{"canonical_id_v02":"6fd9dfdb6706","canonical_url_id":"6fd9dfdb6706","identity":{"artist":"5ban Graphics","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/xy1/128.png","locale":"en","name":"Super Potion","number":"128/146","rarity":"Uncommon","series_slug":"xy-base-set","set_name":"XY Base Set","set_slug":"xy-base-set","vintage":"mature_secondary"},"lineage":null,"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"afa742ec432b365d","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-10-19T08:27:45Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.5"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-18T20:46:30.971550+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":1.43}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition; third stratum fu506 (top 8 per game, 24 decidable card rows): NM-consistent +-10% 17/24; 1 LP to the cent, 1 nearest HP at 117x, 2 at 1.7-1.8x NM, 1 NM unpriced; 35 of 64 top rows were sealed)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-18T20:46:30.971550+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":1.43,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Reverse Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[{"canonical_id_v02":"7b42e9670b96","market_price":0.28,"name":"Super Potion","printing":"Normal","rationale":"same_card_other_printing","recent_series":[{"date":"2026-10-11","price":0.28},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":0.28},{"date":"2026-10-13","price":0.28},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":0.27},{"date":"2026-10-15","price":0.27},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":0.28},{"date":"2026-10-17","price":0.28},{"date":"2026-10-18","price":0.28}]}],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":242,"tcgcsv_forward":1726},"as_of_date":"2026-10-18","ath_date":"2026-09-20","ath_price":1.43,"ath_since_release_date":null,"ath_since_release_price":null,"atl_date":"2024-02-08","atl_price":0.37,"canonical_id_v02":"47ad77f2caf7","canonical_id_v03":"7b42e9670b96","canonical_id_v1":"b9abe6b7ff1b","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":0,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":8.33,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":70.24,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":65,"DRAWDOWN":10,"HEATED":25},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-mature_secondary","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":2.42,"cohort_median_90d_pct":10.55,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":0,"current_price":1.43,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_first_date_series":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-10-18","history_last_date_series":"2026-10-18","history_n_distinct_closes":48,"history_n_obs":1969,"history_n_obs_series":984,"liquidity_tier":"T2","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-09-25","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-09-20","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-30","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-21","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-21","delta_pct":44,"label":"+44% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-07-20","prev_price":0.84,"price":1.21,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-06-27","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-05-12","delta_pct":25.6,"label":"+26% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-05-11","prev_price":0.9,"price":1.13,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-07-04","delta_pct":30,"label":"+30% day-over-day","prev_date":"2024-07-03","prev_price":0.4,"price":0.52,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":100,"recent_steps":{"dates":[],"dates_truncated":false,"n":0,"threshold_pct":50,"window_days":120},"regime_entered_date":"2026-09-25","regime_label":"CALM","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":49,"DRAWDOWN":1,"HEATED":50},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":58,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":42},"regime_run_length_days":23,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2024-08-13","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-08-20","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-08-23","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-10-28","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-11-27","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-01-01","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-02-19","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-05-19","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-06-19","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-09-12","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-01-21","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-05-09","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-18","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-06-20","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-06-21","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-27","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-21","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-30","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-09-20","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-09-25","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":0,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":5.92,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":59.68,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":65.26,"series_printing":"Reverse Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"sticky_previous","margin":0,"n_candidates":3,"pool":"recent","tie_members":["Normal","Reverse Holofoil"]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":4.98,"set_movers_share_90d":0.9041,"set_n_90d":146,"set_release_date":"2014-02-05","set_slug":"xy-base-set"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_base":{"date":"2025-10-18","price":0.98},"return_1y_pct":45.9184,"return_30d_pct":8.3333,"return_7d_pct":0,"return_90d_pct":70.2381,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-09-18","price":1.32},{"date":"2026-09-19","price":1.32},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-09-21","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-09-22","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-09-23","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-09-24","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-09-25","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-09-29","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-01","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-03","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-05","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-07","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-08","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-09","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-10","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-11","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-13","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-15","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-17","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-18","price":1.43}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-07-20","price":0.84},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":1.21},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":1.21},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":1.21},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":1.21},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":1.21},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":1.21},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":1.21},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":1.21},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":1.21},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":1.21},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":1.21},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":1.21},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":1.21},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":1.32},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":1.32},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":1.32},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":1.32},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":1.32},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":1.32},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":1.32},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":1.32},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":1.32},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":1.32},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":1.32},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":1.32},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":1.32},{"date":"2026-09-12","price":1.32},{"date":"2026-09-14","price":1.32},{"date":"2026-09-16","price":1.32},{"date":"2026-09-18","price":1.32},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-09-22","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-09-24","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-08","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-10","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":1.43},{"date":"2026-10-18","price":1.43}],"series_key":"89630|Reverse Holofoil","series_printing":"Reverse Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Super%20Potion%20XY%20Base%20Set&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/super-potion","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Super%20Potion%20XY%20Base%20Set&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"6fd9dfdb6706","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/6fd9dfdb6706","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/afa742ec432b365d/6f.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"page_headline":{"price":1.43,"printing":"Reverse Holofoil","as_of":"2026-10-18","computed_by":"witness/src/render-card.ts _heroMarketPrice, _heroDisplayPrinting, heroAsOfDay: the functions the HTML page calls on this same record (build_shard below). Unrounded: the page prints whole dollars from $100."},"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field outside `_handle` is served verbatim from the build shard. Two `_handle` entries are computed: `provenance_fields` (from the record) and `page_headline` (the figure the page rendered from this build_shard heads with, by the page's own functions; a page served from the edge cache within an hour of a build change can still show the previous build)."}}