{"canonical_id_v02":"94e2b717669c","identity":{"artist":"Max Kostin","game":"fab","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://legendstory-production-s3-public.s3.amazonaws.com/media/cards/large/ARC038.webp","locale":"en","name":"Azalea, Ace in the Hole","number":"ARC039 // ARC038","rarity":"T","series_slug":"arcane-rising","set_name":"Arcane Rising","set_slug":"arcane-rising","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"389671e4448291de","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-12T14:25:36Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.1"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-12T06:34:49.375063+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":null},"Normal":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-12T06:34:49.375063+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":0.15}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-12T06:34:49.375063+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":0.15,"primary_printing":"Normal","primary_printing_in_record":"1st Edition Normal","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":105,"tcgcsv_forward":627},"as_of_date":"2026-09-12","ath_date":"2024-02-08","ath_price":1.98,"atl_date":"2025-03-11","atl_price":0.25,"canonical_id_v02":"94e2b717669c","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":null,"card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":0,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":0,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":0,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":34,"DRAWDOWN":32,"HEATED":34},"cohort_label":"fab-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0,"cohort_median_90d_pct":0,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-87.37,"current_price":0.25,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-09-12","history_n_distinct_closes":14,"history_n_obs":733,"history_n_obs_series":732,"liquidity_tier":"T2","notable_moments":[{"date":"2025-04-20","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-03-11","delta_pct":-44.4,"label":"-44% day-over-day","prev_price":0.45,"price":0.25,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-03-11","delta_pct":-87.4,"label":"-87% off peak","price":0.25,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2025-02-12","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-02-12","delta_pct":-30.8,"label":"-31% day-over-day","prev_price":0.65,"price":0.45,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-09-11","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2024-08-02","delta_pct":-40,"label":"-40% day-over-day","prev_price":1.1,"price":0.66,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-07-03","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":46,"regime_entered_date":"2025-04-20","regime_label":"DRAWDOWN","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":0,"DRAWDOWN":81,"HEATED":19},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":12,"DRAWDOWN":63,"HEATED":25},"regime_run_length_days":298,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2024-03-28","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-05-10","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-06-01","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2024-06-10","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-07-03","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-09-11","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-02-12","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-04-20","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":0,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":0,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":0,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":0,"series_printing":"1st Edition Normal","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":731,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"total","tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":0,"set_movers_share_90d":0.651,"set_n_90d":788,"set_slug":"arcane-rising"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":-44.4444,"return_30d_pct":0,"return_7d_pct":0,"return_90d_pct":0,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-01-13","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-14","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-15","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-16","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-17","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-18","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-19","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-20","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-21","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-22","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-23","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-24","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-25","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-26","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-27","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-28","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-29","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-30","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-31","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-02-01","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-02-02","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-02-03","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-02-04","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-02-05","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-02-06","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-02-07","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-02-08","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-02-09","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-02-10","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-02-11","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-02-12","price":0.25}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2025-11-14","price":0.25},{"date":"2025-11-16","price":0.25},{"date":"2025-11-18","price":0.25},{"date":"2025-11-20","price":0.25},{"date":"2025-11-22","price":0.25},{"date":"2025-11-24","price":0.25},{"date":"2025-11-26","price":0.25},{"date":"2025-11-28","price":0.25},{"date":"2025-11-30","price":0.25},{"date":"2025-12-02","price":0.25},{"date":"2025-12-04","price":0.25},{"date":"2025-12-06","price":0.25},{"date":"2025-12-08","price":0.25},{"date":"2025-12-10","price":0.25},{"date":"2025-12-12","price":0.25},{"date":"2025-12-14","price":0.25},{"date":"2025-12-16","price":0.25},{"date":"2025-12-18","price":0.25},{"date":"2025-12-20","price":0.25},{"date":"2025-12-22","price":0.25},{"date":"2025-12-24","price":0.25},{"date":"2025-12-26","price":0.25},{"date":"2025-12-28","price":0.25},{"date":"2025-12-30","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-01","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-03","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-05","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-07","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-09","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-11","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-13","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-15","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-17","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-19","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-21","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-23","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-25","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-27","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-29","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-01-31","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-02-02","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-02-04","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-02-06","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-02-08","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-02-10","price":0.25},{"date":"2026-02-12","price":0.25}],"series_key":"225528|1st Edition Normal","series_printing":"1st Edition Normal"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Azalea%2C%20Ace%20in%20the%20Hole%20Arcane%20Rising&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Azalea%2C%20Ace%20in%20the%20Hole%20Arcane%20Rising&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"94e2b717669c","game":"fab","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/94e2b717669c","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/fab/builds/389671e4448291de/94.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}