{"canonical_id_v02":"92838044bda5","identity":{"artist":"Ryo Ueda","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/xy3/108.png","locale":"en","name":"Dragonite-EX","number":"108/111","rarity":"Rare Ultra","series_slug":"xy-furious-fists","set_name":"Xy Furious Fists","set_slug":"xy-furious-fists","vintage":"mature_secondary"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"27f56537cb13c4fa","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-11T10:10:11Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.1"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-10T16:19:05.289440+00:00","listed_median":125,"market_price":137.87}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-10T16:19:05.289440+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":125,"latest_market_price":137.87,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":121,"tcgcsv_forward":825},"as_of_date":"2026-09-10","ath_date":"2026-09-06","ath_price":137.87,"atl_date":"2024-02-27","atl_price":28.92,"canonical_id_v02":"d2073c484552","canonical_id_v03":"92838044bda5","canonical_id_v1":"c85a6831bc81","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":3.47,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":4.73,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":10.95,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":65,"DRAWDOWN":10,"HEATED":25},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-mature_secondary","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":2.22,"cohort_median_90d_pct":11.37,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":0,"current_price":137.87,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-09-10","history_n_distinct_closes":178,"history_n_obs":947,"history_n_obs_series":946,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2025-11-26","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-10-30","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-10-28","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-10-23","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-09-24","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-09-18","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-09-16","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-07-31","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":100,"regime_entered_date":"2025-11-26","regime_label":"CALM","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":88,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":12},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":85,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":15},"regime_run_length_days":288,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2025-05-16","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-07-11","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-07-31","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-09-16","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-09-18","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-09-24","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-10-23","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-10-28","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-10-30","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-11-26","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":3.47,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":2.51,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-0.41,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":6.44,"series_printing":"Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":180,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":4.51,"set_movers_share_90d":0.9375,"set_n_90d":112,"set_slug":"xy-furious-fists"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":78.6807,"return_30d_pct":4.7326,"return_7d_pct":2.498,"return_90d_pct":10.9528,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-11","price":131.64},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":131.64},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":131.64},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":131.64},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":131.64},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":131.64},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":131.64},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":133},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":133.86},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":133.86},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":133.86},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":133.86},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":133.86},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":133.86},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":133.86},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":133.86},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":133.24},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":133.24},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":133.24},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":133.24},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":134.06},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":134.06},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":134.51},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":134.51},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":136.81},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":136.81},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":137.87},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":137.87},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":137.87},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":137.87},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":137.87}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-12","price":124.26},{"date":"2026-06-14","price":124.26},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":124.26},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":124.26},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":129.29},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":129.29},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":129.29},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":127.9},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":127.9},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":129.02},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":129.02},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":129.02},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":129.02},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":129.02},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":129.02},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":129.02},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":129.02},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":129.02},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":130.16},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":130.16},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":130.16},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":130.16},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":130.1},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":130.43},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":131.64},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":131.64},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":131.64},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":131.64},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":131.64},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":131.64},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":131.64},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":131.64},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":131.64},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":131.64},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":133.86},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":133.86},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":133.86},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":133.86},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":133.24},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":133.24},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":134.06},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":134.51},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":136.81},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":137.87},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":137.87},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":137.87}],"series_key":"92254|Holofoil","series_printing":"Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Dragonite-EX%20Xy%20Furious%20Fists&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/dragonite-ex","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Dragonite-EX%20Xy%20Furious%20Fists&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"92838044bda5","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/92838044bda5","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/27f56537cb13c4fa/92.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}