{"canonical_id_v02":"98e288f7e5e0","canonical_url_id":"98e288f7e5e0","identity":{"artist":null,"game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":null,"locale":"en","name":"Mega Excadrill ex - 103/084","number":"103/084","rarity":null,"series_slug":"me05-pitch-black","set_name":"ME05: Pitch Black","set_slug":"me05-pitch-black","vintage":"nascent"},"lineage":{"dex":530,"earliest":{"name":"Excadrill","set_name":"Emerging Powers","url_id":"02e669c64214","year":2011},"earliest_includes_this":false,"earliest_same_day_cards":2,"earliest_same_day_sets":1,"form_key":"mega excadrill","latest":{"name":"Mega Excadrill ex","set_name":"ME05: Pitch Black","url_id":"98e288f7e5e0","year":2026},"latest_includes_this":true,"latest_same_day_cards":2,"latest_same_day_sets":1,"ordinal":23,"persona":"Mega Excadrill","persona_cards":2,"persona_ordinal":2,"rule":"species v3","same_set_cards":2,"species":"Excadrill","species_cards":24,"species_dated":23,"species_sets":15,"species_shared_cards":0,"undated_reason":null,"url_id":"98e288f7e5e0"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"ff6bd025112955f0","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-10-25T08:20:29Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.7"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-24T21:14:48.316881+00:00","listed_median":4.84,"market_price":3.72}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition; third stratum fu506 (top 8 per game, 24 decidable card rows): NM-consistent +-10% 17/24; 1 LP to the cent, 1 nearest HP at 117x, 2 at 1.7-1.8x NM, 1 NM unpriced; 35 of 64 top rows were sealed)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-24T21:14:48.316881+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":4.84,"latest_market_price":3.72,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_forward":107},"as_of_date":"2026-10-24","ath_date":"2026-07-15","ath_price":15.89,"ath_run_last_date":"2026-07-15","ath_run_rows":1,"ath_run_to_end":false,"ath_since_release_date":"2026-08-11","ath_since_release_price":10.04,"ath_since_release_run_last_date":"2026-08-11","ath_since_release_run_rows":1,"ath_since_release_run_to_end":false,"atl_date":"2026-10-21","atl_price":3.44,"atl_run_last_date":"2026-10-21","atl_run_rows":1,"atl_run_to_end":false,"atl_since_release_date":null,"atl_since_release_price":null,"atl_since_release_run_last_date":null,"atl_since_release_run_rows":null,"atl_since_release_run_to_end":null,"canonical_id_v02":"4c920f963c4f","canonical_id_v03":"98e288f7e5e0","canonical_id_v1":"96780da728ac","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":-7.9,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":-34.9,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":-60.11,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":32,"DRAWDOWN":21,"HEATED":47},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-nascent","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0,"cohort_median_90d_pct":0,"cohort_source":"atlas","current_off_ath_pct":-76.53,"current_price":3.73,"history_first_date":"2026-07-08","history_first_date_series":"2026-07-08","history_last_date":"2026-10-24","history_last_date_series":"2026-10-24","history_n_distinct_closes":104,"history_n_obs":108,"history_n_obs_series":107,"liquidity_tier":"T2","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-10-21","delta_pct":-78.4,"label":"-78% off peak","price":3.44,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2026-08-31","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-28","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-27","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-26","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-19","delta_pct":36.9,"label":"+37% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-07-18","prev_price":5.99,"price":8.2,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-07-18","delta_pct":-39.5,"label":"-39% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-07-17","prev_price":9.9,"price":5.99,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-07-17","delta_pct":-35.4,"label":"-35% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-07-16","prev_price":15.32,"price":9.9,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":7,"recent_steps":{"dates":[],"dates_truncated":false,"n":0,"threshold_pct":50,"window_days":120},"regime_entered_date":"2026-08-31","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":2,"DRAWDOWN":4,"HEATED":94},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":2,"DRAWDOWN":4,"HEATED":94},"regime_run_length_days":54,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2026-07-17","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-26","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-08-27","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-28","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-08-31","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":-7.9,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-34.9,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-60.11,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":-68.44,"series_printing":"Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":106,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":8.33,"set_member_unit":"cards","set_movers_share_90d":0.9664,"set_n_90d":119,"set_release_date":"2026-07-17","set_slug":"me05-pitch-black"},"trajectory":{"last_