{"canonical_id_v02":"859b039ab415","identity":{"artist":"Mitsuhiro Arita","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/sv3pt5/170.png","locale":"en","name":"Squirtle","number":"170/165","rarity":"Illustration Rare","series_slug":"","set_name":"Sv Scarlet And Violet 151","set_slug":"sv-scarlet-and-violet-151","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"52a9d4f77171840d","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-06T10:55:39Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.1"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-06T04:13:23.918833+00:00","listed_median":102.21,"market_price":93.71}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397 probes: 8 games, 43 rows, nearest condition NM 42/43 — Wilson 95% 88-100% — cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2% by bucket timing; a sample, not a definition)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-06T04:13:23.918833+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":102.21,"latest_market_price":93.71,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":786,"tcgcsv_forward":155},"as_of_date":"2026-09-06","ath_date":"2026-03-08","ath_price":142.09,"atl_date":"2024-05-30","atl_price":21.44,"canonical_id_v02":"76a6f0dca919","canonical_id_v03":"859b039ab415","canonical_id_v1":"81de8cb3a4f3","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":0.13,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":2.99,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":-18.64,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":44,"DRAWDOWN":12,"HEATED":44},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":1.34,"cohort_median_90d_pct":6.29,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-34.01,"current_price":93.77,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-09-06","history_n_distinct_closes":935,"history_n_obs":942,"history_n_obs_series":941,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-08-28","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-18","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-11","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-03","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-02","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-31","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-30","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-22","delta_pct":-39.6,"label":"-40% off peak","price":85.83,"type":"drawdown_low"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":84,"regime_entered_date":"2026-08-28","regime_label":"CALM","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":22,"DRAWDOWN":34,"HEATED":44},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":36,"DRAWDOWN":18,"HEATED":46},"regime_run_length_days":8,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2026-04-14","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-04-20","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-04-25","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-04-26","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-05-19","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-05-22","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-05-25","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-06-09","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-11","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-06-12","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-17","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-06-24","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-07-18","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-30","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-31","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-02","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-08-03","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-11","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-08-18","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-08-28","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":0.13,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":1.65,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-24.94,"series_printing":"Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":179,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":106.31,"return_30d_pct":2.99,"return_7d_pct":3.77,"return_90d_pct":-18.64,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-06","price":91.05},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":90.38},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":88.93},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":88.67},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":89.03},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":90.89},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":90.93},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":90.35},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":90.84},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":88.27},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":90.82},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":90.38},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":91.37},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":92.11},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":90.61},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":90.7},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":93.65},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":93.11},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":94.45},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":101.01},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":99.6},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":98.13},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":92.32},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":90.36},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":93.91},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":96.59},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":98.36},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":96.56},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":93.63},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":93.77},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":93.77}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-07","price":115.26},{"date":"2026-06-09","price":120.98},{"date":"2026-06-11","price":116.94},{"date":"2026-06-13","price":119.63},{"date":"2026-06-15","price":120.23},{"date":"2026-06-17","price":117.8},{"date":"2026-06-19","price":115.46},{"date":"2026-06-21","price":117.1},{"date":"2026-06-23","price":114.16},{"date":"2026-06-25","price":109.65},{"date":"2026-06-27","price":112.84},{"date":"2026-06-29","price":108.78},{"date":"2026-07-01","price":109.73},{"date":"2026-07-03","price":102.02},{"date":"2026-07-05","price":101.46},{"date":"2026-07-07","price":104.81},{"date":"2026-07-09","price":103.79},{"date":"2026-07-11","price":104.01},{"date":"2026-07-13","price":103.6},{"date":"2026-07-15","price":102.53},{"date":"2026-07-17","price":102.65},{"date":"2026-07-19","price":92.76},{"date":"2026-07-21","price":88.82},{"date":"2026-07-23","price":91.84},{"date":"2026-07-25","price":91.2},{"date":"2026-07-27","price":93.07},{"date":"2026-07-29","price":94.49},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":98.84},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":98.2},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":92.81},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":91.05},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":88.93},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":89.03},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":90.93},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":90.84},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":90.82},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":91.37},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":90.61},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":93.65},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":94.45},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":99.6},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":92.32},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":93.91},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":98.36},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":93.63},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":93.77}],"series_key":"502549|Holofoil","series_printing":"Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Squirtle%20Sv%20Scarlet%20And%20Violet%20151&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/squirtle","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Squirtle%20Sv%20Scarlet%20And%20Violet%20151&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"859b039ab415","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/859b039ab415","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/52a9d4f77171840d/85.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}