-10","price":5.4},{"date":"2026-06-12","price":4.96},{"date":"2026-06-14","price":4.78},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":5.3},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":5.42},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":5.03},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":4.75},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":4.58},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":4.5},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":4.9},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":4.44},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":4.59},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":4.4},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":4.12},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":4.04},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":4.58},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":4.58},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":4.47},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":4.32},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":4.44},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":4.02},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":4.1},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":4.51},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":4.38},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":4.47},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":4.16},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":4.33},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":4.46},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":4.89},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":4.89},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":4.75},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":4.24},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":4.09},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":4.16},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":4.32},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":4.55},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":4.4},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":4.13},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":4.37},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":4.49},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":5.32},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":4.68},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":4.6},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":4.18}],"series_key":"684352|Holofoil","series_printing":"Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Mega%20Skarmory%20ex%20Me03%20Perfect%20Order&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/mega-skarmory-ex","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Mega%20Skarmory%20ex%20Me03%20Perfect%20Order&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"4c6a31ab907f","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/4c6a31ab907f","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/065295aaf7a72ee2/4c.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}