{"canonical_id_v02":"ca2bcbcbd958","canonical_url_id":"ca2bcbcbd958","identity":{"artist":"Hikaru Koike","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/ex8/101.png","locale":"en","name":"Manectric ex","number":"101/107","rarity":"Rare Holo EX","series_slug":"deoxys","set_name":"Deoxys","set_slug":"deoxys","vintage":"mature_secondary"},"lineage":{"dex":310,"earliest":{"name":"Manectric","set_name":"Ruby and Sapphire","url_id":"a74b75a16b02","year":2003},"earliest_includes_this":false,"earliest_same_day_cards":2,"earliest_same_day_sets":1,"latest":{"name":"Manectric","set_name":"ME05: Pitch Black","url_id":"27942e8a5214","year":2026},"latest_includes_this":false,"latest_same_day_cards":2,"latest_same_day_sets":1,"ordinal":6,"rule":"species v3","same_set_cards":2,"species":"Manectric","species_cards":43,"species_dated":35,"species_sets":28,"species_shared_cards":0,"undated_reason":null,"url_id":"b7b86bdda222"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"21218715808ed0de","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-10-27T08:20:42Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.8"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-26T22:58:16.265002+00:00","listed_median":399.99,"market_price":250}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition; third stratum fu506 (top 8 per game, 24 decidable card rows): NM-consistent +-10% 17/24; 1 LP to the cent, 1 nearest HP at 117x, 2 at 1.7-1.8x NM, 1 NM unpriced; 35 of 64 top rows were sealed)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-26T22:58:16.265002+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":399.99,"latest_market_price":250,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[{"canonical_id_v02":"b7b86bdda222","market_price":135,"name":"Manectric ex","printing":"Normal","rationale":"same_card_other_printing","recent_series":[{"date":"2026-09-26","price":135},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":135},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":135},{"date":"2026-10-26","price":135}]}],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":2,"tcgcsv_archive":187,"tcgcsv_forward":1354},"as_of_date":"2026-10-26","ath_date":"2026-10-03","ath_price":250,"ath_price_days":24,"ath_run_last_date":"2026-10-26","ath_run_rows":24,"ath_run_to_end":true,"ath_since_release_date":null,"ath_since_release_price":null,"ath_since_release_price_days":null,"ath_since_release_run_last_date":null,"ath_since_release_run_rows":null,"ath_since_release_run_to_end":null,"atl_date":"2024-03-04","atl_price":21.83,"atl_price_days":1,"atl_run_last_date":"2024-03-04","atl_run_rows":1,"atl_run_to_end":false,"atl_since_release_date":null,"atl_since_release_price":null,"atl_since_release_price_days":null,"atl_since_release_run_last_date":null,"atl_since_release_run_rows":null,"atl_since_release_run_to_end":null,"canonical_id_v02":"093dd93b2624","canonical_id_v03":"b7b86bdda222","canonical_id_v1":"9e6061a0c2cd","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":0,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":235.57,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":231.08,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":65,"DRAWDOWN":10,"HEATED":25},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-mature_secondary","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":2.4,"cohort_median_90d_pct":10.29,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":0,"current_price":250,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_first_date_series":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-10-26","history_last_date_series":"2026-10-26","history_n_distinct_closes":39,"history_n_obs":1543,"history_n_obs_series":992,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-10-03","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-10-03","delta_pct":235.6,"label":"+236% day-over-day","prev_date":"2026-10-02","prev_price":74.5,"price":250,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-05-31","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-04-27","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-11-04","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-09-25","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-09-25","delta_pct":58.4,"label":"+58% day-over-day","prev_date":"2025-09-24","prev_price":50.5,"price":79.99,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-01-12","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":100,"recent_steps":{"dates":["2026-10-03"],"dates_truncated":false,"n":1,"threshold_pct":50,"window_days":120},"regime_entered_date":"2026-10-03","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":82,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":18},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":78,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":22},"regime_run_length_days":23,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2024-05-17","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-05-21","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-08-09","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-08-14","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-09-01","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-09-18","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-09-27","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-11-30","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-12-12","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-01-12","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-09-25","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-11-04","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-04-27","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-05-31","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-10-03","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":0,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":233.17,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":220.79,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":218.74,"series_printing":"Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":95,"n_candidates":3,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":12.34,"set_member_unit":"cards","set_movers_share_90d":0.934,"set_n_90d":106,"set_release_date":"2005-02-01","set_slug":"deoxys"},"trajectory":{"last_step":{"date":"2026-10-03","next":250,"prev":74.5,"prev_date":"2026-10-02"},"return_1y_base":{"date":"2025-10-26","price":79.99},"return_1y_pct":212.5391,"return_30d_pct":235.5705,"return_7d_pct":0,"return_90d_pct":231.082,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-09-26","price":74.5},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":74.5},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":74.5},{"date":"2026-09-29","price":74.5},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":74.5},{"date":"2026-10-01","price":74.5},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":74.5},{"date":"2026-10-03","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-05","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-07","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-08","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-09","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-10","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-11","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-13","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-15","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-17","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-18","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-19","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-20","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-21","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-22","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-23","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-24","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-25","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-26","price":250}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-07-28","price":75.51},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":75.51},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":75.51},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":75.51},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":75.51},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":75.51},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":75.51},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":75.51},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":75.51},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":75.51},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":74.66},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":74.66},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":74.66},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":74.66},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":74.66},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":74.66},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":74.66},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":74.66},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":74.66},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":74.66},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":74.66},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":74.66},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":74.66},{"date":"2026-09-12","price":74.66},{"date":"2026-09-14","price":74.5},{"date":"2026-09-16","price":74.5},{"date":"2026-09-18","price":74.5},{"date":"2026-09-20","price":74.5},{"date":"2026-09-22","price":74.5},{"date":"2026-09-24","price":74.5},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":74.5},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":74.5},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":74.5},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":74.5},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-08","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-10","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-18","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-20","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-22","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-24","price":250},{"date":"2026-10-26","price":250}],"series_key":"87167|Holofoil","series_printing":"Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Manectric%20ex%20Deoxys&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/manectric-ex","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Manectric%20ex%20Deoxys&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"ca2bcbcbd958","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/ca2bcbcbd958","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/21218715808ed0de/ca.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"page_headline":{"price":250,"printing":"Holofoil","as_of":"2026-10-26","computed_by":"witness/src/render-card.ts _heroMarketPrice, _heroDisplayPrinting, heroAsOfDay: the functions the HTML page calls on this same record (build_shard below). Unrounded: the page prints whole dollars from $100."},"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field outside `_handle` is served verbatim from the build shard. Two `_handle` entries are computed: `provenance_fields` (from the record) and `page_headline` (the figure the page rendered from this build_shard heads with, by the page's own functions; a page served from the edge cache within an hour of a build change can still show the previous build)."}}