{"canonical_id_v02":"5e5fb13afd34","canonical_url_id":"5e5fb13afd34","identity":{"artist":null,"game":"gundam","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/645372_200w.jpg","locale":"en","name":"Gundam Aerial Rebuild (LR+)","number":"GD01-067","rarity":"LR+","series_slug":"newtype-rising","set_name":"Newtype Rising","set_slug":"newtype-rising","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"ed47298765089305","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-21T14:24:48Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.2"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Holofoil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-20T00:00:00Z","listed_median":null,"market_price":154.32}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-20T00:00:00Z","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":154.32,"primary_printing":"Holofoil","primary_printing_in_record":"Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"tcgcsv_forward":424},"as_of_date":"2026-09-20","ath_date":"2026-08-03","ath_price":160.99,"atl_date":"2026-01-06","atl_price":32.91,"canonical_id_v02":"5e5fb13afd34","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":"5e5fb13afd34","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":-0.41,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":4.22,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":103.7,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":12,"DRAWDOWN":27,"HEATED":61},"cohort_label":"gundam-en-raw-nascent","cohort_median_14d_pct":-0.62,"cohort_median_30d_pct":-1.89,"cohort_median_90d_pct":1.65,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-4.14,"current_price":154.32,"history_first_date":"2025-07-24","history_last_date":"2026-09-20","history_n_distinct_closes":332,"history_n_obs":424,"history_n_obs_series":424,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-09-02","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-31","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-30","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-29","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-28","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-12","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-01-06","delta_pct":-78.1,"label":"-78% off peak","price":32.91,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2025-07-25","delta_pct":-41.4,"label":"-41% day-over-day","prev_price":149.99,"price":87.88,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":94,"recent_steps":{"dates":[],"dates_truncated":false,"n":0,"threshold_pct":50,"window_days":120},"regime_entered_date":"2026-09-02","regime_label":"CALM","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":6,"DRAWDOWN":44,"HEATED":50},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":5,"DRAWDOWN":40,"HEATED":55},"regime_run_length_days":18,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2025-09-07","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-09-13","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-09-25","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-11-05","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-01-07","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-01-30","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-04-06","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-07-12","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-28","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-08-29","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-30","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-08-31","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-09-02","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":0.21,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":6.11,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":102.05,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":99.43,"series_printing":"Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":181,"n_candidates":1,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":4.27,"set_movers_share_90d":0.8901,"set_n_90d":191,"set_slug":"newtype-rising"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":179.3628,"return_30d_pct":4.221,"return_7d_pct":-0.5926,"return_90d_pct":103.6959,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-21","price":148.07},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":148.07},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":148.47},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":148.47},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":148.47},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":150.39},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":151.55},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":151.55},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":152.44},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":152.44},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":153.9},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":153.9},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":154.08},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":154.18},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":154.92},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":154.96},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":154.96},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":154.96},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":154.96},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":155},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":155},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":155.16},{"date":"2026-09-12","price":155.16},{"date":"2026-09-13","price":155.24},{"date":"2026-09-14","price":155.24},{"date":"2026-09-15","price":154.32},{"date":"2026-09-16","price":154.32},{"date":"2026-09-17","price":154.32},{"date":"2026-09-18","price":154.32},{"date":"2026-09-19","price":154.32},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":154.32}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-22","price":75.76},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":76.1},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":76.15},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":76.29},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":76.87},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":76.9},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":77.05},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":81.56},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":81.59},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":83.45},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":92.93},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":95.9},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":101.5},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":128.64},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":132.24},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":133.2},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":143.2},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":147.46},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":154.9},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":156.26},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":159.99},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":160.99},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":160.35},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":158.32},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":155.66},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":149.68},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":142.78},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":140.41},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":139.71},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":139.35},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":148.07},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":148.47},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":148.47},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":151.55},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":152.44},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":153.9},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":154.08},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":154.92},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":154.96},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":154.96},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":155},{"date":"2026-09-12","price":155.16},{"date":"2026-09-14","price":155.24},{"date":"2026-09-16","price":154.32},{"date":"2026-09-18","price":154.32},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":154.32}],"series_key":"645372|Holofoil","series_printing":"Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Gundam%20Aerial%20Rebuild%20%28LR%2B%29%20Newtype%20Rising&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Gundam%20Aerial%20Rebuild%20%28LR%2B%29%20Newtype%20Rising&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"5e5fb13afd34","game":"gundam","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/5e5fb13afd34","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/gundam/builds/ed47298765089305/5e.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}