{"canonical_id_v02":"84bbb58af271","canonical_url_id":"84bbb58af271","identity":{"artist":"Julia Metzger","game":"mtg","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://cards.scryfall.io/normal/front/a/b/ab135925-d924-456d-851a-6ccdaaf27271.jpg?1783909083","locale":"en","name":"Stroke of Midnight","number":"148","rarity":"uncommon","series_slug":"foundations","set_name":"Foundations","set_slug":"foundations","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"lineage":null,"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"ba0f61e2119b11ba","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-10-18T11:44:27Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.5"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-17T18:29:35.888521+00:00","listed_median":0.57,"market_price":0.57},"Normal":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-17T18:29:35.888521+00:00","listed_median":0.4,"market_price":0.4}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition; third stratum fu506 (top 8 per game, 24 decidable card rows): NM-consistent +-10% 17/24; 1 LP to the cent, 1 nearest HP at 117x, 2 at 1.7-1.8x NM, 1 NM unpriced; 35 of 64 top rows were sealed)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-17T18:29:35.888521+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":0.4,"latest_market_price":0.4,"primary_printing":"Normal","primary_printing_in_record":"Normal","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"tcgcsv_archive":84,"tcgcsv_forward":1351},"as_of_date":"2026-10-17","ath_date":"2026-03-27","ath_price":1.13,"ath_since_release_date":null,"ath_since_release_price":null,"atl_date":"2024-11-28","atl_price":0.15,"canonical_id_v02":"84bbb58af271","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":null,"card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":5.41,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":0,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":5.41,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":38,"DRAWDOWN":23,"HEATED":39},"cohort_label":"mtg-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0,"cohort_median_90d_pct":4.01,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-65.49,"current_price":0.39,"history_first_date":"2024-10-30","history_first_date_series":"2024-10-30","history_last_date":"2026-10-17","history_last_date_series":"2026-10-17","history_n_distinct_closes":592,"history_n_obs":1435,"history_n_obs_series":718,"liquidity_tier":"T2","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-03-28","delta_pct":-60.2,"label":"-60% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-03-27","prev_price":1.13,"price":0.45,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-03-27","delta_pct":205.4,"label":"+205% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-03-26","prev_price":0.37,"price":1.13,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-01-26","delta_pct":-45,"label":"-45% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-01-25","prev_price":0.6,"price":0.33,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-01-25","delta_pct":100,"label":"+100% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-01-24","prev_price":0.3,"price":0.6,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-01-27","delta_pct":35.3,"label":"+35% day-over-day","prev_date":"2025-01-26","prev_price":0.17,"price":0.23,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-12-03","delta_pct":37,"label":"+37% day-over-day","prev_date":"2024-12-02","prev_price":0.27,"price":0.37,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-12-01","delta_pct":35,"label":"+35% day-over-day","prev_date":"2024-11-30","prev_price":0.2,"price":0.27,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-11-28","delta_pct":-85,"label":"-85% off peak","price":0.15,"type":"drawdown_low"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":77,"recent_steps":{"dates":[],"dates_truncated":false,"n":0,"threshold_pct":50,"window_days":120},"regime_entered_date":"2024-11-08","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":0,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":100},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":1,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":99},"regime_run_length_days":708,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2024-11-08","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":5.41,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":0,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":1.4,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":-1.73,"series_printing":"Normal","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"total_tiebreak","margin":0,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"recent","tie_members":["Foil","Normal"]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":7.14,"set_member_unit":"cards","set_movers_share_90d":0.9324,"set_n_90d":754,"set_release_date":"2024-11-15","set_slug":"foundations"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_base":{"date":"2025-10-17","price":0.41},"return_1y_pct":-4.878,"return_30d_pct":0,"return_7d_pct":0,"return_90d_pct":5.4054,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-09-17","price":0.39},{"date":"2026-09-18","price":0.39},{"date":"2026-09-19","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-09-21","price":0.35},{"date":"2026-09-22","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-09-23","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-09-24","price":0.39},{"date":"2026-09-25","price":0.35},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":0.32},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-09-29","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-10-01","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":0.39},{"date":"2026-10-03","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":0.35},{"date":"2026-10-05","price":0.35},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-10-07","price":0.35},{"date":"2026-10-08","price":0.35},{"date":"2026-10-09","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-10-10","price":0.39},{"date":"2026-10-11","price":0.39},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-10-13","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-10-15","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-10-17","price":0.39}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-07-19","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-07-21","price":0.35},{"date":"2026-07-23","price":0.35},{"date":"2026-07-25","price":0.39},{"date":"2026-07-27","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-07-29","price":0.32},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":0.39},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":0.39},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":0.34},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":0.39},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":0.41},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":0.41},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":0.44},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":0.4},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":0.39},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":0.39},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-09-13","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-09-15","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-09-17","price":0.39},{"date":"2026-09-19","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-09-21","price":0.35},{"date":"2026-09-23","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-09-25","price":0.35},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-09-29","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-10-01","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-10-03","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-10-05","price":0.35},{"date":"2026-10-07","price":0.35},{"date":"2026-10-09","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-10-11","price":0.39},{"date":"2026-10-13","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-10-15","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-10-17","price":0.39}],"series_key":"589749|Normal","series_printing":"Normal"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Stroke%20of%20Midnight%20Foundations&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":"https://scryfall.com/search?q=Stroke%20of%20Midnight","tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Stroke%20of%20Midnight%20Foundations&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"84bbb58af271","game":"mtg","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/84bbb58af271","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/mtg/builds/ba0f61e2119b11ba/84.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"page_headline":{"price":0.39,"printing":"Normal","as_of":"2026-10-17","computed_by":"witness/src/render-card.ts _heroMarketPrice, _heroDisplayPrinting, heroAsOfDay: the functions the HTML page calls on this same record (build_shard below). Unrounded: the page prints whole dollars from $100."},"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field outside `_handle` is served verbatim from the build shard. Two `_handle` entries are computed: `provenance_fields` (from the record) and `page_headline` (the figure the page rendered from this build_shard heads with, by the page's own functions; a page served from the edge cache within an hour of a build change can still show the previous build)."}}