{"canonical_id_v02":"d5df6570faf6","identity":{"artist":null,"game":"onepiece","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/634530_200w.jpg","locale":"en","name":"Dracule Mihawk (OP11 Release Event Winner)","number":"P-081","rarity":"PR","series_slug":"one-piece-promotion-cards","set_name":"One Piece Promotion Cards","set_slug":"one-piece-promotion-cards","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"a4bc1bbdc8d413b2","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-05T13:32:15Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.0"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-04T00:00:00Z","listed_median":null,"market_price":23.72}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-04T00:00:00Z","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":23.72,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Foil","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"tcgcsv_archive":53,"tcgcsv_forward":409},"as_of_date":"2026-09-04","ath_date":"2026-01-13","ath_price":42.37,"atl_date":"2025-08-29","atl_price":2.36,"canonical_id_v02":"d5df6570faf6","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":null,"card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":-8.63,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":-16.68,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":-6.87,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":14,"DRAWDOWN":27,"HEATED":59},"cohort_label":"onepiece-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0,"cohort_median_90d_pct":7.11,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-44.02,"current_price":23.72,"history_first_date":"2025-05-31","history_last_date":"2026-09-04","history_n_distinct_closes":317,"history_n_obs":462,"history_n_obs_series":462,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-09-02","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-16","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-05-17","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-01-07","delta_pct":42.9,"label":"+43% day-over-day","price":37.7,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-01-01","delta_pct":39.7,"label":"+40% day-over-day","price":19.04,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-12-03","delta_pct":32.2,"label":"+32% day-over-day","price":9.45,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-08-29","delta_pct":-93.4,"label":"-93% off peak","price":2.36,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2025-06-04","delta_pct":-37.3,"label":"-37% day-over-day","price":14.18,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":69,"regime_entered_date":"2026-09-02","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":5,"DRAWDOWN":29,"HEATED":66},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":4,"DRAWDOWN":24,"HEATED":72},"regime_run_length_days":2,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2025-09-01","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-09-10","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-09-26","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-10-01","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-02-14","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-02-16","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-03-30","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-05-17","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-16","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-09-02","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":-8.63,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-16.68,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-13.98,"series_printing":"Foil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":181,"n_candidates":1,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":738.16,"return_30d_pct":-16.68,"return_7d_pct":-6.94,"return_90d_pct":-6.87,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-05","price":28.47},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":28.38},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":28.38},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":28.38},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":28.03},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":28.03},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":27.83},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":27.83},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":27.83},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":27.83},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":27.83},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":27.56},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":27.28},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":27.28},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":26.6},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":26.6},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":25.96},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":25.96},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":25.6},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":25.6},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":25.6},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":25.6},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":25.28},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":25.49},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":25.49},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":25.49},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":24.73},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":24.73},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":24.29},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":24.29},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":23.72}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-06","price":25.47},{"date":"2026-06-08","price":25.33},{"date":"2026-06-10","price":25.89},{"date":"2026-06-12","price":26.51},{"date":"2026-06-14","price":26.88},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":27.49},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":27.84},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":28},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":28.19},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":28.19},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":28.19},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":29.5},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":29.5},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":29.5},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":30.57},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":30.3},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":30.28},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":30.07},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":30.16},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":29.94},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":29.05},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":28.58},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":28.61},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":28.61},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":28.63},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":28.47},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":28.48},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":28.62},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":28.62},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":28.62},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":28.47},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":28.38},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":28.03},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":27.83},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":27.83},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":27.83},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":27.28},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":26.6},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":25.96},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":25.6},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":25.6},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":25.28},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":25.49},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":24.73},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":24.29},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":23.72}],"series_key":"634530|Foil","series_printing":"Foil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Dracule%20Mihawk%20%28OP11%20Release%20Event%20Winner%29%20One%20Piece%20Promotion%20Cards&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Dracule%20Mihawk%20%28OP11%20Release%20Event%20Winner%29%20One%20Piece%20Promotion%20Cards&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"d5df6570faf6","game":"onepiece","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/d5df6570faf6","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/onepiece/builds/a4bc1bbdc8d413b2/d5.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}