{"canonical_id_v02":"c914e12b7030","identity":{"artist":"Sumiyoshi Kizuki","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/ex10/48.png","locale":"en","name":"Smeargle","number":"48/115","rarity":"Uncommon","series_slug":"unseen-forces","set_name":"Unseen Forces","set_slug":"unseen-forces","vintage":"mature_secondary"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"92d94e75ddde945c","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-04T10:19:13Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.0"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-03T20:38:56.209790+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":47.93}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-03T20:38:56.209790+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":47.93,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Reverse Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":242,"tcgcsv_forward":1632},"as_of_date":"2026-09-03","ath_date":"2026-08-25","ath_price":4.54,"atl_date":"2024-02-08","atl_price":0.64,"canonical_id_v02":"8bcf67a24aaa","canonical_id_v03":"c914e12b7030","canonical_id_v1":"e233e9bb7e8a","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":4.61,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":17.92,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":64.49,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":65,"DRAWDOWN":10,"HEATED":25},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-mature_secondary","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":2.5,"cohort_median_90d_pct":12.12,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":0,"current_price":4.54,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-09-03","history_n_distinct_closes":130,"history_n_obs":1875,"history_n_obs_series":939,"liquidity_tier":"T2","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-05-22","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-04-05","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-02-24","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-02-10","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2024-12-30","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2024-12-27","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2024-11-24","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2024-11-22","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":100,"regime_entered_date":"2026-05-22","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":71,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":29},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":70,"DRAWDOWN":4,"HEATED":26},"regime_run_length_days":104,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2024-05-30","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-06-17","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-10-13","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-11-15","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2024-11-22","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-11-24","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2024-12-27","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-12-30","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-02-10","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-02-24","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-04-05","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-05-22","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":4.61,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":15.42,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":52.37,"series_printing":"Normal","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"total_tiebreak","margin":0,"n_candidates":3,"pool":"recent","tie_members":["Normal","Reverse Holofoil"]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":164.95,"return_30d_pct":0,"return_7d_pct":0,"return_90d_pct":16.96,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-04","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":47.93}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-05","price":40.98},{"date":"2026-06-07","price":40.98},{"date":"2026-06-09","price":40.98},{"date":"2026-06-11","price":40.98},{"date":"2026-06-13","price":42.21},{"date":"2026-06-15","price":42.21},{"date":"2026-06-17","price":42.21},{"date":"2026-06-19","price":42.21},{"date":"2026-06-21","price":42.21},{"date":"2026-06-23","price":42.21},{"date":"2026-06-25","price":42.21},{"date":"2026-06-27","price":46.95},{"date":"2026-06-29","price":46.95},{"date":"2026-07-01","price":46.95},{"date":"2026-07-03","price":46.95},{"date":"2026-07-05","price":46.95},{"date":"2026-07-07","price":46.95},{"date":"2026-07-09","price":46.95},{"date":"2026-07-11","price":46.95},{"date":"2026-07-13","price":46.95},{"date":"2026-07-15","price":46.95},{"date":"2026-07-17","price":46.95},{"date":"2026-07-19","price":46.95},{"date":"2026-07-21","price":46.95},{"date":"2026-07-23","price":46.95},{"date":"2026-07-25","price":46.95},{"date":"2026-07-27","price":46.95},{"date":"2026-07-29","price":46.95},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":46.95},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":47.93},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":47.93}],"series_key":"89354|Reverse Holofoil","series_printing":"Reverse Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Smeargle%20Unseen%20Forces&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/smeargle","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Smeargle%20Unseen%20Forces&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"c914e12b7030","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/c914e12b7030","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/92d94e75ddde945c/c9.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}