{"canonical_id_v02":"cd32145a3a76","identity":{"artist":"Mike Burns & Scott Okumura","game":"mtg","grade":"raw","image_url":null,"locale":"en","name":"Krark, the Thumbless // Krark, the Thumbless","number":"1543","rarity":"rare","series_slug":"secret-lair-drop-series","set_name":"Secret Lair Drop","set_slug":"secret-lair-drop","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"dd33b3c6ef9b37c9","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-08-30T16:37:28Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.0"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-08-29T18:14:21.593361+00:00","listed_median":11.07,"market_price":9.77},"Normal":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-08-29T18:14:21.593361+00:00","listed_median":9.81,"market_price":8.93}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-08-29T18:14:21.593361+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":11.07,"latest_market_price":9.77,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Foil","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"tcgcsv_archive":119,"tcgcsv_forward":1711},"as_of_date":"2026-08-29","ath_date":"2024-02-09","ath_price":40,"atl_date":"2024-05-31","atl_price":2.73,"canonical_id_v02":"cd32145a3a76","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":null,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":34,"DRAWDOWN":27,"HEATED":39},"cohort_label":"mtg-en-raw-nascent","cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-77.68,"current_price":8.93,"history_first_date":"2024-02-09","history_last_date":"2026-08-29","history_n_obs":1830,"history_n_obs_series":931,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-07-06","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-05","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-03","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2024-05-31","delta_pct":-93.2,"label":"-93% off peak","price":2.73,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2024-03-22","delta_pct":-32.6,"label":"-33% day-over-day","price":3.06,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-03-20","delta_pct":-33.6,"label":"-34% day-over-day","price":5.25,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-02-26","delta_pct":-29.5,"label":"-29% day-over-day","price":19.73,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-02-23","delta_pct":-30.1,"label":"-30% day-over-day","price":27.97,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":95,"regime_entered_date":"2026-07-06","regime_label":"DRAWDOWN","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":0,"DRAWDOWN":95,"HEATED":5},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":1,"DRAWDOWN":67,"HEATED":32},"regime_run_length_days":54,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2025-05-08","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-05-09","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-07-16","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-07-23","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-07-26","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-08-11","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-09-24","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-09-25","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-09-27","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-10-01","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-02-11","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-02-17","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-02-24","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-02-25","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-06-26","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-27","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-06-30","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-03","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-07-05","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-06","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":0.22,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":1.94,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":2.86,"series_printing":"Normal","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"total_tiebreak","margin":0,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"recent","tie_members":["Foil","Normal"]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":27.75,"return_30d_pct":0.9,"return_7d_pct":-0.11,"return_90d_pct":11.62,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-07-30","price":8.85},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":8.77},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":8.77},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":8.76},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":8.76},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":8.75},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":8.75},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":8.75},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":8.82},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":8.82},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":8.82},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":8.84},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":8.84},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":8.93},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":8.94},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":8.94},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":8.91},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":8.91},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":8.91},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":8.91},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":8.91},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":8.94},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":8.94},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":8.94},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":8.94},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":8.94},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":8.97},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":8.97},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":8.97},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":8.97},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":8.93}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-05-31","price":8},{"date":"2026-06-02","price":8.16},{"date":"2026-06-04","price":8.35},{"date":"2026-06-06","price":8.35},{"date":"2026-06-08","price":8.35},{"date":"2026-06-10","price":8.35},{"date":"2026-06-12","price":8.39},{"date":"2026-06-14","price":8.39},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":8.34},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":8.34},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":8.34},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":8.52},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":8.6},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":8.69},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":8.69},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":8.72},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":8.79},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":8.79},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":8.71},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":8.62},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":8.62},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":8.62},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":8.62},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":8.65},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":8.68},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":8.68},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":8.75},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":8.78},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":8.78},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":8.85},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":8.85},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":8.77},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":8.76},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":8.75},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":8.82},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":8.82},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":8.84},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":8.94},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":8.91},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":8.91},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":8.91},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":8.94},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":8.94},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":8.97},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":8.97},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":8.93}],"series_key":"537386|Normal","series_printing":"Normal"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Krark%2C%20the%20Thumbless%20//%20Krark%2C%20the%20Thumbless%20Secret%20Lair%20Drop&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":"https://scryfall.com/search?q=Krark%2C%20the%20Thumbless%20//%20Krark%2C%20the%20Thumbless","tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Krark%2C%20the%20Thumbless%20//%20Krark%2C%20the%20Thumbless%20Secret%20Lair%20Drop&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"cd32145a3a76","game":"mtg","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/cd32145a3a76","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/mtg/builds/dd33b3c6ef9b37c9/cd.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}