{"canonical_id_v02":"5f6cd7565d17","canonical_url_id":"5f6cd7565d17","identity":{"artist":"toriyufu","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/zsv10pt5/143.png","locale":"en","name":"Bisharp","number":"143/086","rarity":"Illustration Rare","series_slug":"sv-black-bolt","set_name":"Sv Black Bolt","set_slug":"sv-black-bolt","vintage":"nascent"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"62ede9f50a973368","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-18T10:13:44Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.2"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-17T20:56:37.067976+00:00","listed_median":12.9,"market_price":12.45}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-17T20:56:37.067976+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":12.9,"latest_market_price":12.45,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":46,"tcgcsv_forward":380},"as_of_date":"2026-09-17","ath_date":"2025-07-19","ath_price":24.43,"atl_date":"2026-02-20","atl_price":6.39,"canonical_id_v02":"1f9d9fc393cd","canonical_id_v03":"5f6cd7565d17","canonical_id_v1":"8bb66369e299","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":1.55,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":-1.81,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":23.39,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":33,"DRAWDOWN":20,"HEATED":47},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-nascent","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0,"cohort_median_90d_pct":0,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-49.04,"current_price":12.45,"history_first_date":"2025-07-19","history_last_date":"2026-09-17","history_n_distinct_closes":395,"history_n_obs":427,"history_n_obs_series":426,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-08-03","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-06-23","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-06-22","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-06-10","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-06-07","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-05-28","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-02-20","delta_pct":-73.8,"label":"-74% off peak","price":6.39,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2025-07-28","delta_pct":-29.3,"label":"-29% day-over-day","prev_price":14.53,"price":10.27,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":94,"regime_entered_date":"2026-08-03","regime_label":"DRAWDOWN","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":0,"DRAWDOWN":72,"HEATED":28},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":1,"DRAWDOWN":64,"HEATED":35},"regime_run_length_days":45,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2026-03-23","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-03-25","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-03-28","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-04-02","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-04-06","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-04-12","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-05-10","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-05-15","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-05-17","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-05-18","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-05-20","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-05-21","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-05-23","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-05-26","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-05-28","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-07","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-06-10","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-22","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-06-23","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-03","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":1.55,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-1.81,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":23.39,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":25.87,"series_printing":"Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":180,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":-2.48,"set_movers_share_90d":0.9443,"set_n_90d":323,"set_slug":"sv-black-bolt"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":69.8499,"return_30d_pct":-1.8139,"return_7d_pct":1.2195,"return_90d_pct":23.3895,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-18","price":12.68},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":12.64},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":12.45},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":12.45},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":12.48},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":12.57},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":12.56},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":12.68},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":12.5},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":12.46},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":12.4},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":12.29},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":12.51},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":12.33},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":12.19},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":12.28},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":12.26},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":12.11},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":12.22},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":12.22},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":12.24},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":12.19},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":12.18},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":12.3},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":12.19},{"date":"2026-09-12","price":12.2},{"date":"2026-09-13","price":12.05},{"date":"2026-09-14","price":12.23},{"date":"2026-09-15","price":12.32},{"date":"2026-09-16","price":12.27},{"date":"2026-09-17","price":12.45}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-19","price":10.09},{"date":"2026-06-21","price":9.99},{"date":"2026-06-23","price":10.37},{"date":"2026-06-25","price":12.12},{"date":"2026-06-27","price":12.05},{"date":"2026-06-29","price":12.39},{"date":"2026-07-01","price":12.42},{"date":"2026-07-03","price":12.73},{"date":"2026-07-05","price":12.27},{"date":"2026-07-07","price":12.04},{"date":"2026-07-09","price":12.2},{"date":"2026-07-11","price":12.02},{"date":"2026-07-13","price":12.04},{"date":"2026-07-15","price":12.08},{"date":"2026-07-17","price":11.89},{"date":"2026-07-19","price":11.95},{"date":"2026-07-21","price":12.2},{"date":"2026-07-23","price":12.29},{"date":"2026-07-25","price":12.6},{"date":"2026-07-27","price":12.45},{"date":"2026-07-29","price":12.41},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":12.24},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":12.11},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":11.96},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":11.93},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":11.99},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":12.25},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":12.16},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":12.3},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":12.62},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":12.68},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":12.45},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":12.48},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":12.56},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":12.5},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":12.4},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":12.51},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":12.19},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":12.26},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":12.22},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":12.24},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":12.18},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":12.19},{"date":"2026-09-13","price":12.05},{"date":"2026-09-15","price":12.32},{"date":"2026-09-17","price":12.45}],"series_key":"642597|Holofoil","series_printing":"Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Bisharp%20Sv%20Black%20Bolt&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/bisharp","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Bisharp%20Sv%20Black%20Bolt&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"5f6cd7565d17","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/5f6cd7565d17","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/62ede9f50a973368/5f.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}