{"canonical_id_v02":"531490bdda8c","canonical_url_id":"531490bdda8c","identity":{"artist":"Andrew Mar","game":"mtg","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://cards.scryfall.io/normal/front/d/5/d5226568-9605-41bf-a025-45d2562039aa.jpg?1783903508","locale":"en","name":"Chance for Glory","number":"2470","rarity":"mythic","series_slug":"secret-lair-drop-series","set_name":"Secret Lair Drop","set_slug":"secret-lair-drop","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"lineage":null,"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"ba0f61e2119b11ba","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-10-18T11:44:27Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.5"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-17T18:18:37.630774+00:00","listed_median":25.22,"market_price":34.72},"Normal":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-17T18:18:37.630774+00:00","listed_median":12.42,"market_price":12.42}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition; third stratum fu506 (top 8 per game, 24 decidable card rows): NM-consistent +-10% 17/24; 1 LP to the cent, 1 nearest HP at 117x, 2 at 1.7-1.8x NM, 1 NM unpriced; 35 of 64 top rows were sealed)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-17T18:18:37.630774+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":12.42,"latest_market_price":12.42,"primary_printing":"Normal","primary_printing_in_record":"Normal","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"tcgcsv_forward":192},"as_of_date":"2026-10-17","ath_date":"2026-06-25","ath_price":17.63,"ath_since_release_date":null,"ath_since_release_price":null,"atl_date":"2026-09-12","atl_price":12.39,"canonical_id_v02":"531490bdda8c","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":null,"card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":-0.16,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":0.24,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":-14.93,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":33,"DRAWDOWN":28,"HEATED":39},"cohort_label":"mtg-en-raw-nascent","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0,"cohort_median_90d_pct":0.8,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-29.55,"current_price":12.42,"history_first_date":"2026-06-20","history_first_date_series":"2026-06-25","history_last_date":"2026-10-17","history_last_date_series":"2026-10-17","history_n_distinct_closes":19,"history_n_obs":192,"history_n_obs_series":115,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-08-15","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-20","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":15,"recent_steps":{"dates":[],"dates_truncated":false,"n":0,"threshold_pct":50,"window_days":120},"regime_entered_date":"2026-08-15","regime_label":"DRAWDOWN","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":18,"DRAWDOWN":58,"HEATED":24},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":18,"DRAWDOWN":58,"HEATED":24},"regime_run_length_days":63,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2026-07-20","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-15","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":-0.16,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":0.24,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-15.73,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":-16.76,"series_printing":"Normal","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":38,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":1.83,"set_member_unit":"printings","set_members_are_printings":true,"set_movers_share_90d":0.9902,"set_n_90d":2543,"set_release_date":"2026-05-11","set_slug":"secret-lair-drop"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_base":null,"return_1y_pct":null,"return_30d_pct":0.2421,"return_7d_pct":0.1613,"return_90d_pct":-14.9315,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-09-17","price":12.39},{"date":"2026-09-18","price":12.39},{"date":"2026-09-19","price":12.52},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":12.52},{"date":"2026-09-21","price":12.52},{"date":"2026-09-22","price":12.52},{"date":"2026-09-23","price":12.52},{"date":"2026-09-24","price":12.44},{"date":"2026-09-25","price":12.44},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":12.44},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":12.44},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":12.44},{"date":"2026-09-29","price":12.44},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":12.44},{"date":"2026-10-01","price":12.44},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":12.44},{"date":"2026-10-03","price":12.44},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":12.44},{"date":"2026-10-05","price":12.44},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":12.44},{"date":"2026-10-07","price":12.44},{"date":"2026-10-08","price":12.4},{"date":"2026-10-09","price":12.4},{"date":"2026-10-10","price":12.4},{"date":"2026-10-11","price":12.4},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":12.4},{"date":"2026-10-13","price":12.4},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":12.42},{"date":"2026-10-15","price":12.42},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":12.42},{"date":"2026-10-17","price":12.42}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-07-19","price":14.6},{"date":"2026-07-21","price":14.23},{"date":"2026-07-23","price":13.59},{"date":"2026-07-25","price":13.59},{"date":"2026-07-27","price":13.45},{"date":"2026-07-29","price":13.45},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":13.45},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":13.45},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":13.45},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":13.45},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":13.45},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":13.45},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":13.45},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":13.45},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":13.45},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":13.18},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":13.14},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":12.97},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":12.97},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":12.81},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":12.7},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":12.7},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":12.7},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":12.63},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":12.63},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":12.5},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":12.5},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":12.5},{"date":"2026-09-13","price":12.39},{"date":"2026-09-15","price":12.39},{"date":"2026-09-17","price":12.39},{"date":"2026-09-19","price":12.52},{"date":"2026-09-21","price":12.52},{"date":"2026-09-23","price":12.52},{"date":"2026-09-25","price":12.44},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":12.44},{"date":"2026-09-29","price":12.44},{"date":"2026-10-01","price":12.44},{"date":"2026-10-03","price":12.44},{"date":"2026-10-05","price":12.44},{"date":"2026-10-07","price":12.44},{"date":"2026-10-09","price":12.4},{"date":"2026-10-11","price":12.4},{"date":"2026-10-13","price":12.4},{"date":"2026-10-15","price":12.42},{"date":"2026-10-17","price":12.42}],"series_key":"691688|Normal","series_printing":"Normal"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Chance%20for%20Glory%20Secret%20Lair%20Drop&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":"https://scryfall.com/search?q=Chance%20for%20Glory","tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Chance%20for%20Glory%20Secret%20Lair%20Drop&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"531490bdda8c","game":"mtg","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/531490bdda8c","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/mtg/builds/ba0f61e2119b11ba/53.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"page_headline":{"price":12.42,"printing":"Normal","as_of":"2026-10-17","computed_by":"witness/src/render-card.ts _heroMarketPrice, _heroDisplayPrinting, heroAsOfDay: the functions the HTML page calls on this same record (build_shard below). Unrounded: the page prints whole dollars from $100."},"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field outside `_handle` is served verbatim from the build shard. Two `_handle` entries are computed: `provenance_fields` (from the record) and `page_headline` (the figure the page rendered from this build_shard heads with, by the page's own functions; a page served from the edge cache within an hour of a build change can still show the previous build)."}}