{"canonical_id_v02":"83b41047aeb5","canonical_url_id":"83b41047aeb5","identity":{"artist":"Winona Nelson","game":"mtg","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://cards.scryfall.io/normal/front/0/d/0d91e61d-e3bf-4ddc-9f01-18b1abe35a61.jpg?1783913876","locale":"en","name":"Cordial Vampire","number":"189","rarity":"rare","series_slug":"commander-the-lost-caverns-of-ixalan","set_name":"The Lost Caverns of Ixalan Commander","set_slug":"the-lost-caverns-of-ixalan-commander","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"lineage":null,"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"ba0f61e2119b11ba","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-10-18T11:44:27Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.5"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-17T18:41:04.144489+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":null},"Normal":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-17T18:41:04.144489+00:00","listed_median":2.31,"market_price":2.35}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition; third stratum fu506 (top 8 per game, 24 decidable card rows): NM-consistent +-10% 17/24; 1 LP to the cent, 1 nearest HP at 117x, 2 at 1.7-1.8x NM, 1 NM unpriced; 35 of 64 top rows were sealed)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-17T18:41:04.144489+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":2.31,"latest_market_price":2.35,"primary_printing":"Normal","primary_printing_in_record":"Normal","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"tcgcsv_archive":61,"tcgcsv_forward":922},"as_of_date":"2026-10-17","ath_date":"2026-05-06","ath_price":2.85,"ath_since_release_date":null,"ath_since_release_price":null,"atl_date":"2024-07-28","atl_price":0.21,"canonical_id_v02":"83b41047aeb5","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":null,"card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":0.86,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":7.34,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":15.84,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":38,"DRAWDOWN":23,"HEATED":39},"cohort_label":"mtg-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0,"cohort_median_90d_pct":4.01,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-17.89,"current_price":2.34,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_first_date_series":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-10-17","history_last_date_series":"2026-10-17","history_n_distinct_closes":814,"history_n_obs":983,"history_n_obs_series":983,"liquidity_tier":"T2","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-01-10","delta_pct":58.5,"label":"+58% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-01-09","prev_price":0.53,"price":0.84,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-12-04","delta_pct":-35.3,"label":"-35% day-over-day","prev_date":"2025-12-03","prev_price":0.85,"price":0.55,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-12-02","delta_pct":49.1,"label":"+49% day-over-day","prev_date":"2025-12-01","prev_price":0.55,"price":0.82,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-11-03","delta_pct":-59.1,"label":"-59% day-over-day","prev_date":"2025-11-02","prev_price":1.27,"price":0.52,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-10-31","delta_pct":144.2,"label":"+144% day-over-day","prev_date":"2025-10-30","prev_price":0.52,"price":1.27,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-10-06","delta_pct":58.7,"label":"+59% day-over-day","prev_date":"2025-10-05","prev_price":0.46,"price":0.73,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-01-05","delta_pct":-82.5,"label":"-82% off peak","price":0.34,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2024-08-10","delta_pct":-34.3,"label":"-34% day-over-day","prev_date":"2024-08-09","prev_price":0.35,"price":0.23,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":99,"recent_steps":{"dates":[],"dates_truncated":false,"n":0,"threshold_pct":50,"window_days":120},"regime_entered_date":"2026-08-03","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":5,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":95},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":5,"DRAWDOWN":8,"HEATED":87},"regime_run_length_days":75,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2025-04-25","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-05-29","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-05-30","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-06-04","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-06-05","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-06-06","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-06-16","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-07-24","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-07-28","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-08-14","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-08-23","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-08-31","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-09-06","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-09-12","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-15","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-22","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-23","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-27","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-28","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-08-03","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":0.86,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":7.34,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":11.83,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":10.28,"series_printing":"Normal","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":181,"n_candidates":1,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":5.56,"set_member_unit":"cards","set_movers_share_90d":0.9458,"set_n_90d":369,"set_release_date":"2023-11-17","set_slug":"the-lost-caverns-of-ixalan-commander"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_base":{"date":"2025-10-17","price":0.51},"return_1y_pct":358.8235,"return_30d_pct":7.3394,"return_7d_pct":0.4292,"return_90d_pct":15.8416,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-09-17","price":2.18},{"date":"2026-09-18","price":2.17},{"date":"2026-09-19","price":2.11},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":2.11},{"date":"2026-09-21","price":1.98},{"date":"2026-09-22","price":2.15},{"date":"2026-09-23","price":2.16},{"date":"2026-09-24","price":2.06},{"date":"2026-09-25","price":2.07},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":2.09},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":2.11},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":2.23},{"date":"2026-09-29","price":2.45},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":2.43},{"date":"2026-10-01","price":2.4},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":2.35},{"date":"2026-10-03","price":2.32},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":2.32},{"date":"2026-10-05","price":2.32},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":2.32},{"date":"2026-10-07","price":2.32},{"date":"2026-10-08","price":2.54},{"date":"2026-10-09","price":2.33},{"date":"2026-10-10","price":2.33},{"date":"2026-10-11","price":2.38},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":2.28},{"date":"2026-10-13","price":2.26},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":2.24},{"date":"2026-10-15","price":2.34},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":2.27},{"date":"2026-10-17","price":2.34}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-07-19","price":2.02},{"date":"2026-07-21","price":1.89},{"date":"2026-07-23","price":1.92},{"date":"2026-07-25","price":1.88},{"date":"2026-07-27","price":2.07},{"date":"2026-07-29","price":2.21},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":2.27},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":2.32},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":1.97},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":1.84},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":1.97},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":2},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":1.97},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":1.98},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":1.92},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":1.56},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":1.63},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":1.95},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":2.11},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":2.13},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":2.05},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":1.86},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":2.08},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":2.15},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":2.21},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":2.06},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":2.46},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":2.32},{"date":"2026-09-13","price":2.26},{"date":"2026-09-15","price":2.37},{"date":"2026-09-17","price":2.18},{"date":"2026-09-19","price":2.11},{"date":"2026-09-21","price":1.98},{"date":"2026-09-23","price":2.16},{"date":"2026-09-25","price":2.07},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":2.11},{"date":"2026-09-29","price":2.45},{"date":"2026-10-01","price":2.4},{"date":"2026-10-03","price":2.32},{"date":"2026-10-05","price":2.32},{"date":"2026-10-07","price":2.32},{"date":"2026-10-09","price":2.33},{"date":"2026-10-11","price":2.38},{"date":"2026-10-13","price":2.26},{"date":"2026-10-15","price":2.34},{"date":"2026-10-17","price":2.34}],"series_key":"525849|Normal","series_printing":"Normal"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Cordial%20Vampire%20The%20Lost%20Caverns%20of%20Ixalan%20Commander&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":"https://scryfall.com/search?q=Cordial%20Vampire","tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Cordial%20Vampire%20The%20Lost%20Caverns%20of%20Ixalan%20Commander&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"83b41047aeb5","game":"mtg","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/83b41047aeb5","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/mtg/builds/ba0f61e2119b11ba/83.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"page_headline":{"price":2.34,"printing":"Normal","as_of":"2026-10-17","computed_by":"witness/src/render-card.ts _heroMarketPrice, _heroDisplayPrinting, heroAsOfDay: the functions the HTML page calls on this same record (build_shard below). Unrounded: the page prints whole dollars from $100."},"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field outside `_handle` is served verbatim from the build shard. Two `_handle` entries are computed: `provenance_fields` (from the record) and `page_headline` (the figure the page rendered from this build_shard heads with, by the page's own functions; a page served from the edge cache within an hour of a build change can still show the previous build)."}}