{"canonical_id_v02":"61da31ae93a8","identity":{"artist":"Ashley Mackenzie","game":"mtg","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://cards.scryfall.io/normal/front/d/d/dda07973-ed78-4f50-8794-f5cbfc6e8975.jpg?1783902781","locale":"en","name":"Bilbo, Thief in the Night","number":"219","rarity":"mythic","series_slug":"the-hobbit","set_name":"The Hobbit","set_slug":"the-hobbit","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"dd33b3c6ef9b37c9","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-08-30T16:37:28Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.0"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-08-29T18:03:03.250339+00:00","listed_median":36.39,"market_price":34.52},"Normal":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-08-29T18:03:03.250339+00:00","listed_median":25.49,"market_price":22.9}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-08-29T18:03:03.250339+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":36.39,"latest_market_price":34.52,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Foil","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"tcgcsv_forward":59},"as_of_date":"2026-08-29","ath_date":"2026-07-25","ath_price":134.96,"atl_date":"2026-08-08","atl_price":17.17,"canonical_id_v02":"61da31ae93a8","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":null,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":34,"DRAWDOWN":27,"HEATED":39},"cohort_label":"mtg-en-raw-nascent","cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-83.17,"current_price":22.72,"history_first_date":"2026-07-25","history_last_date":"2026-08-29","history_n_obs":59,"history_n_obs_series":36,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-08-14","delta_pct":-29,"label":"-29% day-over-day","price":21.23,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-08-08","delta_pct":-87.3,"label":"-87% off peak","price":17.17,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2026-08-07","delta_pct":-31.2,"label":"-31% day-over-day","price":18.83,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-08-06","delta_pct":-66.5,"label":"-66% day-over-day","price":27.38,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-07-31","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":25,"regime_entered_date":"2026-07-31","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":3,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":97},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":3,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":97},"regime_run_length_days":29,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2026-07-31","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":-10.87,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-78.86,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":null,"series_printing":"Normal","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":13,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":null,"return_30d_pct":-83.17,"return_7d_pct":-2.11,"return_90d_pct":null,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-07-30","price":134.96},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":107.47},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":107.47},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":107.47},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":107.47},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":107.47},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":81.64},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":27.38},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":18.83},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":17.17},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":18.88},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":21.98},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":22.11},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":25.59},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":29.9},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":21.23},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":23.42},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":24.2},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":25.49},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":25.63},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":22.72},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":25.46},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":25.2},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":23.21},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":23.53},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":23.71},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":24.55},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":21.95},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":22.74},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":22.73},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":22.72}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-07-25","price":134.96},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":134.96},{"date":"2026-07-27","price":134.96},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":134.96},{"date":"2026-07-29","price":134.96},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":134.96},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":107.47},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":107.47},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":107.47},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":107.47},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":107.47},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":81.64},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":27.38},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":18.83},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":17.17},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":18.88},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":21.98},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":22.11},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":25.59},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":29.9},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":21.23},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":23.42},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":24.2},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":25.49},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":25.63},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":22.72},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":25.46},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":25.2},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":23.21},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":23.53},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":23.71},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":24.55},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":21.95},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":22.74},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":22.73},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":22.72}],"series_key":"693030|Normal","series_printing":"Normal"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Bilbo%2C%20Thief%20in%20the%20Night%20The%20Hobbit&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":"https://scryfall.com/search?q=Bilbo%2C%20Thief%20in%20the%20Night","tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Bilbo%2C%20Thief%20in%20the%20Night%20The%20Hobbit&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"61da31ae93a8","game":"mtg","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/61da31ae93a8","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/mtg/builds/dd33b3c6ef9b37c9/61.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}