{"canonical_id_v02":"85e8a8a3cb26","identity":{"artist":"nagimiso","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/sm10/106.png","locale":"en","name":"Stakataka","number":"106/214","rarity":"Rare Holo","series_slug":"sm-unbroken-bonds","set_name":"Sm Unbroken Bonds","set_slug":"sm-unbroken-bonds","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"92d94e75ddde945c","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-04T10:19:13Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.0"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Holofoil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-03T00:00:00Z","listed_median":null,"market_price":6.73}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-03T00:00:00Z","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":6.73,"primary_printing":"Holofoil","primary_printing_in_record":"Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"tcgcsv_archive":242,"tcgcsv_forward":1636},"as_of_date":"2026-09-03","ath_date":"2026-03-10","ath_price":7.62,"atl_date":"2024-11-14","atl_price":1,"canonical_id_v02":"b39f5f2cdb12","canonical_id_v03":"85e8a8a3cb26","canonical_id_v1":"d84f418793d7","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":-3.3,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":-3.72,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":18.49,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":44,"DRAWDOWN":12,"HEATED":44},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":1.06,"cohort_median_90d_pct":6.25,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-11.68,"current_price":6.73,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-09-03","history_n_distinct_closes":329,"history_n_obs":1878,"history_n_obs_series":939,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-08-20","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-24","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-21","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-04-10","delta_pct":-52.4,"label":"-52% day-over-day","price":3.34,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-04-10","delta_pct":-56.2,"label":"-56% off peak","price":3.34,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2026-02-20","delta_pct":102.1,"label":"+102% day-over-day","price":7.56,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-01-26","delta_pct":39.2,"label":"+39% day-over-day","price":3.98,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-12-16","delta_pct":75.8,"label":"+76% day-over-day","price":3.41,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":93,"regime_entered_date":"2026-08-20","regime_label":"CALM","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":26,"DRAWDOWN":4,"HEATED":70},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":48,"DRAWDOWN":15,"HEATED":37},"regime_run_length_days":14,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2025-05-12","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-05-13","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-06-11","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-07-14","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-07-19","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-08-02","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-08-07","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-10-25","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-11-30","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-12-16","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-17","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-06-21","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-22","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-07-04","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-13","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-14","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-15","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-21","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-24","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-20","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":-3.3,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-4.78,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":12.24,"series_printing":"Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"sticky_previous","margin":0,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"recent","tie_members":["Holofoil","Reverse Holofoil"]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":331.41,"return_30d_pct":-3.72,"return_7d_pct":2.28,"return_90d_pct":18.49,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-04","price":6.99},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":6.99},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":6.99},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":6.99},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":6.99},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":6.99},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":7.15},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":7.23},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":7.23},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":7.23},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":7.23},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":7.23},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":7.35},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":7.35},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":7.3},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":7.16},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":6.96},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":6.81},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":6.81},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":6.81},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":6.58},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":6.58},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":6.58},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":6.58},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":6.58},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":6.59},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":6.59},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":6.59},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":6.73},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":6.73},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":6.73}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-05","price":5.68},{"date":"2026-06-07","price":5.66},{"date":"2026-06-09","price":5.8},{"date":"2026-06-11","price":5.84},{"date":"2026-06-13","price":5.84},{"date":"2026-06-15","price":5.76},{"date":"2026-06-17","price":5.81},{"date":"2026-06-19","price":5.79},{"date":"2026-06-21","price":5.79},{"date":"2026-06-23","price":5.82},{"date":"2026-06-25","price":5.82},{"date":"2026-06-27","price":5.95},{"date":"2026-06-29","price":5.95},{"date":"2026-07-01","price":5.93},{"date":"2026-07-03","price":6.02},{"date":"2026-07-05","price":6.17},{"date":"2026-07-07","price":6.11},{"date":"2026-07-09","price":6.11},{"date":"2026-07-11","price":6.11},{"date":"2026-07-13","price":6.52},{"date":"2026-07-15","price":6.71},{"date":"2026-07-17","price":6.71},{"date":"2026-07-19","price":6.71},{"date":"2026-07-21","price":6.71},{"date":"2026-07-23","price":6.64},{"date":"2026-07-25","price":6.65},{"date":"2026-07-27","price":6.84},{"date":"2026-07-29","price":6.84},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":6.8},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":7.11},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":6.99},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":6.99},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":6.99},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":7.15},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":7.23},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":7.23},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":7.35},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":7.3},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":6.96},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":6.81},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":6.58},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":6.58},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":6.58},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":6.59},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":6.73},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":6.73}],"series_key":"189205|Holofoil","series_printing":"Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Stakataka%20Sm%20Unbroken%20Bonds&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/stakataka","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Stakataka%20Sm%20Unbroken%20Bonds&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"85e8a8a3cb26","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/85e8a8a3cb26","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/92d94e75ddde945c/85.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}