{"canonical_id_v02":"5b5841ae6a08","identity":{"artist":"Kouki Saitou","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/ex15/2.png","locale":"en","name":"Feraligatr δ","number":"2/101","rarity":"Rare Holo","series_slug":"dragon-frontiers","set_name":"Dragon Frontiers","set_slug":"dragon-frontiers","vintage":"mature_secondary"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"92d94e75ddde945c","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-04T10:19:13Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.0"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Holofoil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-03T00:00:00Z","listed_median":null,"market_price":71.09}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-03T00:00:00Z","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":71.09,"primary_printing":"Holofoil","primary_printing_in_record":"Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"tcgcsv_archive":242,"tcgcsv_forward":1636},"as_of_date":"2026-09-03","ath_date":"2026-08-31","ath_price":71.09,"atl_date":"2024-02-13","atl_price":16.62,"canonical_id_v02":"8f6e8af62908","canonical_id_v03":"5b5841ae6a08","canonical_id_v1":"85f8187e59da","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":0.98,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":3.1,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":6.09,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":65,"DRAWDOWN":10,"HEATED":25},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-mature_secondary","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":2.5,"cohort_median_90d_pct":12.12,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":0,"current_price":71.09,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-09-03","history_n_distinct_closes":194,"history_n_obs":1878,"history_n_obs_series":939,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2025-10-04","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-08-09","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-08-03","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-07-31","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-03-12","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-03-07","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-02-09","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2024-12-31","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":100,"regime_entered_date":"2025-10-04","regime_label":"CALM","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":92,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":8},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":89,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":11},"regime_run_length_days":334,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2024-12-31","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-02-09","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-03-07","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-03-12","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-07-31","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-08-03","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-08-09","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-10-04","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":0.98,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":0.6,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-6.03,"series_printing":"Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"sticky_previous","margin":0,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"recent","tie_members":["Holofoil","Reverse Holofoil"]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":62.31,"return_30d_pct":3.1,"return_7d_pct":0.98,"return_90d_pct":6.09,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-04","price":68.95},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":68.95},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":68.95},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":69.45},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":70.25},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":70.25},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":70.25},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":70.25},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":70.25},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":70.25},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":70.34},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":70.33},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":70.18},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":70.18},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":70.18},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":70.4},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":70.4},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":70.4},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":70.4},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":70.4},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":70.4},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":70.4},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":70.4},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":70.4},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":70.4},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":70.4},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":70.4},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":71.09},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":71.09},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":71.09},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":71.09}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-05","price":67.01},{"date":"2026-06-07","price":67.01},{"date":"2026-06-09","price":69.3},{"date":"2026-06-11","price":69.3},{"date":"2026-06-13","price":69.3},{"date":"2026-06-15","price":69.3},{"date":"2026-06-17","price":69.3},{"date":"2026-06-19","price":69.3},{"date":"2026-06-21","price":69.3},{"date":"2026-06-23","price":69.3},{"date":"2026-06-25","price":69.3},{"date":"2026-06-27","price":69.3},{"date":"2026-06-29","price":69.3},{"date":"2026-07-01","price":69.3},{"date":"2026-07-03","price":69.3},{"date":"2026-07-05","price":69.3},{"date":"2026-07-07","price":69.3},{"date":"2026-07-09","price":69.3},{"date":"2026-07-11","price":69.3},{"date":"2026-07-13","price":69.27},{"date":"2026-07-15","price":69.27},{"date":"2026-07-17","price":69.27},{"date":"2026-07-19","price":67.81},{"date":"2026-07-21","price":67.81},{"date":"2026-07-23","price":67.81},{"date":"2026-07-25","price":67.81},{"date":"2026-07-27","price":67.81},{"date":"2026-07-29","price":67.81},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":67.81},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":68.95},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":68.95},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":68.95},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":70.25},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":70.25},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":70.25},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":70.34},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":70.18},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":70.18},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":70.4},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":70.4},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":70.4},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":70.4},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":70.4},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":70.4},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":71.09},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":71.09}],"series_key":"85423|Holofoil","series_printing":"Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Feraligatr%20%CE%B4%20Dragon%20Frontiers&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/feraligatr-δ","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Feraligatr%20%CE%B4%20Dragon%20Frontiers&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"5b5841ae6a08","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/5b5841ae6a08","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/92d94e75ddde945c/5b.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}