step":{"date":"2026-10-24","next":3.73,"prev":3.52,"prev_date":"2026-10-23"},"return_1y_base":null,"return_1y_pct":null,"return_30d_pct":-34.904,"return_7d_pct":4.7753,"return_90d_pct":-60.107,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-09-24","price":5.73},{"date":"2026-09-25","price":5.73},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":6.19},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":5.8},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":5.47},{"date":"2026-09-29","price":5.41},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":4.81},{"date":"2026-10-01","price":4.97},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":5.35},{"date":"2026-10-03","price":4.33},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":4.38},{"date":"2026-10-05","price":4.26},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":4.26},{"date":"2026-10-07","price":4.5},{"date":"2026-10-08","price":4.52},{"date":"2026-10-09","price":4.84},{"date":"2026-10-10","price":4.05},{"date":"2026-10-11","price":4.33},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":4.32},{"date":"2026-10-13","price":4.15},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":4.05},{"date":"2026-10-15","price":3.51},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":3.79},{"date":"2026-10-17","price":3.56},{"date":"2026-10-18","price":3.83},{"date":"2026-10-19","price":3.6},{"date":"2026-10-20","price":3.73},{"date":"2026-10-21","price":3.44},{"date":"2026-10-22","price":3.56},{"date":"2026-10-23","price":3.52},{"date":"2026-10-24","price":3.73}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-07-26","price":9.35},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":9.39},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":9.6},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":9.83},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":9.29},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":9.58},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":9.96},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":9.76},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":10.04},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":9.19},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":9.51},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":9.17},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":9.3},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":9.14},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":9.3},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":9.1},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":8.45},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":8.31},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":7.73},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":7.36},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":6.86},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":7.23},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":7.38},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":7.09},{"date":"2026-09-12","price":7.22},{"date":"2026-09-14","price":6.89},{"date":"2026-09-16","price":6.57},{"date":"2026-09-18","price":6.18},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":5.79},{"date":"2026-09-22","price":5.85},{"date":"2026-09-24","price":5.73},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":6.19},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":5.47},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":4.81},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":5.35},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":4.38},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":4.26},{"date":"2026-10-08","price":4.52},{"date":"2026-10-10","price":4.05},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":4.32},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":4.05},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":3.79},{"date":"2026-10-18","price":3.83},{"date":"2026-10-20","price":3.73},{"date":"2026-10-22","price":3.56},{"date":"2026-10-24","price":3.73}],"series_key":"704860|Holofoil","series_printing":"Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Mega%20Excadrill%20ex%20-%20103/084%20ME05%3A%20Pitch%20Black&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/mega-excadrill-ex---103/084","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Mega%20Excadrill%20ex%20-%20103/084%20ME05%3A%20Pitch%20Black&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"98e288f7e5e0","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/98e288f7e5e0","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/ff6bd025112955f0/98.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"page_headline":{"price":3.73,"printing":"Holofoil","as_of":"2026-10-24","computed_by":"witness/src/render-card.ts _heroMarketPrice, _heroDisplayPrinting, heroAsOfDay: the functions the HTML page calls on this same record (build_shard below). Unrounded: the page prints whole dollars from $100."},"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field outside `_handle` is served verbatim from the build shard. Two `_handle` entries are computed: `provenance_fields` (from the record) and `page_headline` (the figure the page rendered from this build_shard heads with, by the page's own functions; a page served from the edge cache within an hour of a build change can still show the previous build)."}}