{"canonical_id_v02":"a9cc871329fb","identity":{"artist":"GIDORA","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/sv2/253.png","locale":"en","name":"Grusha","number":"253/193","rarity":"Ultra Rare","series_slug":"sv02-paldea-evolved","set_name":"Sv02 Paldea Evolved","set_slug":"sv02-paldea-evolved","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"39004ef3ed004fa7","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-12T10:11:01Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.1"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-12T04:34:12.893103+00:00","listed_median":3.4,"market_price":3.02}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-12T04:34:12.893103+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":3.4,"latest_market_price":3.02,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":121,"tcgcsv_forward":826},"as_of_date":"2026-09-12","ath_date":"2026-06-01","ath_price":3.84,"atl_date":"2024-09-23","atl_price":1.6,"canonical_id_v02":"fe27f984366f","canonical_id_v03":"a9cc871329fb","canonical_id_v1":"e1fa34ced045","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":-14.45,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":-7.93,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":-13.22,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":44,"DRAWDOWN":12,"HEATED":44},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":1.1,"cohort_median_90d_pct":6.25,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-21.35,"current_price":3.02,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-09-12","history_n_distinct_closes":888,"history_n_obs":948,"history_n_obs_series":947,"liquidity_tier":"T2","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-09-07","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-09-06","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-09-01","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-31","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-03","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-01","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-09","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-06-20","delta_pct":-49,"label":"-49% off peak","price":1.81,"type":"drawdown_low"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":80,"regime_entered_date":"2026-09-07","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":37,"DRAWDOWN":1,"HEATED":62},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":18,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":82},"regime_run_length_days":4,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2026-01-17","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-01-20","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-01-21","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-01-24","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-04-11","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-04-26","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-04-30","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-05-24","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-05-26","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-06-01","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-18","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-02","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-08","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-07-09","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-01","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-08-03","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-31","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-09-01","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-09-06","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-09-07","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":-14.45,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-9.03,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-19.47,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":-26.26,"series_printing":"Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":179,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":13.04,"set_movers_share_90d":0.9534,"set_n_90d":279,"set_slug":"sv02-paldea-evolved"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":-6.5015,"return_30d_pct":-7.9268,"return_7d_pct":-5.3292,"return_90d_pct":-13.2184,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-12","price":3.28},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":3.15},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":3.17},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":3.36},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":3.41},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":3.37},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":3.4},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":3.39},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":3.54},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":3.57},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":3.64},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":3.64},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":3.59},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":3.65},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":3.62},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":3.5},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":3.53},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":3.35},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":3.36},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":3.16},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":3.37},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":3.34},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":3.33},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":3.19},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":3.15},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":3.15},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":3.14},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":3.2},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":3.24},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":3.02},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":3.02}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-13","price":3.48},{"date":"2026-06-15","price":3.64},{"date":"2026-06-17","price":3.52},{"date":"2026-06-19","price":3.46},{"date":"2026-06-21","price":3.26},{"date":"2026-06-23","price":2.96},{"date":"2026-06-25","price":3.03},{"date":"2026-06-27","price":2.95},{"date":"2026-06-29","price":2.91},{"date":"2026-07-01","price":2.97},{"date":"2026-07-03","price":2.99},{"date":"2026-07-05","price":2.93},{"date":"2026-07-07","price":2.99},{"date":"2026-07-09","price":3.09},{"date":"2026-07-11","price":2.98},{"date":"2026-07-13","price":3.03},{"date":"2026-07-15","price":2.9},{"date":"2026-07-17","price":2.84},{"date":"2026-07-19","price":2.84},{"date":"2026-07-21","price":2.76},{"date":"2026-07-23","price":2.89},{"date":"2026-07-25","price":2.77},{"date":"2026-07-27","price":2.65},{"date":"2026-07-29","price":2.72},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":2.69},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":2.62},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":2.98},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":3.06},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":3.19},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":3.15},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":3.28},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":3.17},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":3.41},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":3.4},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":3.54},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":3.64},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":3.59},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":3.62},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":3.53},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":3.36},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":3.37},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":3.33},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":3.15},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":3.14},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":3.24},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":3.02}],"series_key":"497668|Holofoil","series_printing":"Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Grusha%20Sv02%20Paldea%20Evolved&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/grusha","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Grusha%20Sv02%20Paldea%20Evolved&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"a9cc871329fb","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/a9cc871329fb","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/39004ef3ed004fa7/a9.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}