{"canonical_id_v02":"507a8e2e7997","identity":{"artist":"Ayaka Yoshida","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/swsh35/22.png","locale":"en","name":"Alcremie V","number":"22/73","rarity":"Rare Holo V","series_slug":"champion-s-path","set_name":"Champions Path","set_slug":"champions-path","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"39004ef3ed004fa7","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-12T10:11:01Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.1"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-12T04:29:34.933781+00:00","listed_median":2.79,"market_price":2.79}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-12T04:29:34.933781+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":2.79,"latest_market_price":2.79,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":121,"tcgcsv_forward":826},"as_of_date":"2026-09-12","ath_date":"2026-09-06","ath_price":3.08,"atl_date":"2024-10-31","atl_price":0.69,"canonical_id_v02":"a8a74407e6bb","canonical_id_v03":"507a8e2e7997","canonical_id_v1":"4090264a5264","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":15.29,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":8.14,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":22.91,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":44,"DRAWDOWN":12,"HEATED":44},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":1.1,"cohort_median_90d_pct":6.25,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-9.42,"current_price":2.79,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-09-12","history_n_distinct_closes":760,"history_n_obs":948,"history_n_obs_series":947,"liquidity_tier":"T2","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-09-09","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-09-08","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-09-03","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-09-02","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-06-11","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-05-17","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-03-08","delta_pct":-27.4,"label":"-27% day-over-day","prev_price":2.34,"price":1.7,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-07-28","delta_pct":-50,"label":"-50% off peak","price":0.97,"type":"drawdown_low"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":97,"regime_entered_date":"2026-09-09","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":16,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":84},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":31,"DRAWDOWN":3,"HEATED":66},"regime_run_length_days":2,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2025-08-16","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-08-31","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-09-08","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-09-14","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-09-21","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-10-02","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-10-10","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-10-19","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-10-24","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-10-25","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-10-27","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-10-29","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-11-01","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-11-08","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-05-17","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-06-11","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-09-02","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-09-03","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-09-08","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-09-09","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":15.29,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":7.04,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":16.66,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":9.27,"series_printing":"Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":179,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":13.64,"set_movers_share_90d":0.9494,"set_n_90d":79,"set_slug":"champions-path"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":155.9633,"return_30d_pct":8.1395,"return_7d_pct":-5.7432,"return_90d_pct":22.9075,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-12","price":2.58},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":2.62},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":2.56},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":2.56},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":2.71},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":2.69},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":2.51},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":2.54},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":2.6},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":2.55},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":2.47},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":2.39},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":2.39},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":2.37},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":2.42},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":2.42},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":2.42},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":2.51},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":2.48},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":2.57},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":2.79},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":2.79},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":2.96},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":2.96},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":2.96},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":3.08},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":3.07},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":3.07},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":2.99},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":3.01},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":2.79}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-13","price":2.27},{"date":"2026-06-15","price":2.25},{"date":"2026-06-17","price":2.35},{"date":"2026-06-19","price":2.45},{"date":"2026-06-21","price":2.3},{"date":"2026-06-23","price":2.7},{"date":"2026-06-25","price":2.8},{"date":"2026-06-27","price":2.83},{"date":"2026-06-29","price":2.58},{"date":"2026-07-01","price":2.44},{"date":"2026-07-03","price":2.43},{"date":"2026-07-05","price":2.55},{"date":"2026-07-07","price":2.45},{"date":"2026-07-09","price":2.38},{"date":"2026-07-11","price":2.49},{"date":"2026-07-13","price":2.35},{"date":"2026-07-15","price":2.28},{"date":"2026-07-17","price":2.35},{"date":"2026-07-19","price":2.67},{"date":"2026-07-21","price":2.62},{"date":"2026-07-23","price":2.77},{"date":"2026-07-25","price":2.8},{"date":"2026-07-27","price":2.8},{"date":"2026-07-29","price":2.96},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":2.76},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":2.84},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":2.84},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":2.85},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":2.79},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":2.85},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":2.58},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":2.56},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":2.71},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":2.51},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":2.6},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":2.47},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":2.39},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":2.42},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":2.42},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":2.48},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":2.79},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":2.96},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":2.96},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":3.07},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":2.99},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":2.79}],"series_key":"223015|Holofoil","series_printing":"Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Alcremie%20V%20Champions%20Path&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/alcremie-v","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Alcremie%20V%20Champions%20Path&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"507a8e2e7997","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/507a8e2e7997","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/39004ef3ed004fa7/50.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}