{"canonical_id_v02":"bd1036a925ce","canonical_url_id":"bd1036a925ce","identity":{"artist":"Kent Kanetsuna","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/pl1/37.png","locale":"en","name":"Palkia","number":"37/127","rarity":"Rare","series_slug":"platinum","set_name":"Platinum","set_slug":"platinum","vintage":"mature_secondary"},"lineage":{"earliest":{"name":"Palkia","set_name":"Diamond and Pearl","url_id":"3c6223611301","year":2007},"earliest_includes_this":false,"earliest_same_day_cards":1,"earliest_same_day_sets":1,"latest":{"name":"Palkia","set_name":"Surging Sparks","url_id":"fc44452b0e8f","year":2024},"latest_includes_this":false,"latest_same_day_cards":1,"latest_same_day_sets":1,"ordinal":6,"rule":"species v3","same_set_cards":3,"species":"Palkia","species_cards":33,"species_dated":28,"species_sets":18,"species_shared_cards":4,"undated_reason":null},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"afa742ec432b365d","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-10-19T08:27:45Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.5"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-18T20:42:59.542808+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":15.95}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition; third stratum fu506 (top 8 per game, 24 decidable card rows): NM-consistent +-10% 17/24; 1 LP to the cent, 1 nearest HP at 117x, 2 at 1.7-1.8x NM, 1 NM unpriced; 35 of 64 top rows were sealed)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-18T20:42:59.542808+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":15.95,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Reverse Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[{"canonical_id_v02":"18b43856c42a","market_price":5.2,"name":"Palkia","printing":"Normal","rationale":"same_card_other_printing","recent_series":[{"date":"2026-10-11","price":5.2},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":5.2},{"date":"2026-10-13","price":5.2},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":5.2},{"date":"2026-10-15","price":5.2},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":5.2},{"date":"2026-10-17","price":5.2},{"date":"2026-10-18","price":5.2}]}],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":242,"tcgcsv_forward":1726},"as_of_date":"2026-10-18","ath_date":"2026-09-17","ath_price":15.95,"ath_since_release_date":null,"ath_since_release_price":null,"atl_date":"2024-03-05","atl_price":0.26,"canonical_id_v02":"59785e35c1e3","canonical_id_v03":"18b43856c42a","canonical_id_v1":"98c452dd123d","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":0,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":0,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":166.28,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":65,"DRAWDOWN":10,"HEATED":25},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-mature_secondary","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":2.42,"cohort_median_90d_pct":10.55,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":0,"current_price":15.95,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_first_date_series":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-10-18","history_last_date_series":"2026-10-18","history_n_distinct_closes":36,"history_n_obs":1969,"history_n_obs_series":984,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-08-18","delta_pct":75.1,"label":"+75% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-08-17","prev_price":5.99,"price":10.49,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-04-07","delta_pct":289.4,"label":"+289% day-over-day","prev_date":"2025-04-06","prev_price":1.41,"price":5.49,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-01-20","delta_pct":53.3,"label":"+53% day-over-day","prev_date":"2025-01-19","prev_price":1.07,"price":1.64,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-10-29","delta_pct":-49.1,"label":"-49% day-over-day","prev_date":"2024-10-28","prev_price":2.22,"price":1.13,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-05-20","delta_pct":79,"label":"+79% day-over-day","prev_date":"2024-05-19","prev_price":1.24,"price":2.22,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-05-02","delta_pct":376.9,"label":"+377% day-over-day","prev_date":"2024-05-01","prev_price":0.26,"price":1.24,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-03-05","delta_pct":-86.2,"label":"-86% day-over-day","prev_date":"2024-03-04","prev_price":1.88,"price":0.26,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-03-05","delta_pct":-88.8,"label":"-89% off peak","price":0.26,"type":"drawdown_low"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":100,"recent_steps":{"dates":["2026-08-18"],"dates_truncated":false,"n":1,"threshold_pct":50,"window_days":120},"regime_entered_date":"2026-09-28","regime_label":"CALM","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":32,"DRAWDOWN":18,"HEATED":50},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":34,"DRAWDOWN":18,"HEATED":48},"regime_run_length_days":20,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2024-04-14","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2024-05-02","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-06-29","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-10-29","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-12-08","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-01-15","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-01-20","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-04-01","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-04-07","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-06-06","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-08-25","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-12-15","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-01-18","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-01-24","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-04-01","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-04-03","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-05-28","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-07","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-08-18","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-09-28","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":0,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-2.42,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":155.72,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":148.2,"series_printing":"Reverse Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"sticky_previous","margin":0,"n_candidates":3,"pool":"recent","tie_members":["Normal","Reverse Holofoil"]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":18.08,"set_member_unit":"cards","set_movers_share_90d":0.9545,"set_n_90d":132,"set_release_date":"2009-02-11","set_slug":"platinum"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_base":{"date":"2025-10-18","price":3.92},"return_1y_pct":306.8878,"return_30d_pct":0,"return_7d_pct":0,"return_90d_pct":166.2771,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-09-18","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-09-19","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-09-21","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-09-22","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-09-23","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-09-24","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-09-25","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-09-29","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-01","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-03","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-05","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-07","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-08","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-09","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-10","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-11","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-13","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-15","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-17","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-18","price":15.95}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-07-20","price":5.99},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":5.99},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":5.99},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":5.99},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":5.99},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":5.99},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":5.99},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":5.99},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":5.99},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":5.99},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":5.99},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":5.99},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":5.99},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":5.99},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":5.99},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":14.99},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":14.99},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":14.99},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":15.47},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":15.47},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":15.47},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":15.47},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":15.47},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":15.47},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":15.47},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":15.47},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":15.47},{"date":"2026-09-12","price":15.47},{"date":"2026-09-14","price":15.47},{"date":"2026-09-16","price":15.47},{"date":"2026-09-18","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-09-22","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-09-24","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-08","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-10","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":15.95},{"date":"2026-10-18","price":15.95}],"series_key":"87910|Reverse Holofoil","series_printing":"Reverse Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Palkia%20Platinum&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/palkia","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Palkia%20Platinum&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"bd1036a925ce","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/bd1036a925ce","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/afa742ec432b365d/bd.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"page_headline":{"price":15.95,"printing":"Reverse Holofoil","as_of":"2026-10-18","computed_by":"witness/src/render-card.ts _heroMarketPrice, _heroDisplayPrinting, heroAsOfDay: the functions the HTML page calls on this same record (build_shard below). Unrounded: the page prints whole dollars from $100."},"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field outside `_handle` is served verbatim from the build shard. Two `_handle` entries are computed: `provenance_fields` (from the record) and `page_headline` (the figure the page rendered from this build_shard heads with, by the page's own functions; a page served from the edge cache within an hour of a build change can still show the previous build)."}}