{"canonical_id_v02":"a4b730143031","canonical_url_id":"a4b730143031","identity":{"artist":null,"game":"riftbound","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/652812_200w.jpg","locale":"en","name":"Kai'Sa, Survivor","number":"039/298","rarity":"Epic","series_slug":"origins","set_name":"Origins","set_slug":"origins","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"lineage":null,"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"e701c2df806490a0","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-10-07T10:28:51Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.5"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-06T23:56:24.399945+00:00","listed_median":78,"market_price":67.71},"Normal":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-06T23:56:24.399945+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":null}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition; third stratum fu506 (top 8 per game, 24 decidable card rows): NM-consistent +-10% 17/24; 1 LP to the cent, 1 nearest HP at 117x, 2 at 1.7-1.8x NM, 1 NM unpriced; 35 of 64 top rows were sealed)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-06T23:56:24.399945+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":78,"latest_market_price":67.71,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Foil","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"tcgcsv_forward":344},"as_of_date":"2026-10-06","ath_date":"2025-12-27","ath_price":122.93,"ath_since_release_date":null,"ath_since_release_price":null,"atl_date":"2025-10-28","atl_price":46.66,"canonical_id_v02":"a4b730143031","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":"a4b730143031","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":-6.35,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":-5.35,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":-10.21,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":13,"DRAWDOWN":21,"HEATED":66},"cohort_label":"riftbound-en-raw-nascent","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":-3.13,"cohort_median_90d_pct":6.62,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-45.07,"current_price":67.53,"history_first_date":"2025-10-28","history_first_date_series":"2025-10-28","history_last_date":"2026-10-06","history_last_date_series":"2026-10-06","history_n_distinct_closes":343,"history_n_obs":344,"history_n_obs_series":344,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-09-13","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-09-09","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-01","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-06-29","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-06-17","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-05-29","delta_pct":-61.3,"label":"-61% off peak","price":47.63,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2026-04-27","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-04-11","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":24,"recent_steps":{"dates":[],"dates_truncated":false,"n":0,"threshold_pct":50,"window_days":120},"regime_entered_date":"2026-09-13","regime_label":"DRAWDOWN","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":6,"DRAWDOWN":39,"HEATED":55},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":6,"DRAWDOWN":39,"HEATED":55},"regime_run_length_days":23,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2025-12-21","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-01-08","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-01-30","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-02-17","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-02-21","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-03-01","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-03-02","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-03-08","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-03-09","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-03-16","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-03-18","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-03-23","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-04-02","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-04-11","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-04-27","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-17","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-06-29","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-01","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-09-09","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-09-13","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":-6.35,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-2.23,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-16.83,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":-10.21,"series_printing":"Foil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":181,"n_candidates":1,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":0,"set_movers_share_90d":0.9088,"set_n_90d":351,"set_release_date":"2025-10-31","set_slug":"origins"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_base":null,"return_1y_pct":null,"return_30d_pct":-5.3539,"return_7d_pct":-2.6384,"return_90d_pct":-10.2114,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-09-06","price":71.35},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":71.77},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":73.03},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":74.08},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":74.54},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":73.6},{"date":"2026-09-12","price":71.63},{"date":"2026-09-13","price":71.37},{"date":"2026-09-14","price":72.01},{"date":"2026-09-15","price":71.7},{"date":"2026-09-16","price":72.47},{"date":"2026-09-17","price":72.94},{"date":"2026-09-18","price":71.17},{"date":"2026-09-19","price":69.08},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":68.75},{"date":"2026-09-21","price":70.78},{"date":"2026-09-22","price":72.11},{"date":"2026-09-23","price":71.66},{"date":"2026-09-24","price":71.69},{"date":"2026-09-25","price":71.39},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":69.73},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":69.24},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":69.26},{"date":"2026-09-29","price":69.36},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":70.63},{"date":"2026-10-01","price":70.28},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":71.3},{"date":"2026-10-03","price":72.11},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":71.61},{"date":"2026-10-05","price":70.51},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":67.53}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-07-08","price":75.21},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":79.11},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":82.46},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":76.9},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":70.69},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":70.22},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":69.06},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":68.93},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":67.29},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":62.5},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":63.35},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":66.1},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":61.65},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":60.89},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":63.77},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":68.61},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":74.96},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":80.06},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":80.02},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":76.52},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":72},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":75.29},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":73.75},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":71.45},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":72.68},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":71.49},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":70.39},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":72.19},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":72.94},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":70.72},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":71.35},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":73.03},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":74.54},{"date":"2026-09-12","price":71.63},{"date":"2026-09-14","price":72.01},{"date":"2026-09-16","price":72.47},{"date":"2026-09-18","price":71.17},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":68.75},{"date":"2026-09-22","price":72.11},{"date":"2026-09-24","price":71.69},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":69.73},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":69.26},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":70.63},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":71.3},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":71.61},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":67.53}],"series_key":"652812|Foil","series_printing":"Foil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Kai%27Sa%2C%20Survivor%20Origins&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Kai%27Sa%2C%20Survivor%20Origins&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"a4b730143031","game":"riftbound","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/a4b730143031","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/riftbound/builds/e701c2df806490a0/a4.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}