{"canonical_id_v02":"9c580a601c0e","canonical_url_id":"9c580a601c0e","identity":{"artist":"Anesaki Dynamic","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/sm2/81.png","locale":"en","name":"Absol","number":"81/145","rarity":"Rare Holo","series_slug":"sm-guardians-rising","set_name":"Sm Guardians Rising","set_slug":"sm-guardians-rising","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"62ede9f50a973368","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-18T10:13:44Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.2"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Reverse Holofoil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-17T00:00:00Z","listed_median":null,"market_price":1.97}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-17T00:00:00Z","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":1.97,"primary_printing":"Reverse Holofoil","primary_printing_in_record":"Reverse Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[{"canonical_id_v02":"5618b3154cbf","market_price":1.84,"name":"Absol","printing":"Holofoil","rationale":"same_card_other_printing"}],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":242,"tcgcsv_forward":1664},"as_of_date":"2026-09-18","ath_date":"2026-09-16","ath_price":1.97,"atl_date":"2024-04-12","atl_price":0.39,"canonical_id_v02":"3fdaed792e25","canonical_id_v03":"5618b3154cbf","canonical_id_v1":"67de34009a4d","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":33.11,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":57.6,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":41.73,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":44,"DRAWDOWN":12,"HEATED":44},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0.7,"cohort_median_90d_pct":5.34,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":0,"current_price":1.97,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-09-17","history_n_distinct_closes":228,"history_n_obs":1907,"history_n_obs_series":953,"liquidity_tier":"T2","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-07-20","delta_pct":-42.6,"label":"-43% off peak","price":0.93,"type":"drawdown_low"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":100,"record_block_scope":"per_print_page","regime_entered_date":"2026-09-06","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":61,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":39},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":73,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":27},"regime_run_length_days":11,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2025-05-31","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-07-10","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-08-03","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-10-20","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-10-26","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-03-04","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-03-05","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-03-07","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-03-08","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-04-10","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-04-18","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-04-25","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-04-28","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-05-04","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-05-13","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-05-18","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-28","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-09-02","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-09-03","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-09-06","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":33.11,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":56.9,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":36.39,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":33.14,"series_printing":"Reverse Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"base_decided_by":"sticky_previous","base_series_printing":"Holofoil","decided_by":"per_print_page","margin":null,"n_candidates":1,"pool":null,"tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":8.59,"set_movers_share_90d":0.9532,"set_n_90d":171,"set_slug":"sm-guardians-rising"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":166.2162,"return_30d_pct":57.6,"return_7d_pct":11.2994,"return_90d_pct":41.7266,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-18","price":1.25},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":1.37},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":1.41},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":1.47},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":1.47},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":1.46},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":1.46},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":1.46},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":1.46},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":1.46},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":1.46},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":1.46},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":1.46},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":1.46},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":1.46},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":1.48},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":1.48},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":1.48},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":1.6},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":1.7},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":1.7},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":1.77},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":1.77},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":1.77},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":1.79},{"date":"2026-09-12","price":1.79},{"date":"2026-09-13","price":1.87},{"date":"2026-09-14","price":1.96},{"date":"2026-09-15","price":1.96},{"date":"2026-09-16","price":1.97},{"date":"2026-09-17","price":1.97}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-19","price":1.39},{"date":"2026-06-21","price":1.39},{"date":"2026-06-23","price":1.27},{"date":"2026-06-25","price":1.26},{"date":"2026-06-27","price":1.22},{"date":"2026-06-29","price":1.19},{"date":"2026-07-01","price":1.19},{"date":"2026-07-03","price":1.19},{"date":"2026-07-05","price":1.19},{"date":"2026-07-07","price":1.2},{"date":"2026-07-09","price":1.12},{"date":"2026-07-11","price":1.11},{"date":"2026-07-13","price":1.11},{"date":"2026-07-15","price":1.1},{"date":"2026-07-17","price":1.06},{"date":"2026-07-19","price":0.95},{"date":"2026-07-21","price":0.93},{"date":"2026-07-23","price":0.98},{"date":"2026-07-25","price":0.98},{"date":"2026-07-27","price":0.98},{"date":"2026-07-29","price":0.94},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":0.97},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":0.94},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":0.95},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":0.97},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":0.97},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":0.98},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":0.99},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":1.06},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":1.22},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":1.25},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":1.41},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":1.47},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":1.46},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":1.46},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":1.46},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":1.46},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":1.46},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":1.48},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":1.6},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":1.7},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":1.77},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":1.79},{"date":"2026-09-13","price":1.87},{"date":"2026-09-15","price":1.96},{"date":"2026-09-17","price":1.97}],"series_key":"130993|Reverse Holofoil","series_printing":"Reverse Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Absol%20Sm%20Guardians%20Rising&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/absol","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Absol%20Sm%20Guardians%20Rising&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"9c580a601c0e","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/9c580a601c0e","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/62ede9f50a973368/9c.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}