{"canonical_id_v02":"c7d7be930168","canonical_url_id":"c7d7be930168","identity":{"artist":"Atsuko Nishida","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":null,"locale":"en","name":"Dark Espeon","number":"004/105","rarity":null,"series_slug":"neo-destiny","set_name":"Neo Destiny","set_slug":"neo-destiny","vintage":"mature_secondary"},"lineage":null,"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"afa742ec432b365d","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-10-19T08:27:45Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.5"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"1st Edition Holofoil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-06T00:00:00Z","listed_median":null,"market_price":200}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition; third stratum fu506 (top 8 per game, 24 decidable card rows): NM-consistent +-10% 17/24; 1 LP to the cent, 1 nearest HP at 117x, 2 at 1.7-1.8x NM, 1 NM unpriced; 35 of 64 top rows were sealed)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-06T00:00:00Z","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":200,"primary_printing":"1st Edition Holofoil","primary_printing_in_record":"1st Edition Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[{"canonical_id_v02":"4d36c8c016aa","market_price":649.99,"name":"Dark Espeon","printing":"Unlimited Holofoil","rationale":"same_card_other_printing","recent_series":[{"date":"2026-10-11","price":649.99},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":649.99},{"date":"2026-10-13","price":649.99},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":649.99},{"date":"2026-10-15","price":649.99},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":649.99},{"date":"2026-10-17","price":649.99},{"date":"2026-10-18","price":649.99}]}],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":216,"tcgcsv_forward":1517},"as_of_date":"2026-10-18","ath_date":"2026-01-07","ath_price":482.5,"ath_since_release_date":null,"ath_since_release_price":null,"atl_date":"2025-08-19","atl_price":85.55,"canonical_id_v02":"3b51b73f6b0f","canonical_id_v03":"4d36c8c016aa","canonical_id_v1":"e84f6c4cebad","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":0,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":0,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":0,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":65,"DRAWDOWN":10,"HEATED":25},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-mature_secondary","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":2.42,"cohort_median_90d_pct":10.55,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-58.55,"current_price":200,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_first_date_series":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-10-06","history_last_date_series":"2026-10-06","history_n_distinct_closes":21,"history_n_obs":1734,"history_n_obs_series":749,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-05-26","delta_pct":-25.9,"label":"-26% since the last priced day","prev_date":"2026-05-18","prev_price":270,"price":200,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-05-15","delta_pct":35,"label":"+35% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-05-14","prev_price":200,"price":270,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-03-29","delta_pct":-58.5,"label":"-59% since the last priced day","prev_date":"2026-01-13","prev_price":482.5,"price":200,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-08-26","delta_pct":411.4,"label":"+411% day-over-day","prev_date":"2025-08-25","prev_price":85.55,"price":437.5,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-08-19","delta_pct":-80.4,"label":"-80% day-over-day","prev_date":"2025-08-18","prev_price":437.5,"price":85.55,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-08-19","delta_pct":-80.4,"label":"-80% off peak","price":85.55,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2025-07-05","delta_pct":32.4,"label":"+32% since the last priced day","prev_date":"2025-05-26","prev_price":272.99,"price":361.49,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-08-31","delta_pct":52.8,"label":"+53% since the last priced day","prev_date":"2024-07-12","prev_price":180,"price":275,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":41,"recent_steps":{"dates":[],"dates_truncated":false,"n":0,"threshold_pct":50,"window_days":120},"record_block_scope":"per_print_page","regime_entered_date":"2026-09-15","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":64,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":36},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":75,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":25},"regime_run_length_days":33,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2024-05-26","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-08-05","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-08-19","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-09-12","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-09-15","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-09-28","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-02-28","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-03-18","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-03-19","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-04-28","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-05-09","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-18","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-09-15","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":0,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-2.42,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-10.55,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":-15.7,"series_printing":"1st Edition Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"base_decided_by":"count","base_series_printing":"Unlimited Holofoil","decided_by":"per_print_page","margin":null,"n_candidates":2,"pool":null,"tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":15.7,"set_member_unit":"cards","set_movers_share_90d":0.9911,"set_n_90d":112,"set_release_date":"2002-02-28","set_slug":"neo-destiny"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_base":{"date":"2025-10-06","price":437.5},"return_1y_pct":-54.2857,"return_30d_pct":0,"return_7d_pct":0,"return_90d_pct":0,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-09-06","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-12","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-13","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-14","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-15","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-16","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-17","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-18","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-19","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-21","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-22","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-23","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-24","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-25","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":165.55},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":165.55},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":165.55},{"date":"2026-09-29","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":200},{"date":"2026-10-01","price":200},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":200},{"date":"2026-10-03","price":200},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":200},{"date":"2026-10-05","price":200},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":200}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-07-08","price":200},{"date":"2026-07-09","price":200},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":200},{"date":"2026-07-11","price":200},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":200},{"date":"2026-07-13","price":200},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":200},{"date":"2026-07-15","price":200},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":200},{"date":"2026-07-17","price":200},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":200},{"date":"2026-07-19","price":200},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":200},{"date":"2026-07-21","price":200},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":200},{"date":"2026-07-23","price":200},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":200},{"date":"2026-07-25","price":200},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":200},{"date":"2026-07-27","price":200},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":200},{"date":"2026-07-29","price":200},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":200},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":200},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":200},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":200},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":200},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":200},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":200},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":200},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":200},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":200},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":200},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":200},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":200},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":200},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":200},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":200},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":200},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-12","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-13","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-14","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-15","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-16","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-17","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-18","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-19","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-21","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-22","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-23","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-24","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-25","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":165.55},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":165.55},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":165.55},{"date":"2026-09-29","price":200},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":200},{"date":"2026-10-01","price":200},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":200},{"date":"2026-10-03","price":200},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":200},{"date":"2026-10-05","price":200},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":200}],"series_key":"84592|1st Edition Holofoil","series_printing":"1st Edition Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Dark%20Espeon%20Neo%20Destiny&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/dark-espeon","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Dark%20Espeon%20Neo%20Destiny&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"c7d7be930168","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/c7d7be930168","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/afa742ec432b365d/c7.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"page_headline":{"price":200,"printing":"1st Edition Holofoil","as_of":"2026-10-06","computed_by":"witness/src/render-card.ts _heroMarketPrice, _heroDisplayPrinting, heroAsOfDay: the functions the HTML page calls on this same record (build_shard below). Unrounded: the page prints whole dollars from $100."},"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field outside `_handle` is served verbatim from the build shard. Two `_handle` entries are computed: `provenance_fields` (from the record) and `page_headline` (the figure the page rendered from this build_shard heads with, by the page's own functions; a page served from the edge cache within an hour of a build change can still show the previous build)."}}