{"canonical_id_v02":"5540bb0be6e5","canonical_url_id":"5540bb0be6e5","identity":{"artist":"Naoyo Kimura","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/ex10/5.png","locale":"en","name":"Flareon","number":"5/115","rarity":"Rare Holo","series_slug":"unseen-forces","set_name":"Unseen Forces","set_slug":"unseen-forces","vintage":"mature_secondary"},"lineage":{"earliest":{"name":"Flareon","set_name":"Jungle","url_id":"175538f54440","year":1999},"earliest_includes_this":false,"earliest_same_day_cards":2,"earliest_same_day_sets":1,"latest":{"name":"Flareon ex","set_name":"Prismatic Evolutions","url_id":"82e7b696e53a","year":2025},"latest_includes_this":false,"latest_same_day_cards":3,"latest_same_day_sets":1,"ordinal":9,"rule":"species v3","same_set_cards":1,"species":"Flareon","species_cards":39,"species_dated":32,"species_sets":27,"species_shared_cards":0,"undated_reason":null},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"afa742ec432b365d","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-10-19T08:27:45Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.5"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Reverse Holofoil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-18T00:00:00Z","listed_median":null,"market_price":156.55}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition; third stratum fu506 (top 8 per game, 24 decidable card rows): NM-consistent +-10% 17/24; 1 LP to the cent, 1 nearest HP at 117x, 2 at 1.7-1.8x NM, 1 NM unpriced; 35 of 64 top rows were sealed)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-18T00:00:00Z","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":156.55,"primary_printing":"Reverse Holofoil","primary_printing_in_record":"Reverse Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[{"canonical_id_v02":"49e9e03db64e","market_price":116.39,"name":"Flareon","printing":"Holofoil","rationale":"same_card_other_printing","recent_series":[{"date":"2026-10-11","price":116.39},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":116.39},{"date":"2026-10-13","price":116.39},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":116.39},{"date":"2026-10-15","price":116.39},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":116.39},{"date":"2026-10-17","price":116.39},{"date":"2026-10-18","price":116.39}]}],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":242,"tcgcsv_forward":1726},"as_of_date":"2026-10-18","ath_date":"2026-06-25","ath_price":199.99,"ath_since_release_date":null,"ath_since_release_price":null,"atl_date":"2024-08-15","atl_price":24.93,"canonical_id_v02":"35b791f4ed66","canonical_id_v03":"49e9e03db64e","canonical_id_v1":"ffddf7c498ca","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":1.62,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":1.62,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":3.55,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":65,"DRAWDOWN":10,"HEATED":25},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-mature_secondary","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":2.42,"cohort_median_90d_pct":10.55,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-21.72,"current_price":156.55,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_first_date_series":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-10-18","history_last_date_series":"2026-10-18","history_n_distinct_closes":31,"history_n_obs":1969,"history_n_obs_series":984,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-03-19","delta_pct":28.4,"label":"+28% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-03-18","prev_price":154.94,"price":198.99,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-12-27","delta_pct":98.1,"label":"+98% day-over-day","prev_date":"2025-12-26","prev_price":66.85,"price":132.42,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-11-29","delta_pct":98.5,"label":"+99% day-over-day","prev_date":"2024-11-28","prev_price":32.08,"price":63.69,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-08-15","delta_pct":-61.6,"label":"-62% day-over-day","prev_date":"2024-08-14","prev_price":65,"price":24.93,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-08-15","delta_pct":-61.6,"label":"-62% off peak","price":24.93,"type":"drawdown_low"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":89,"recent_steps":{"dates":[],"dates_truncated":false,"n":0,"threshold_pct":50,"window_days":120},"record_block_scope":"per_print_page","regime_entered_date":"2026-09-21","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":90,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":10},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":90,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":10},"regime_run_length_days":27,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2025-07-01","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-08-31","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-10-14","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-10-26","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-09-21","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":1.62,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-0.8,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-7,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":-12.65,"series_printing":"Reverse Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"base_decided_by":"sticky_previous","base_series_printing":"Holofoil","decided_by":"per_print_page","margin":null,"n_candidates":1,"pool":null,"tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":16.2,"set_member_unit":"cards","set_movers_share_90d":0.9653,"set_n_90d":144,"set_release_date":"2005-08-01","set_slug":"unseen-forces"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_base":{"date":"2025-10-18","price":68.42},"return_1y_pct":128.8074,"return_30d_pct":1.6163,"return_7d_pct":1.6163,"return_90d_pct":3.5521,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-09-18","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-19","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-21","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-22","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-23","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-24","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-25","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-29","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-10-01","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-10-03","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-10-05","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-10-07","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-10-08","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-10-09","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-10-10","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-10-11","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-10-13","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":156.55},{"date":"2026-10-15","price":156.55},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":156.55},{"date":"2026-10-17","price":156.55},{"date":"2026-10-18","price":156.55}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-07-20","price":151.18},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":151.18},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":151.18},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":151.18},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":151.18},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":151.18},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":152.52},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":152.52},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":152.52},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":152.52},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":152.52},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":152.52},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":152.52},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":152.52},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":152.52},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":152.52},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":152.52},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":152.52},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":152.52},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":153.37},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-12","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-14","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-16","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-18","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-22","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-24","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-10-08","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-10-10","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":154.06},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":156.55},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":156.55},{"date":"2026-10-18","price":156.55}],"series_key":"85494|Reverse Holofoil","series_printing":"Reverse Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Flareon%20Unseen%20Forces&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/flareon","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Flareon%20Unseen%20Forces&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"5540bb0be6e5","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/5540bb0be6e5","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/afa742ec432b365d/55.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"page_headline":{"price":156.55,"printing":"Reverse Holofoil","as_of":"2026-10-18","computed_by":"witness/src/render-card.ts _heroMarketPrice, _heroDisplayPrinting, heroAsOfDay: the functions the HTML page calls on this same record (build_shard below). Unrounded: the page prints whole dollars from $100."},"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field outside `_handle` is served verbatim from the build shard. Two `_handle` entries are computed: `provenance_fields` (from the record) and `page_headline` (the figure the page rendered from this build_shard heads with, by the page's own functions; a page served from the edge cache within an hour of a build change can still show the previous build)."}}