{"canonical_id_v02":"64499f43fed4","identity":{"artist":"Nathaniel Himawan","game":"mtg","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://cards.scryfall.io/normal/front/f/8/f892d156-371c-4391-8ae6-25513c5032b0.jpg?1783907419","locale":"en","name":"Clarion Conqueror","number":"5","rarity":"rare","series_slug":"tarkir-dragonstorm","set_name":"Tarkir: Dragonstorm","set_slug":"tarkir-dragonstorm","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"00f025b89d744f40","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-06T18:07:23Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.1"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-06T01:45:00.312361+00:00","listed_median":3.49,"market_price":2.79},"Normal":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-06T01:45:00.312361+00:00","listed_median":2.12,"market_price":1.88}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397 probes: 8 games, 43 rows, nearest condition NM 42/43 — Wilson 95% 88-100% — cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2% by bucket timing; a sample, not a definition)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-06T01:45:00.312361+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":3.49,"latest_market_price":2.79,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Foil","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":2,"tcgcsv_archive":63,"tcgcsv_forward":998},"as_of_date":"2026-09-06","ath_date":"2025-03-25","ath_price":22.72,"atl_date":"2025-04-12","atl_price":1.55,"canonical_id_v02":"64499f43fed4","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":null,"card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":4.1,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":-45.08,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":-27.72,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":34,"DRAWDOWN":27,"HEATED":39},"cohort_label":"mtg-en-raw-nascent","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0,"cohort_median_90d_pct":4.05,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-87.72,"current_price":2.79,"history_first_date":"2025-03-25","history_last_date":"2026-09-06","history_n_distinct_closes":369,"history_n_obs":1063,"history_n_obs_series":531,"liquidity_tier":"T2","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-08-21","delta_pct":-37.3,"label":"-37% day-over-day","price":3.16,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-06-28","delta_pct":46.5,"label":"+47% day-over-day","price":5.51,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-08-19","delta_pct":32,"label":"+32% day-over-day","price":3.92,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-04-14","delta_pct":27.8,"label":"+28% day-over-day","price":2.39,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-04-12","delta_pct":-93.2,"label":"-93% off peak","price":1.55,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2025-04-11","delta_pct":-47.7,"label":"-48% day-over-day","price":1.83,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-04-05","delta_pct":-35,"label":"-35% day-over-day","price":3.55,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-04-04","delta_pct":-48.5,"label":"-49% day-over-day","price":5.46,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":42,"record_block_scope":"per_print_page","regime_entered_date":"2026-07-17","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":10,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":90},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":7,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":93},"regime_run_length_days":51,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2025-10-01","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-10-02","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-10-05","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-10-09","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-10-17","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-10-21","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-10-24","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-10-29","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-11-03","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-11-04","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-11-09","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-11-14","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-23","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-06-24","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-01","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-15","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-16","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-17","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":4.1,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-45.08,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-31.77,"series_printing":"Foil","series_printing_determinacy":{"base_decided_by":"total_tiebreak","base_series_printing":"Normal","decided_by":"per_print_page","margin":null,"n_candidates":2,"pool":null,"tie_members":[]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":-19.36,"return_30d_pct":-45.08,"return_7d_pct":20.26,"return_90d_pct":-27.72,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-07","price":5.08},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":5.08},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":5.08},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":5.08},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":5.11},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":5.04},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":4.95},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":4.95},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":4.95},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":4.94},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":4.99},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":4.99},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":5.04},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":5.04},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":3.16},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":2.98},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":2.68},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":2.64},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":2.59},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":2.6},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":2.55},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":2.48},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":2.32},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":2.32},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":2.35},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":2.35},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":2.35},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":2.29},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":2.5},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":2.79},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":2.79}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-08","price":3.86},{"date":"2026-06-10","price":3.89},{"date":"2026-06-12","price":3.88},{"date":"2026-06-14","price":3.84},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":3.76},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":3.76},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":3.76},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":3.76},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":3.76},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":3.76},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":5.51},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":5.47},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":5.49},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":5.49},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":5.59},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":5.55},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":5.55},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":5.55},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":5.55},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":5.55},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":5.55},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":5.44},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":5.44},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":5.44},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":5.31},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":5.31},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":5.31},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":5.34},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":5.33},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":5.08},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":5.08},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":5.08},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":5.11},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":4.95},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":4.95},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":4.99},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":5.04},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":3.16},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":2.68},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":2.59},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":2.55},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":2.32},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":2.35},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":2.35},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":2.5},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":2.79}],"series_key":"624539|Foil","series_printing":"Foil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Clarion%20Conqueror%20Tarkir%3A%20Dragonstorm&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":"https://scryfall.com/search?q=Clarion%20Conqueror","tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Clarion%20Conqueror%20Tarkir%3A%20Dragonstorm&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"64499f43fed4","game":"mtg","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/64499f43fed4","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/mtg/builds/00f025b89d744f40/64.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}