{"canonical_id_v02":"ce2dc87b179c","identity":{"artist":"Nicholas Kole","game":"lorcana","grade":"raw","image_url":null,"locale":"en","name":"Ratigan - Party Crasher","number":"123/204","rarity":"Rare","series_slug":"shimmering-skies","set_name":"Shimmering Skies","set_slug":"shimmering-skies","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"65557410e17ec0ea","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-11T13:38:47Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.1"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-10T23:17:22.207331+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":0.39},"Normal":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-10T23:17:22.207331+00:00","listed_median":0.2,"market_price":0.06}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-10T23:17:22.207331+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":0.39,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Cold Foil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":193,"tcgcsv_forward":1352},"as_of_date":"2026-09-10","ath_date":"2024-08-09","ath_price":1.72,"atl_date":"2026-05-11","atl_price":0.29,"canonical_id_v02":"ce2dc87b179c","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":"ce2dc87b179c","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":2.63,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":8.33,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":8.33,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":9,"DRAWDOWN":31,"HEATED":60},"cohort_label":"lorcana-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0,"cohort_median_90d_pct":0,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-77.33,"current_price":0.39,"history_first_date":"2024-08-09","history_last_date":"2026-09-10","history_n_distinct_closes":190,"history_n_obs":1546,"history_n_obs_series":763,"liquidity_tier":"T2","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-05-11","delta_pct":-83.1,"label":"-83% off peak","price":0.29,"type":"drawdown_low"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":26,"record_block_scope":"per_print_page","regime_entered_date":"2026-08-07","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":0,"DRAWDOWN":55,"HEATED":45},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":9,"DRAWDOWN":38,"HEATED":53},"regime_run_length_days":34,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2025-11-04","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-11-05","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-11-08","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-11-19","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-11-24","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-12-04","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-01-13","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-01-23","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-01-27","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-05-08","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-05-09","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-05-12","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-05-14","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-05-23","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-05-26","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-06-07","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-15","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-06-17","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-28","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-08-07","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":2.63,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":8.33,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":8.33,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":-50,"series_printing":"Cold Foil","series_printing_determinacy":{"base_decided_by":"total_tiebreak","base_series_printing":"Normal","decided_by":"per_print_page","margin":null,"n_candidates":3,"pool":null,"tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":0,"set_movers_share_90d":0.8694,"set_n_90d":222,"set_slug":"shimmering-skies"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":-33.8983,"return_30d_pct":8.3333,"return_7d_pct":5.4054,"return_90d_pct":8.3333,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-11","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":0.39},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":0.39},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":0.39}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-12","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-06-14","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":0.38},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":0.39},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":0.39}],"series_key":"557537|Cold Foil","series_printing":"Cold Foil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Ratigan%20-%20Party%20Crasher%20Shimmering%20Skies&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Ratigan%20-%20Party%20Crasher%20Shimmering%20Skies&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"ce2dc87b179c","game":"lorcana","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/ce2dc87b179c","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/lorcana/builds/65557410e17ec0ea/ce.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}