{"canonical_id_v02":"ab2813582c18","identity":{"artist":"Sariya Asavametha","game":"fab","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://legendstory-production-s3-public.s3.amazonaws.com/media/cards/large/ROS211-RF.webp","locale":"en","name":"Arcanite Fortress","number":"ROS211","rarity":"L","series_slug":"rosetta","set_name":"Rosetta","set_slug":"rosetta","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"389671e4448291de","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-12T14:25:36Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.1"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-12T06:34:37.871277+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":24.82},"Normal":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-12T06:34:37.871277+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":null}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-12T06:34:37.871277+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":24.82,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Rainbow Foil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":90,"tcgcsv_forward":634},"as_of_date":"2026-09-12","ath_date":"2024-09-18","ath_price":79,"atl_date":"2024-11-22","atl_price":15.07,"canonical_id_v02":"ab2813582c18","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":null,"card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":3.55,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":5.57,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":-13.52,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":34,"DRAWDOWN":32,"HEATED":34},"cohort_label":"fab-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0,"cohort_median_90d_pct":0,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-68.58,"current_price":24.82,"history_first_date":"2024-09-18","history_last_date":"2026-09-12","history_n_distinct_closes":249,"history_n_obs":725,"history_n_obs_series":724,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-08-14","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-01","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-26","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-22","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-08-29","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2024-11-22","delta_pct":-80.9,"label":"-81% off peak","price":15.07,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2024-09-24","delta_pct":-31.1,"label":"-31% day-over-day","prev_price":31.75,"price":21.88,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-09-21","delta_pct":-33,"label":"-33% day-over-day","prev_price":79,"price":52.93,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":49,"regime_entered_date":"2026-08-14","regime_label":"DRAWDOWN","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":0,"DRAWDOWN":95,"HEATED":5},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":1,"DRAWDOWN":79,"HEATED":20},"regime_run_length_days":28,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2024-11-04","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2024-11-23","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-11-24","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-02-24","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-04-13","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-07-20","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-07-24","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-08-26","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-08-28","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-08-29","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-07-22","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-26","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-08-01","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-14","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":3.55,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":5.57,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-13.52,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":-15.48,"series_printing":"Rainbow Foil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":179,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":1.96,"set_movers_share_90d":0.8928,"set_n_90d":457,"set_slug":"rosetta"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":-11.9858,"return_30d_pct":5.5721,"return_7d_pct":3.2017,"return_90d_pct":-13.5192,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-12","price":23.51},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":23.51},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":24.03},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":24.03},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":24.03},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":24.03},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":23.97},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":23.97},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":23.97},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":23.97},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":23.97},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":23.97},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":23.97},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":23.97},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":23.97},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":23.97},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":23.97},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":23.97},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":24.05},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":24.05},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":24.05},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":24.05},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":24.05},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":24.05},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":24.05},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":24.05},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":24.05},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":24.05},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":24.05},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":24.82},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":24.82}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-13","price":28.7},{"date":"2026-06-15","price":28.38},{"date":"2026-06-17","price":28.38},{"date":"2026-06-19","price":28.38},{"date":"2026-06-21","price":28.38},{"date":"2026-06-23","price":28.38},{"date":"2026-06-25","price":28.38},{"date":"2026-06-27","price":28.38},{"date":"2026-06-29","price":28.38},{"date":"2026-07-01","price":28.17},{"date":"2026-07-03","price":28.17},{"date":"2026-07-05","price":28.17},{"date":"2026-07-07","price":27.83},{"date":"2026-07-09","price":27.83},{"date":"2026-07-11","price":27.41},{"date":"2026-07-13","price":27.08},{"date":"2026-07-15","price":26.76},{"date":"2026-07-17","price":26.25},{"date":"2026-07-19","price":25.39},{"date":"2026-07-21","price":24.51},{"date":"2026-07-23","price":24.11},{"date":"2026-07-25","price":24.04},{"date":"2026-07-27","price":24.13},{"date":"2026-07-29","price":24.13},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":24.13},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":24.05},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":24.05},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":24.05},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":24.05},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":23.51},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":23.51},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":24.03},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":24.03},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":23.97},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":23.97},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":23.97},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":23.97},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":23.97},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":23.97},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":24.05},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":24.05},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":24.05},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":24.05},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":24.05},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":24.05},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":24.82}],"series_key":"578825|Rainbow Foil","series_printing":"Rainbow Foil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Arcanite%20Fortress%20Rosetta&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Arcanite%20Fortress%20Rosetta&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"ab2813582c18","game":"fab","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/ab2813582c18","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/fab/builds/389671e4448291de/ab.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}