{"canonical_id_v02":"8ab57a3bc6a6","identity":{"artist":null,"game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.scrydex.com/pokemon/me3-118/small","locale":"en","name":"Mega Starmie ex","number":"118/088","rarity":"Special Illustration Rare","series_slug":"me03-perfect-order","set_name":"Me03 Perfect Order","set_slug":"me03-perfect-order","vintage":"nascent"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"065295aaf7a72ee2","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-05T10:16:27Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.0"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Holofoil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-04T00:00:00Z","listed_median":null,"market_price":41.7}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-04T00:00:00Z","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":41.7,"primary_printing":"Holofoil","primary_printing_in_record":"Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"tcgcsv_archive":10,"tcgcsv_forward":152},"as_of_date":"2026-09-04","ath_date":"2026-03-27","ath_price":91.87,"atl_date":"2026-08-18","atl_price":40.42,"canonical_id_v02":"e61b5801af48","canonical_id_v03":"8ab57a3bc6a6","canonical_id_v1":"734f23bff533","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":0.17,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":-4.82,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":-40.03,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":33,"DRAWDOWN":20,"HEATED":47},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-nascent","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0,"cohort_median_90d_pct":1.72,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-54.61,"current_price":41.7,"history_first_date":"2026-03-27","history_last_date":"2026-09-04","history_n_distinct_closes":162,"history_n_obs":162,"history_n_obs_series":162,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-09-04","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-31","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-27","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-18","delta_pct":-56,"label":"-56% off peak","price":40.42,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2026-07-01","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-06-23","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-06-11","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-05-22","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":8,"regime_entered_date":"2026-09-04","regime_label":"DRAWDOWN","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":15,"DRAWDOWN":24,"HEATED":61},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":15,"DRAWDOWN":24,"HEATED":61},"regime_run_length_days":0,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2026-04-21","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-05-07","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-05-11","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-05-16","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-05-22","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-06-11","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-23","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-07-01","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-27","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-08-31","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-09-04","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":0.17,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-4.82,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-41.75,"series_printing":"Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":162,"n_candidates":1,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":null,"return_30d_pct":-4.82,"return_7d_pct":-0.62,"return_90d_pct":-40.03,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-05","price":43.81},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":43.77},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":43.98},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":43.83},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":43.45},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":42.12},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":43.01},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":42.54},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":41.34},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":41.07},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":40.91},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":41.3},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":40.62},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":40.42},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":40.86},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":40.88},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":41.63},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":42.14},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":42.2},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":41.73},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":41.83},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":41.74},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":41.99},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":41.96},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":42.36},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":43.38},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":42.98},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":41.56},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":40.78},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":41.39},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":41.7}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-06","price":69.53},{"date":"2026-06-08","price":68},{"date":"2026-06-10","price":64.42},{"date":"2026-06-12","price":62.6},{"date":"2026-06-14","price":63.56},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":62.57},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":61.67},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":61.46},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":61.18},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":62.32},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":61.33},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":61.15},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":60.51},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":60.42},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":58.06},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":56.93},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":54.92},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":55.65},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":51.89},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":51.63},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":50.82},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":48.14},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":49.54},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":50.97},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":49.53},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":47.57},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":46.06},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":44.32},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":44.58},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":43.88},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":43.81},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":43.98},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":43.45},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":43.01},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":41.34},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":40.91},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":40.62},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":40.86},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":41.63},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":42.2},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":41.83},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":41.99},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":42.36},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":42.98},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":40.78},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":41.7}],"series_key":"684362|Holofoil","series_printing":"Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Mega%20Starmie%20ex%20Me03%20Perfect%20Order&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/mega-starmie-ex","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Mega%20Starmie%20ex%20Me03%20Perfect%20Order&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"8ab57a3bc6a6","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/8ab57a3bc6a6","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/065295aaf7a72ee2/8a.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}