{"canonical_id_v02":"56c7fc8f79c6","identity":{"artist":"David Robert Hovey & Scott Okumura","game":"mtg","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://cards.scryfall.io/normal/front/9/b/9b6f7f0e-7a0a-42ae-8bc9-c20f62dd3264.jpg?1783911482","locale":"en","name":"Grenzo, Havoc Raiser","number":"1621","rarity":"rare","series_slug":"secret-lair-drop-series","set_name":"Secret Lair Drop","set_slug":"secret-lair-drop","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"dd33b3c6ef9b37c9","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-08-30T16:37:28Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.0"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Normal":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-08-29T00:00:00Z","listed_median":null,"market_price":9.03}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-08-29T00:00:00Z","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":9.03,"primary_printing":"Normal","primary_printing_in_record":"Normal","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"tcgcsv_archive":52,"tcgcsv_forward":761},"as_of_date":"2026-08-29","ath_date":"2024-06-08","ath_price":16.9,"atl_date":"2024-07-31","atl_price":1.88,"canonical_id_v02":"56c7fc8f79c6","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":null,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":34,"DRAWDOWN":27,"HEATED":39},"cohort_label":"mtg-en-raw-nascent","cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-46.57,"current_price":9.03,"history_first_date":"2024-06-08","history_last_date":"2026-08-29","history_n_obs":813,"history_n_obs_series":813,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-05-21","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-05-19","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-05-12","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-04-11","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-02-12","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2024-07-31","delta_pct":-88.9,"label":"-89% off peak","price":1.88,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2024-06-15","delta_pct":-26.4,"label":"-26% day-over-day","price":6.77,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-06-14","delta_pct":-45.6,"label":"-46% day-over-day","price":9.2,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":99,"regime_entered_date":"2026-05-21","regime_label":"DRAWDOWN","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":0,"DRAWDOWN":77,"HEATED":23},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":0,"DRAWDOWN":60,"HEATED":40},"regime_run_length_days":100,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2024-10-30","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-11-09","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2024-11-25","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-12-11","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2024-12-21","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-01-31","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-02-21","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-04-13","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-04-15","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-04-17","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-09-26","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-10-07","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-10-13","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-10-14","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-01-04","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-02-12","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-04-11","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-05-12","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-05-19","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-05-21","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":1.46,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":4.51,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":19.12,"series_printing":"Normal","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":181,"n_candidates":1,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":132.13,"return_30d_pct":4.76,"return_7d_pct":0,"return_90d_pct":17.12,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-07-30","price":8.62},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":8.62},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":8.62},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":8.62},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":8.64},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":8.71},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":8.71},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":8.71},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":8.79},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":8.79},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":8.79},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":8.79},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":8.79},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":8.79},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":8.82},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":8.9},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":8.9},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":8.9},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":8.9},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":8.9},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":8.96},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":8.96},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":8.96},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":9.03},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":9.03},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":9.03},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":9.03},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":9.03},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":9.03},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":9.03},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":9.03}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-05-31","price":7.71},{"date":"2026-06-02","price":7.57},{"date":"2026-06-04","price":7.57},{"date":"2026-06-06","price":7.48},{"date":"2026-06-08","price":7.48},{"date":"2026-06-10","price":7.43},{"date":"2026-06-12","price":7.36},{"date":"2026-06-14","price":7.43},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":7.5},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":7.5},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":7.62},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":7.62},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":7.62},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":7.65},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":7.82},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":7.77},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":7.82},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":7.82},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":7.9},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":7.85},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":7.85},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":8.02},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":8.02},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":8.1},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":8.1},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":8.1},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":8.22},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":8.3},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":8.49},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":8.62},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":8.62},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":8.62},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":8.64},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":8.71},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":8.79},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":8.79},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":8.79},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":8.82},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":8.9},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":8.9},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":8.96},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":8.96},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":9.03},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":9.03},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":9.03},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":9.03}],"series_key":"550759|Normal","series_printing":"Normal"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Grenzo%2C%20Havoc%20Raiser%20Secret%20Lair%20Drop&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":"https://scryfall.com/search?q=Grenzo%2C%20Havoc%20Raiser","tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Grenzo%2C%20Havoc%20Raiser%20Secret%20Lair%20Drop&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"56c7fc8f79c6","game":"mtg","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/56c7fc8f79c6","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/mtg/builds/dd33b3c6ef9b37c9/56.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}