{"canonical_id_v02":"a121b74d5bec","identity":{"artist":"Hitoshi Ariga","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/sm12/241.png","locale":"en","name":"Pikachu","number":"241/236","rarity":"Rare Secret","series_slug":"sm-cosmic-eclipse","set_name":"Sm Cosmic Eclipse","set_slug":"sm-cosmic-eclipse","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"065295aaf7a72ee2","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-05T10:16:27Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.0"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-04T20:47:23.751523+00:00","listed_median":215,"market_price":226.12}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-04T20:47:23.751523+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":215,"latest_market_price":226.12,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":121,"tcgcsv_forward":819},"as_of_date":"2026-09-04","ath_date":"2026-06-09","ath_price":234.93,"atl_date":"2024-05-02","atl_price":33.67,"canonical_id_v02":"462c4a545fad","canonical_id_v03":"a121b74d5bec","canonical_id_v1":"23d4e44d9d3a","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":3.96,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":7.26,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":-1.45,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":44,"DRAWDOWN":12,"HEATED":44},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":1.33,"cohort_median_90d_pct":6.25,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-3.75,"current_price":226.12,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-09-04","history_n_distinct_closes":580,"history_n_obs":941,"history_n_obs_series":940,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-06-20","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-04-16","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-04-15","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-03-08","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-11-12","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-09-12","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-03-23","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2024-12-16","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":96,"regime_entered_date":"2026-06-20","regime_label":"CALM","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":55,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":45},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":70,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":30},"regime_run_length_days":76,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2024-06-01","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-06-22","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-12-12","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-12-13","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-12-16","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-03-23","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-09-12","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-11-12","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-03-08","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-04-15","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-04-16","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-20","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":3.96,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":5.92,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-7.7,"series_printing":"Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":180,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":186.45,"return_30d_pct":7.26,"return_7d_pct":1.6,"return_90d_pct":-1.45,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-05","price":210.82},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":210.82},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":210.46},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":209.71},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":209.71},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":209.71},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":209.16},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":209.15},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":211.4},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":211.4},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":213.39},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":212.63},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":215.26},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":216.55},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":216.55},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":217.51},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":217.51},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":217.51},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":217.51},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":217.51},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":219.55},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":218.75},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":222.33},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":222.57},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":223.65},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":223.65},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":225.09},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":225.8},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":226.32},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":226.32},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":226.12}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-06","price":229.44},{"date":"2026-06-08","price":228.65},{"date":"2026-06-10","price":231.83},{"date":"2026-06-12","price":231.83},{"date":"2026-06-14","price":231.83},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":233.38},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":231.74},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":230.76},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":229.19},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":228.75},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":222.71},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":222.71},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":218.43},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":220.64},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":210},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":226.26},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":225.86},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":225.86},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":226.3},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":226.3},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":226.3},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":224.87},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":224.68},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":224.68},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":223.14},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":222.18},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":222.18},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":220.44},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":213.37},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":210.82},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":210.82},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":210.46},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":209.71},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":209.16},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":211.4},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":213.39},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":215.26},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":216.55},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":217.51},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":217.51},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":219.55},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":222.33},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":223.65},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":225.09},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":226.32},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":226.12}],"series_key":"201352|Holofoil","series_printing":"Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Pikachu%20Sm%20Cosmic%20Eclipse&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/pikachu","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Pikachu%20Sm%20Cosmic%20Eclipse&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"a121b74d5bec","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/a121b74d5bec","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/065295aaf7a72ee2/a1.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}