{"canonical_id_v02":"52d80e220b18","identity":{"artist":null,"game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/sv8/204.png","locale":"en","name":"Mesprit","number":"204/191","rarity":"Illustration Rare","series_slug":"sv08-surging-sparks","set_name":"Sv08 Surging Sparks","set_slug":"sv08-surging-sparks","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"065295aaf7a72ee2","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-05T10:16:27Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.0"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-04T20:55:45.620011+00:00","listed_median":14.86,"market_price":14.15}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-04T20:55:45.620011+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":14.86,"latest_market_price":14.15,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":83,"tcgcsv_forward":590},"as_of_date":"2026-09-04","ath_date":"2025-02-19","ath_price":19.05,"atl_date":"2024-11-09","atl_price":5.57,"canonical_id_v02":"7452803c097b","canonical_id_v03":"52d80e220b18","canonical_id_v1":"8b2f1fe3eca4","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":0.71,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":2.61,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":18.81,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":44,"DRAWDOWN":12,"HEATED":44},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":1.33,"cohort_median_90d_pct":6.25,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-25.72,"current_price":14.15,"history_first_date":"2024-11-01","history_last_date":"2026-09-04","history_n_distinct_closes":656,"history_n_obs":674,"history_n_obs_series":673,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-08-30","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-29","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-31","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-30","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-22","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-13","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-01-17","delta_pct":-62.7,"label":"-63% off peak","price":7.1,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2025-01-03","delta_pct":30.5,"label":"+31% day-over-day","price":9.66,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":92,"regime_entered_date":"2026-08-30","regime_label":"DRAWDOWN","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":30,"DRAWDOWN":13,"HEATED":57},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":26,"DRAWDOWN":8,"HEATED":66},"regime_run_length_days":5,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2026-02-28","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-03-02","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-05","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-06-07","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-08","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-06-10","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-16","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-06-18","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-19","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-06-22","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-25","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-06-29","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-30","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-09","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-07-13","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-22","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-07-30","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-31","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-08-29","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-08-30","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":0.71,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":1.28,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":12.56,"series_printing":"Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":180,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":51.34,"return_30d_pct":2.61,"return_7d_pct":0.57,"return_90d_pct":18.81,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-05","price":13.79},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":13.78},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":13.44},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":13.34},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":13.41},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":13.44},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":13.28},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":12.98},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":12.91},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":12.66},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":12.89},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":12.91},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":13.57},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":13.71},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":14.05},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":13.93},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":14.05},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":13.7},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":14.27},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":14.43},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":14.82},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":14.43},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":14.24},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":14.07},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":14.81},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":14.86},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":14.54},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":14.33},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":14.44},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":14},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":14.15}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-06","price":11.91},{"date":"2026-06-08","price":12.89},{"date":"2026-06-10","price":13.03},{"date":"2026-06-12","price":13.1},{"date":"2026-06-14","price":13.38},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":13.26},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":13.34},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":13.22},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":14.32},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":13.97},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":13.81},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":14.08},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":13.66},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":13.26},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":13.31},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":13.65},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":13.46},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":13.52},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":13.72},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":14},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":13.57},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":12.97},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":13.56},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":13.8},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":13.82},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":14.44},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":14.27},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":14.53},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":14.75},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":13.76},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":13.79},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":13.44},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":13.41},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":13.28},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":12.91},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":12.89},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":13.57},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":14.05},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":14.05},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":14.27},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":14.82},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":14.24},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":14.81},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":14.54},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":14.44},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":14.15}],"series_key":"590003|Holofoil","series_printing":"Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Mesprit%20Sv08%20Surging%20Sparks&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/mesprit","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Mesprit%20Sv08%20Surging%20Sparks&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"52d80e220b18","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/52d80e220b18","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/065295aaf7a72ee2/52.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}