{"canonical_id_v02":"9c9382f353d1","identity":{"artist":"Hikaru Koike","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/ex3/97.png","locale":"en","name":"Rayquaza ex","number":"97/97","rarity":"Rare Holo EX","series_slug":"dragon","set_name":"Dragon","set_slug":"dragon","vintage":"mature_secondary"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"27f56537cb13c4fa","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-11T10:10:11Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.1"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-10T20:38:00.432726+00:00","listed_median":550,"market_price":460.73}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-10T20:38:00.432726+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":550,"latest_market_price":460.73,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":121,"tcgcsv_forward":825},"as_of_date":"2026-09-10","ath_date":"2026-07-22","ath_price":484.98,"atl_date":"2024-07-18","atl_price":171.78,"canonical_id_v02":"fe436959e2c6","canonical_id_v03":"9c9382f353d1","canonical_id_v1":"c44e052bd726","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":0,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":-5,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":13.72,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":65,"DRAWDOWN":10,"HEATED":25},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-mature_secondary","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":2.22,"cohort_median_90d_pct":11.37,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-5,"current_price":460.73,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-09-10","history_n_distinct_closes":57,"history_n_obs":947,"history_n_obs_series":946,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-08-31","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-02","delta_pct":85.4,"label":"+85% day-over-day","prev_price":210.31,"price":389.85,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-06-20","delta_pct":-53.8,"label":"-54% day-over-day","prev_price":455.15,"price":210.31,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-06-20","delta_pct":-53.8,"label":"-54% off peak","price":210.31,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2026-06-18","delta_pct":116.4,"label":"+116% day-over-day","prev_price":210.31,"price":455.15,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-06-15","delta_pct":-48.1,"label":"-48% day-over-day","prev_price":405.16,"price":210.31,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-05-30","delta_pct":92.6,"label":"+93% day-over-day","prev_price":210.31,"price":405.16,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-12-23","delta_pct":-34.6,"label":"-35% day-over-day","prev_price":355.08,"price":232.25,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":96,"regime_entered_date":"2026-08-31","regime_label":"CALM","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":41,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":59},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":72,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":28},"regime_run_length_days":10,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2024-10-09","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-11-23","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-12-05","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-03-04","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-04-27","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-31","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":0,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-7.22,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":2.35,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":1.47,"series_printing":"Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":180,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":12.25,"set_movers_share_90d":0.9596,"set_n_90d":99,"set_slug":"dragon"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":56.5458,"return_30d_pct":-5.0002,"return_7d_pct":0,"return_90d_pct":13.7156,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-11","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":460.73},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":460.73},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":460.73},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":460.73},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":460.73},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":460.73},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":460.73},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":460.73},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":460.73},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":460.73},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":460.73},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":460.73},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":460.73},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":460.73},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":460.73}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-12","price":405.16},{"date":"2026-06-14","price":405.16},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":210.31},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":455.15},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":210.31},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":210.31},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":210.31},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":210.31},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":210.31},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":210.31},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":389.85},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":389.85},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":389.85},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":389.85},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":389.85},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":389.85},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":389.85},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":389.85},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":389.85},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":389.85},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":484.98},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":460.73},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":460.73},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":460.73},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":460.73},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":460.73},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":460.73},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":460.73},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":460.73}],"series_key":"88642|Holofoil","series_printing":"Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Rayquaza%20ex%20Dragon&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/rayquaza-ex","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Rayquaza%20ex%20Dragon&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"9c9382f353d1","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/9c9382f353d1","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/27f56537cb13c4fa/9c.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}