{"canonical_id_v02":"ca1a843a979b","canonical_url_id":"ca1a843a979b","identity":{"artist":"Ken Sugimori","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/ex4/39.png","locale":"en","name":"Bulbasaur","number":"39/95","rarity":"Common","series_slug":"team-magma-vs-team-aqua","set_name":"Team Magma vs Team Aqua","set_slug":"team-magma-vs-team-aqua","vintage":"mature_secondary"},"lineage":{"earliest":{"name":"Bulbasaur","set_name":"Base Set (Shadowless)","url_id":"28f030cb3231","year":1999},"earliest_includes_this":false,"earliest_same_day_cards":1,"earliest_same_day_sets":1,"latest":{"name":"Bulbasaur","set_name":"Mega Evolution","url_id":"8b835b132692","year":2025},"latest_includes_this":false,"latest_same_day_cards":2,"latest_same_day_sets":1,"ordinal":7,"rule":"species v3","same_set_cards":1,"species":"Bulbasaur","species_cards":27,"species_dated":23,"species_sets":21,"species_shared_cards":0,"undated_reason":null},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"afa742ec432b365d","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-10-19T08:27:45Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.5"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-18T20:39:36.976400+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":309.99}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition; third stratum fu506 (top 8 per game, 24 decidable card rows): NM-consistent +-10% 17/24; 1 LP to the cent, 1 nearest HP at 117x, 2 at 1.7-1.8x NM, 1 NM unpriced; 35 of 64 top rows were sealed)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-18T20:39:36.976400+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":309.99,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Reverse Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[{"canonical_id_v02":"de907648552a","market_price":25.01,"name":"Bulbasaur","printing":"Normal","rationale":"same_card_other_printing","recent_series":[{"date":"2026-10-11","price":24.73},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":24.73},{"date":"2026-10-13","price":24.73},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":24.73},{"date":"2026-10-15","price":24.73},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":24.73},{"date":"2026-10-17","price":25.01},{"date":"2026-10-18","price":25.01}]}],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":237,"tcgcsv_forward":1688},"as_of_date":"2026-10-18","ath_date":"2026-10-18","ath_price":309.99,"ath_since_release_date":null,"ath_since_release_price":null,"atl_date":"2024-02-08","atl_price":19.22,"canonical_id_v02":"d3549b127986","canonical_id_v03":"de907648552a","canonical_id_v1":"58138dadd555","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":10.71,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":14.82,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":14.82,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":65,"DRAWDOWN":10,"HEATED":25},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-mature_secondary","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":2.42,"cohort_median_90d_pct":10.55,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":0,"current_price":309.99,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_first_date_series":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-10-18","history_last_date_series":"2026-10-18","history_n_distinct_closes":39,"history_n_obs":1926,"history_n_obs_series":945,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-07-09","delta_pct":184.4,"label":"+184% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-07-08","prev_price":94.94,"price":269.99,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-10-27","delta_pct":-58.9,"label":"-59% day-over-day","prev_date":"2025-10-26","prev_price":69.69,"price":28.61,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-10-27","delta_pct":-58.9,"label":"-59% off peak","price":28.61,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2025-04-30","delta_pct":185.4,"label":"+185% day-over-day","prev_date":"2025-04-29","prev_price":24.42,"price":69.69,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":100,"recent_steps":{"dates":["2026-07-09"],"dates_truncated":false,"n":1,"threshold_pct":50,"window_days":120},"record_block_scope":"per_print_page","regime_entered_date":"2026-08-26","regime_label":"CALM","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":75,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":25},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":57,"DRAWDOWN":21,"HEATED":22},"regime_run_length_days":53,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2024-12-02","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-01-13","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-04-11","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-05-21","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-07-12","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-07-13","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-08-18","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-08-20","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-09-06","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-11-23","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-04-08","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-04-19","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-02","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-10","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-17","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-18","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-20","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-21","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-23","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-26","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":10.71,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":12.4,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":4.27,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":7.26,"series_printing":"Reverse Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"base_decided_by":"total_tiebreak","base_series_printing":"Normal","decided_by":"per_print_page","margin":null,"n_candidates":2,"pool":null,"tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":7.56,"set_member_unit":"cards","set_movers_share_90d":0.9479,"set_n_90d":96,"set_release_date":"2004-03-01","set_slug":"team-magma-vs-team-aqua"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_base":{"date":"2025-10-18","price":69.69},"return_1y_pct":344.8127,"return_30d_pct":14.8154,"return_7d_pct":2.199,"return_90d_pct":14.8154,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-09-18","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-19","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-21","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-22","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-23","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-24","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-25","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-29","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-10-01","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-10-03","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":279.99},{"date":"2026-10-05","price":279.99},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":279.99},{"date":"2026-10-07","price":294.99},{"date":"2026-10-08","price":308.74},{"date":"2026-10-09","price":303.32},{"date":"2026-10-10","price":303.32},{"date":"2026-10-11","price":303.32},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":303.32},{"date":"2026-10-13","price":303.32},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":303.32},{"date":"2026-10-15","price":303.32},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":303.32},{"date":"2026-10-17","price":303.32},{"date":"2026-10-18","price":309.99}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-07-20","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-12","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-14","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-16","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-18","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-22","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-24","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":269.99},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":279.99},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":279.99},{"date":"2026-10-08","price":308.74},{"date":"2026-10-10","price":303.32},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":303.32},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":303.32},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":303.32},{"date":"2026-10-18","price":309.99}],"series_key":"84028|Reverse Holofoil","series_printing":"Reverse Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Bulbasaur%20Team%20Magma%20vs%20Team%20Aqua&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/bulbasaur","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Bulbasaur%20Team%20Magma%20vs%20Team%20Aqua&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"ca1a843a979b","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/ca1a843a979b","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/afa742ec432b365d/ca.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"page_headline":{"price":309.99,"printing":"Reverse Holofoil","as_of":"2026-10-18","computed_by":"witness/src/render-card.ts _heroMarketPrice, _heroDisplayPrinting, heroAsOfDay: the functions the HTML page calls on this same record (build_shard below). Unrounded: the page prints whole dollars from $100."},"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field outside `_handle` is served verbatim from the build shard. Two `_handle` entries are computed: `provenance_fields` (from the record) and `page_headline` (the figure the page rendered from this build_shard heads with, by the page's own functions; a page served from the edge cache within an hour of a build change can still show the previous build)."}}